South African Open

[Stanley]

Round 2 play (2pts):

Graeme Storm to beat Chris Williams -125 @ 5Dimes
Rather a mismatch here. Storm has finished in the top-15 in each of his last two starts, including last week's Dunhill Championship; Williams hasn't managed a top-15 in any of his last ten starts, of which nine were on the European Senior Tour. The gulf between these two Tours is huge and I can only see Williams struggling to make the cut from his current 43rd place position.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Els tb Coetzee G -105; Hansen tb Wiesberger -110; Hansen tb Murray -105; Goosen tb Van Zyl J -120; Brier tb Bremner -120; Dyson tb Van Zyl J -120]

 

[Stanley]

Round 3 play (4pts):

Joel Sjoholm to beat Lloyd Saltman +100 @ 5Dimes
Saltman currently lies 8th at the halfway stage and four shots off the lead, but the pressure will now be intense on the Scot over the weekend. With just one more event to play on the 2011 European Tour schedule (he will not qualify for the Dubai World Championship), he needs to finish 2nd or better to get into the top-115 in the Race to Dubai standings necessary to retain his Tour Card for next year. Without a top-25 finish in over six months, I don't see that happening. Sjoholm has already secured his playing rights for next year and will be under the same pressure to be aggressive around the Serengeti course.

[unofficial rd3 system plays: Sluiter tb Norret +100; Wiesberger tb Grace +120]

 

[Stanley]

Round 4 play (4pts):

Steven O'Hara to beat Merrick Bremner -120 @ Bet365
Opposing Bremner who faltered badly from a similar position last week: he was 7th after the 3rd round, but then shot 77 in the final round. Despite playing only on the Southern Africa Tour, he has only three top-10 finishes from 24 starts this year so last week's poor round should have been no surprise and, given that he is currently 6th, another poor round should be expected. He did, after all, finish 3-over-par for his last three holes today (O'Hara was 3-under-par for those holes) and fatigue could clearly be an issue: he has played in 11 of the last 12 weeks.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Brier tb Bremner -110; Bland tb Bremner +138; Otto tb Aiken +100; Storm tb Murray -110; Els tb Rock -140; Goosen tb Mulroy -130; Goosen tb Otto -138; Van Zyl J tb Fichardt -110; Van Den Berg tb Kemmer -130; Gonnet tb Hugo -110]