Survived. Nice inning by Reynolds there, in the 5th. I'd lower my Jays BP rating, but it's pretty grim already
. That one looked half-way-in-the-bag. Giants pen made me have a bird as well ... I should find something else to do during the action ... freakin' rollercoasters, aye? Oh, well...
The Final's The Thing.
Yesterday (includes, au proper, my "Last Minute" donation):
3-2 +3.7
Season (last 4 days...enjoying it while it's happenin'):
18-14 +8.4
-----------------------------------------------------
Pirates(Fogg)@Braves(Ortiz)
-Fogg pretty solid since returning from injury
-Ortiz solid all year; a bit of trouble last few; 6-0 vs Pitt in career, with decent #'s; righties hitting only .164(!) this year
-Braves .324 vs R last 10
#s crunched:
P.OPS: Pirates: 700, Braves: 841
PITCH: Pirates: 76, Braves: 81
1st 4 innings yesterday, Reynolds showed that the Pirates bats can be had; Ortiz may dominate them; strong showing by Fogg may present a decent under play, but I'm backing off due to Cousins behind the scheduled ump - generally an over ump, with a small strike %; really, not many reasons why the Braves should lose this one, Braves 70-30
Price: Braves -200 (PV +3)
Too pricey for me.
Price: Braves -1.5 +110
Fogg may be a beauty, a few years down the road, but I expect Braves to get theirs here, and Pitt's pen is not the greatest. over ump may help keep this from being a 1-run game. Lopping off a fair 15% from my #'s, gives me 55% by 2, PV +7
Play: Braves -1.5 +110
1/1.1
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Rangers(Valdes)@Expos(Ohka)
-righties hitting .320 vs Valdes on season
-both R & L hitting over .300 vs Ohka on season
-Rangers bats falling asleep lately, while Expos bats have been snoozing for a while (and only 9 runs scored in yesterday's deadly Park/Vargas duel! )
-Expos with the better BP
#s crunched:
P.OPS: Rangers: 810, Expos: 700
PITCH: Rangers: 69, Expos: 71
This one is ugly. DeMuth (HP) may be an over-helper, if he's any factor, but Rangers bats on decline, and the total of 11.5 is too high for me, regardless of Hirom B. being regarded as the next Coors Field. My #'s give the Rangers a slight edge, 55-45
Price: Rangers +105 (PV +6...it's +110 at Pinnacle)
Nothing done from here yet; Expos took the first 2, and have won 3 in a row, so maybe they are getting a taste for it.
PASS
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Mariners(Garcia)@Mets(Leiter)
I passed on this one yesterday, and think I will again today. M's bats smokin' lefties (and anything else that moves) but I both have little faith in Garcia, and a soft spot for Leiter.
PASS
--------------------------------------------------------
Blue Jays(Escobar)@Reds(Haynes)
-R hitting .365 on Escobar for season
-L .408, R .310 vs Haynes on his short season; 4-0 with decent #'s in his career vs Jays, but these #'s are dated; Haynes looked much better his past 2 (probably an abberation)
-Jays pen a joke, and Escobar WILL NOT (+300) pitch into the 7th inning.
-Escobar only given up 3 dingers in 36 IP this year (Reds preffered method of scoring) and none as a starter (4 games, 18+ innings)
-I don't expect Randazzo (HP) to be much of a factor; last 3 have been low-scoring, in good pitching matchups, but his totals get up there when there's garbage on the hill
#s crunched:
P.OPS: Jays: 825, Reds: 766
PITCH: Jays: 69, Reds: 70
Another ugly one. Slight leanage Jays, but this smells like a coin-toss. Escobar may throw 3 perfect innings, then self-destruct in the 4th or 5th, which means the Jays pen may get involved. I have no faith in Haynes, but he has been better lately.
Total at 11.5 looks about right, although Escobar may survive if he keeps the ball in the park, and I'm still expecting the Jays bats to mellow out ... at least a little (OVER-achieving).
PASS with pride
--------------------------------------------------------
A's(Mulder)@Phillies(Millwood)-GAME 1
-Phillies .184 vs lefties last 10
-Mulder havin' a beauty season, but rocked in his last @Marlins
-A's .275 last 10 vs R, but will have hands full with Millwood, as few of them have seen him
-both teams have solid pens
-HP O'Nora with a fairly large strike zone, despite the 7-6 over record on the season (he hasn't exactly had the best pitching matchups to call)
#s crunched:
P.OPS: A's: 746, Phillies: 653 (lefties trouble for Philly)
PITCH: A's: 82, Philly: 86
This game looks like a coin toss, maybe slight edge to the Phillies, at home w/Millwood. Line reflecting this. with Philly -110 to -115.
PASS
Under tempts me, but 7 (+100) is a bitch here, as Philly must be desperate to score runs, and did get 4 in their last game (Zito start).
