- Stanford Rush O (200 ypg & 4.9 ypr LY) return 4 OL with meaningful starting experience and face a WSU D returning only 1 DL that allowed 248 ypg rush @ 5.8 ypr (-1.4 ypr worse than average).
- Stanford projects a 2.6 ypr advantage (6.75 ypr), and racked up 344 yds rushing on WSU LY. Plus Stanford looks better this year while WSU looks even worse (5 returning starters)
- WSU returns a lot of pieces off terrible unit that ave only 8.5 ppg LY vs P10, but Stanford looks a lot better this year as they return nearly every piece on Def (particularly the sec)
This looks like a big mis-match, and am not sure why the line isn't much higher than this. Stanford blew out WSU last year with mostly this same team, and should be better this year. WSU can't be much worse (particularly on offense), but they have a lot of holes to fill up front and lose both their starting CBs during the off season (kicked off the team), so effectively have 5 returning starters.
Stanford should be able to pound the heck out of the football (2.6 ypr situational advantage on offense), and I can't figure out what WSU is going to be productive doing on offense. Average of the models says 44-14, worse case analysis says 36-15, with Stanford outgaining WSU by nearly 200 yards.
Stanford 42 WSU 15. Stanford is a #3 Recommended play @ -16.5
