Green Bays last 5 wins - home vs Chicago, at San Diego, at Oakland, home vs Denver (who sat their whole team) and home vs Seahawks (OT win)....
In my opinion the Packers are being built up to be better than they truly are. Last weeks game really confirmed this to me. We all know that Seattle struggles on the road, but they did take this team to OT in Green Bay - but that is not what really convinced me, it is how that game got to overtime. Seattle was done seven, with two minutes to go, and marched down that field to tie that game up without a hitch. (I know they aren't the 85 Bears here but come on you've got to make a key stop to win in the playoffs) That's a real concern in my opinion. If you're defense can't shut down Seattle at home then what are they going to do in a key spot late in the game on the road?
Another observation I had was with Favre. Multiple times in the past few games he seems to just fling it up there - hoping to make a play. Most of these go incomplete, but a few are caught for big gains. Trust me, Brian Dawkins and Michael Lewis are not going to let this happen. Dawkins will either take the Wr's head off or Lewis will take that ball back for six.
Sure, people can run on the Eagles - but large rushing numbers do not always equate to points. The Eagle defense does stiffen up in the red zone, and while I'm sure that Ahman Green will get his today, that does not neccessarily mean he'll be in the end zone. (Since the Linc is opened up at the end zones the wind will also be a factor - FG's of 50+ will not be an option according to what I've read.)
Losing Brian Westbrook hurts, he's the home run hitter for this team. But Duce Staley and Correll Buckhalter are more than servicable in the backfield. Remember last year in the playoffs Staley was the main starter and carried the load. The three headed monster usually features Buckhalter running, Staley catching, and BW doing both. While it hurts their options without Westbrook - they still have talented and experienced players in the backfield.
Keys of this game to me will be Bobby Taylor and Michael Lewis. Dawkins will be used to blitz often, in an attempt to shut down the run a bit. If these two can patrol deep, the Eagles will win this game. It's going to be a hard fought one, but the Packers lack of defense is the difference. 31-21 Eagles