PASS
Coffee-Time
---------------------------------------------------------------------
The players tried for a forward pass
with the Jester on the sidelines in a cast
. That one looked half-way-in-the-bag. Giants pen made me have a bird as well ... I should find something else to do during the action ... freakin' rollercoasters, aye? Oh, well...The Final's The Thing.
Yesterday (includes, au proper, my "Last Minute" donation):
3-2 +3.7
Season (last 4 days...enjoying it while it's happenin'):
18-14 +8.4
-----------------------------------------------------
Pirates(Fogg)@Braves(Ortiz)
-Fogg pretty solid since returning from injury
-Ortiz solid all year; a bit of trouble last few; 6-0 vs Pitt in career, with decent #'s; righties hitting only .164(!) this year
-Braves .324 vs R last 10
#s crunched:
P.OPS: Pirates: 700, Braves: 841
PITCH: Pirates: 76, Braves: 81
1st 4 innings yesterday, Reynolds showed that the Pirates bats can be had; Ortiz may dominate them; strong showing by Fogg may present a decent under play, but I'm backing off due to Cousins behind the scheduled ump - generally an over ump, with a small strike %; really, not many reasons why the Braves should lose this one, Braves 70-30
Price: Braves -200 (PV +3)
Too pricey for me.
Price: Braves -1.5 +110
Fogg may be a beauty, a few years down the road, but I expect Braves to get theirs here, and Pitt's pen is not the greatest. over ump may help keep this from being a 1-run game. Lopping off a fair 15% from my #'s, gives me 55% by 2, PV +7
Play: Braves -1.5 +110
1/1.1
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Rangers(Valdes)@Expos(Ohka)
-righties hitting .320 vs Valdes on season
-both R & L hitting over .300 vs Ohka on season
-Rangers bats falling asleep lately, while Expos bats have been snoozing for a while (and only 9 runs scored in yesterday's deadly Park/Vargas duel!
)-Expos with the better BP
#s crunched:
P.OPS: Rangers: 810, Expos: 700
PITCH: Rangers: 69, Expos: 71
This one is ugly. DeMuth (HP) may be an over-helper, if he's any factor, but Rangers bats on decline, and the total of 11.5 is too high for me, regardless of Hirom B. being regarded as the next Coors Field. My #'s give the Rangers a slight edge, 55-45
Price: Rangers +105 (PV +6...it's +110 at Pinnacle)
Nothing done from here yet; Expos took the first 2, and have won 3 in a row, so maybe they are getting a taste for it.
PASS
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Mariners(Garcia)@Mets(Leiter)
I passed on this one yesterday, and think I will again today. M's bats smokin' lefties (and anything else that moves) but I both have little faith in Garcia, and a soft spot for Leiter.
PASS
--------------------------------------------------------
Blue Jays(Escobar)@Reds(Haynes)
-R hitting .365 on Escobar for season
-L .408, R .310 vs Haynes on his short season; 4-0 with decent #'s in his career vs Jays, but these #'s are dated; Haynes looked much better his past 2 (probably an abberation)
-Jays pen a joke, and Escobar WILL NOT (+300)
pitch into the 7th inning.-Escobar only given up 3 dingers in 36 IP this year (Reds preffered method of scoring) and none as a starter (4 games, 18+ innings)
-I don't expect Randazzo (HP) to be much of a factor; last 3 have been low-scoring, in good pitching matchups, but his totals get up there when there's garbage on the hill
#s crunched:
P.OPS: Jays: 825, Reds: 766
PITCH: Jays: 69, Reds: 70
Another ugly one. Slight leanage Jays, but this smells like a coin-toss. Escobar may throw 3 perfect innings, then self-destruct in the 4th or 5th, which means the Jays pen may get involved. I have no faith in Haynes, but he has been better lately.
Total at 11.5 looks about right, although Escobar may survive if he keeps the ball in the park, and I'm still expecting the Jays bats to mellow out ... at least a little (OVER-achieving).
PASS with pride
--------------------------------------------------------
A's(Mulder)@Phillies(Millwood)-GAME 1
-Phillies .184 vs lefties last 10
-Mulder havin' a beauty season, but rocked in his last @Marlins
-A's .275 last 10 vs R, but will have hands full with Millwood, as few of them have seen him
-both teams have solid pens
-HP O'Nora with a fairly large strike zone, despite the 7-6 over record on the season (he hasn't exactly had the best pitching matchups to call)
#s crunched:
P.OPS: A's: 746, Phillies: 653 (lefties trouble for Philly)
PITCH: A's: 82, Philly: 86
This game looks like a coin toss, maybe slight edge to the Phillies, at home w/Millwood. Line reflecting this. with Philly -110 to -115.
PASS
Under tempts me, but 7 (+100) is a bitch here, as Philly must be desperate to score runs, and did get 4 in their last game (Zito start).
PASS
Coffee-Time
---------------------------------------------------------------------
The players tried for a forward pass
with the Jester on the sidelines in a cast
