I get the argument Stanford is bad and most teams should blow them out. Good reasoning to take ASU and ASU def. can cover. It usually is a safe bet betting AGAINST bad teams.
I am only taking Stanford because I am betting against teams after they play USC. I am 1-1 ATS. Wished I did this from the get go. I be up 3-1 ATS.
Anyways, I tried making a solid argument why Stanford will cover.
My #1 rule in taking big favorites is you need a strong defense to cover large spreads. IMO that is a must. ASU doesn't have a strong defense AND ASU will likely not have a motivated D.
ASU seems to ALWAYS give up double digits to BAD teams. Stanford is a BAD team but they are capable of scoring 2 TD's in 4 quarters.
ASU also plays DOWN to their opponents. History of that.
USC has way more talent than Arizona, WSU, UW, and ASU. Yet all those teams found a way to hang with USC. Stanford just needs to lose by less than 22.5 pts. Stanford should be the more motivated team in this game. That should be enough to hang within 3 TD's.
Will be interesting to see how this plays out. I am only on Stanford for small play.