It's getting a little boring - watching this Chrome horse continually toying around with all the 3 year olds this year. The few replays I watched of pre- Triple Crown races that this horse ran in TOGETHER with the first two T.C. jewels ALL LOOK LIKE REPLAYS OF THE SAME DANG RACE.
And now we're gonna bet against him in the Belmont? You can bet that I will be doing just that; just like I did vs. Secretariat in the Belmont and then watched that freight train, LIVE, win the Belmont by 31 one NOT so stinkin lengths.
Still, the best advice I'd give any rookie hoss player is to play against the Belmont "sure thing" EVERY year. I believe the trend we've been seeing (knocking off the BIG fav. in the Belmont) will continue as long as there is a Belmont Stakes. I liken it to basebawl futures that are available before the BB season starts.. you know, just bet the CUBS win UNDER x no. of games for the new seson. The Belmont system is even better than the basebawl one. I really think that, over the long run that, with a little bit of luck, you may not be able to say that you beat the horse racing game when you're done with it.... but U DID beat one race over the long run... the Belmont. Without a doubt, I can say that on account of that 2002 bonanza I caught, but I think even without that one, I believe I'll still be able to make that statement when I'm done with hosses.
The last jewel is 3 weeks away and who knows what the field will look like after possible injuries, workouts, late entries etc. Here's some things that I'll be looking for.. . ...
How about Chrome drawing a way outside post for a change? Won't matter if he scared them all away and we're looking at a small field size but IT WILL if that ain't the case.
I hear that there was an excellent effort by a N.Y. hoss in the Peter Pan and I gotta look into that. That angle got me the 1982 wiener cause I was at the track when Conquistador Cielo glided over the slop in the Peter Pan (whatever race it was, it was the race he ran 3 or 4 weeks before the Belmont that made the owners decide to enter him in the Belmont). That race that CC ran in the slop was the best effort I ever saw from ANY horse on a very sloppy race track. I was right on the fence, watching that monster just fly under the finish line as if he was running on a dry, rubber wace twack. Sure enough, it was raining on Belmont Stakes day.. and I made a beeline to OTB that Sat. morning to git me some of that CC hoss.
Most players logically look for an "S" type hoss for the Belmont. "S" is for Stalker (starts out last and zooms to first down the homestretch). I prefer a "P" for PRESSER for the Belmont. That's a horse that lays close to the pace upfront during most of the race and has enough to put all of them away down the stretch. The pick doesn't necessarily have to be a "P" type but it helps a lot if he is methinks.
Breeding lines are important too for the Belmont. Look for stamina and average winning races distance in the sires. No flashy speedsters... very good "grinders" and "plodders" (LOL) are the ones I want to see.
IF Chrome draws a post somewhere say between post 2 and 6 or 7 with no more that two speedsters inside of him - I think his chance of winning the Belmont is somewhere between certainty and definitely.
Now, with Chrome drawing an outside post and at least 2 speedsters just to his inside or, at least, not too far from him in a decent size field? That situation just might continue the trend of knocking off the "sure thang" going this year.
I walked over that track a couple of times and admittedly that was more than 15 yrs. ago and things may have changed. But on a sunny, dry day that dang track felt like quick sand. My feet dug in at least 4 inches into that track on every step.
Bottom line is that thirty-three horses have been eligible to win the Triple Crown and only 11 have succeeded
Just sharing some thougths from plenty of experience with the Belmont.
And now we're gonna bet against him in the Belmont? You can bet that I will be doing just that; just like I did vs. Secretariat in the Belmont and then watched that freight train, LIVE, win the Belmont by 31 one NOT so stinkin lengths.
Still, the best advice I'd give any rookie hoss player is to play against the Belmont "sure thing" EVERY year. I believe the trend we've been seeing (knocking off the BIG fav. in the Belmont) will continue as long as there is a Belmont Stakes. I liken it to basebawl futures that are available before the BB season starts.. you know, just bet the CUBS win UNDER x no. of games for the new seson. The Belmont system is even better than the basebawl one. I really think that, over the long run that, with a little bit of luck, you may not be able to say that you beat the horse racing game when you're done with it.... but U DID beat one race over the long run... the Belmont. Without a doubt, I can say that on account of that 2002 bonanza I caught, but I think even without that one, I believe I'll still be able to make that statement when I'm done with hosses.
The last jewel is 3 weeks away and who knows what the field will look like after possible injuries, workouts, late entries etc. Here's some things that I'll be looking for.. . ...
How about Chrome drawing a way outside post for a change? Won't matter if he scared them all away and we're looking at a small field size but IT WILL if that ain't the case.
I hear that there was an excellent effort by a N.Y. hoss in the Peter Pan and I gotta look into that. That angle got me the 1982 wiener cause I was at the track when Conquistador Cielo glided over the slop in the Peter Pan (whatever race it was, it was the race he ran 3 or 4 weeks before the Belmont that made the owners decide to enter him in the Belmont). That race that CC ran in the slop was the best effort I ever saw from ANY horse on a very sloppy race track. I was right on the fence, watching that monster just fly under the finish line as if he was running on a dry, rubber wace twack. Sure enough, it was raining on Belmont Stakes day.. and I made a beeline to OTB that Sat. morning to git me some of that CC hoss.
Most players logically look for an "S" type hoss for the Belmont. "S" is for Stalker (starts out last and zooms to first down the homestretch). I prefer a "P" for PRESSER for the Belmont. That's a horse that lays close to the pace upfront during most of the race and has enough to put all of them away down the stretch. The pick doesn't necessarily have to be a "P" type but it helps a lot if he is methinks.
Breeding lines are important too for the Belmont. Look for stamina and average winning races distance in the sires. No flashy speedsters... very good "grinders" and "plodders" (LOL) are the ones I want to see.
IF Chrome draws a post somewhere say between post 2 and 6 or 7 with no more that two speedsters inside of him - I think his chance of winning the Belmont is somewhere between certainty and definitely.
Now, with Chrome drawing an outside post and at least 2 speedsters just to his inside or, at least, not too far from him in a decent size field? That situation just might continue the trend of knocking off the "sure thang" going this year.
I walked over that track a couple of times and admittedly that was more than 15 yrs. ago and things may have changed. But on a sunny, dry day that dang track felt like quick sand. My feet dug in at least 4 inches into that track on every step.
Bottom line is that thirty-three horses have been eligible to win the Triple Crown and only 11 have succeeded
Just sharing some thougths from plenty of experience with the Belmont.
