Originally posted this on another board, but it seems that some folks here are asking who is betting the NE/Indy game, etc. Here goes...
Caught an interview with Bob Scucci (think that's his name) on Inside the Lines program on Fan 590 radio this morning. This is just an FYI for anyone who mght be interested. This is from memory only.
He said that money is pouring in on the Colts, which is just what they expected when they set the line. He said it's almost all public money, that they knew it would come in on Indy pretty much no matter what the line was. There is very little sharp money on this game.
He said the line really should have been -3 for the Pats, given home field and that Indy has not won there yet. But public money was going to pour in on the Colts even at a lower line. He thought there was no justification for making Indy a favorite.
Basically, he said it will be a very important game for the books, maybe the biggest so far. The sportsbook will just have to "bite the bullet" and hope that the Patriots come thru like they have the last two times.
He also said that the public is betting heavily based on last weeks performances by teams, and not the whole season. Maybe this means that people are betting teams that are still fresh in their minds? Or that did well against inferior opponents?
Oh yes, he also said that the public has always tended to bet home favorites but that this trend has been broken this year. Some of the lines were set high with this in mind, so if you are taking road teams, you may be getting a couple of extra points. At least this is what I think he said, tho probably it doesn't apply to the Pats/Colts game.
It wasn't a long interview, but the gist is that the books are letting the public bet down the Colts (now maybe betting up as favs) and taking the gamble of a big loss versus a big payoff.
Hope this was of interests to someone, now back to the Eagles and Vikes...good luck in your bets!
Caught an interview with Bob Scucci (think that's his name) on Inside the Lines program on Fan 590 radio this morning. This is just an FYI for anyone who mght be interested. This is from memory only.
He said that money is pouring in on the Colts, which is just what they expected when they set the line. He said it's almost all public money, that they knew it would come in on Indy pretty much no matter what the line was. There is very little sharp money on this game.
He said the line really should have been -3 for the Pats, given home field and that Indy has not won there yet. But public money was going to pour in on the Colts even at a lower line. He thought there was no justification for making Indy a favorite.
Basically, he said it will be a very important game for the books, maybe the biggest so far. The sportsbook will just have to "bite the bullet" and hope that the Patriots come thru like they have the last two times.
He also said that the public is betting heavily based on last weeks performances by teams, and not the whole season. Maybe this means that people are betting teams that are still fresh in their minds? Or that did well against inferior opponents?
Oh yes, he also said that the public has always tended to bet home favorites but that this trend has been broken this year. Some of the lines were set high with this in mind, so if you are taking road teams, you may be getting a couple of extra points. At least this is what I think he said, tho probably it doesn't apply to the Pats/Colts game.
It wasn't a long interview, but the gist is that the books are letting the public bet down the Colts (now maybe betting up as favs) and taking the gamble of a big loss versus a big payoff.
Hope this was of interests to someone, now back to the Eagles and Vikes...good luck in your bets!
