ytd....56-51 (+10.76)
makin this one of my stronger plays in the last month or so:
3.5 units......oakland/detroit under 8 (+100)
lots of reasons why i think this one stays under the number:
* bonderman's 4-15 on the year, but he's actually pitched quite well at home in his last 5 comerica starts. he hasn't let up more than 3 runs in any of those starts ( 1 run 7/26 vs. kansas city..... 2 runs on 7/9 vs. white sox ..... 3 runs on 6/28 vs. arizona ..... 3 runs on 6/18 vs. cleveland .... 3 runs on 6/12 vs. dodgers)
* bonderman was very impressive when he outdueled zito in oakland earlier this year. tigers won the game and bonderman's stat line vs this lineup was outstanding:
8 IP .... 3 hits .... 1 run .... 5 strikeouts .... 0 walks
* zito lifetime at comerica : 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA
* run-support for zito his last 6 starts has been virtually non-existent. oakland has generated only 14 runs in his last six starts- and 7 of those runs came in one game. that pretty much explains how a pitcher with one of the best era's in baseball is sub-.500 in the win/loss column.
* tigers offense has been anemic vs the athletics this year. theyre averaging just 2.1 runs a game vs oakland , and have scored 2 or less in 6 of the 8.
gl guys. im not a big "numbers" capper at all, but i dont think they lie in this case. zito not getting any run support, zito lights out at comerica, tigers not scoring at all vs oakland this year, and bonderman (in the 1st meeting) seemed to really have something to prove to the team that dealt him via trade. we'll see how this one goes
makin this one of my stronger plays in the last month or so:
3.5 units......oakland/detroit under 8 (+100)
lots of reasons why i think this one stays under the number:
* bonderman's 4-15 on the year, but he's actually pitched quite well at home in his last 5 comerica starts. he hasn't let up more than 3 runs in any of those starts ( 1 run 7/26 vs. kansas city..... 2 runs on 7/9 vs. white sox ..... 3 runs on 6/28 vs. arizona ..... 3 runs on 6/18 vs. cleveland .... 3 runs on 6/12 vs. dodgers)
* bonderman was very impressive when he outdueled zito in oakland earlier this year. tigers won the game and bonderman's stat line vs this lineup was outstanding:
8 IP .... 3 hits .... 1 run .... 5 strikeouts .... 0 walks
* zito lifetime at comerica : 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA
* run-support for zito his last 6 starts has been virtually non-existent. oakland has generated only 14 runs in his last six starts- and 7 of those runs came in one game. that pretty much explains how a pitcher with one of the best era's in baseball is sub-.500 in the win/loss column.
* tigers offense has been anemic vs the athletics this year. theyre averaging just 2.1 runs a game vs oakland , and have scored 2 or less in 6 of the 8.
gl guys. im not a big "numbers" capper at all, but i dont think they lie in this case. zito not getting any run support, zito lights out at comerica, tigers not scoring at all vs oakland this year, and bonderman (in the 1st meeting) seemed to really have something to prove to the team that dealt him via trade. we'll see how this one goes
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