The reason for the Cin play is this. Hernandez has been a money maker for years but every year it is something different. This year he is 5-5 f/d but 7\3 road teams. As someone else pointed out Fla is 2-8 over the years and if you look closer it gets more interesting. The are only 1-7 at home and their only road win was as a +340 dog. Cin is 3-1 on the road and two of the wins were as dogs. This don't mean much but he has not gone fav over twice in a row this year and his last two were favs.