sunday ncaa hoops plays.......

gman2

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perhaps these'll be good fade material coming off an 0-4 day.

updated ytd:
3 unit....2-0 (+6.75 units)
2 unit....12-9 (+3.2 units)
1 unit....16-20 (-5.3 units)

for sunday:

1 unit....portland (+11.5) over boise
1 unit....siena (+18) over providence

add: 1 unit....bowling green (+3) over fairfield
add: 1 unit....arkansas state 2h (-4) (-112)

siena....i think this is gonna be a flat spot for providence. saints dont shoot the ball particularly well, but they really get after it on the glass. theyve got three guys averaging over 7 boards a game. providence is deficient in the rebounding dept. nobody besides gomes goes to the glass. siena holds a +10 rebounding edge over providence. thats enough for me to give the saints a 2nd look here. throw in the fact that providence is laying a big chunk of points with two big games coming up (at virginia and then home to texas) and i think the friars do just enough to get by here, ultimately winning by 12-14 points. if the saints shot the ball a little better, id consider em for 2 units. but i think theyre at least worth a unit here. theyve had some clunkers this yr, but i like the way they played vs syracuse. they should get up for a big east foe.

portland....the boise hoops team has been following the lead of their gridiron pals, covering 5 of their 7 lined games this year. portland has failed to cover in 3 of their last 4. but i gotta take a shot on portland here. i think they can stay in single digits. theyre another fundamentally sound team (40% from 3pt range and 70% from the line). the score doesnt show it, but portland didnt play poorly vs oregon in their most recent outing. not trying to seek out a silver lining, but the fact is -- oregon hit 15 of 21 from 3pt range. portland competed, but just couldnt overcome that obscene % from oregon. pilots have played a respectable schedule of late (duke, weber st, port st, and oregon) and i think that will help them here. both teams get balanced scoring. should be a competitive game.

bowling green....adding this one to cap the night. i think spang is on the right track with this game now that he pointed it out. the good thing is that if the game loses, i can blame him for my loss :D and take no responsibility for it. in all seriousness, with reimold healthier and back playing, bowling green is a different team. montgomery keeps getting better and is becoming a big part of the bg rotation as a true freshman. theyve been off for a little over a week since playing their best game of the season vs detroit. their intensity level on defense was as high as ive seen it in quite some time. i think that only portends good things for them as they come toward the new year. always gotta give the #1 free throw shooting team in the nation a look as a short dog. the game is pretty much even. both teams shoot the ball really well. stags hit the glass hard, but bgsu is no stranger to physical play. i think dakich's team is starting to turn the corner. should get this one. if they dont, its spang's fault.
 
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Woizeee

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Gman just got in near 5am lol so sorry fo rany typos... rough day for ya and i just read that etsu was up 10 and blew it... ughhhhh what $hit :mad:

as for fsu, dude i knwo terps are young and all but man strawberry plays like a veteran and i love gilchrist 9along with Caner_medley when he choses to assert himself). the bottom line comes down to jamar smith. Terps HAVE NO INSIDE game other than Smith. (They remind me sooo much of the WIzards, a bunch of perimeters players with no inside game) If he stays out of foul trouble i think terps win by 5+. He is key, if he gets 2 early fouls we will be all perimiter oreiented and that is not our strong game. Other than mccray no one can really hit a 3 on a consistent basis. I would just back off the game, but a slight lean to MD if they are gettign any pts. FSU is good but inside they dont have much and rely too much on pickett. We shall see but man Strawberry in 1-2 yrs is going to be incredible... i like siena tomorrow but i may just play nothing but ill see

ok i gotta sleep....

Gman u r still the man so dont worry hahaha
 

spang

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Certainly those two games will escape the attention of the masses. I like the Portland play as well, but hate backing the MAAC(outside of the Jaspers) in non conference tilts.

For that reason I am looking hard at BG tonight despite the fact that Fairfied appears to be everybodys darling today.

Good luck
 

gman2

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spang:

hate to make too much of one game, but i was very impressed with bowling green's effort when i went to that game vs detroit. they really got after it defensively. 10 day layoff since that game. depends how you look at it. could be good for them. could be bad. but was just really impressed by what i see against detroit, especially defensively. bgsu the #1 free throw shooting team in the nation as well doesnt hurt. montgomery really getting good, important minutes for them and its helping em a lot. youre right, falcons could be worth a look.
 

superbook

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Spang -- you might be right about BG; I'm one of those on the Stags, guess we'll see.

GMan -- Haddix is now listed as doubtful; thats not good for the Saints.
 

gman2

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caper:

looks like you were correct. haddix doesnt appear to be playing. that friggin outstanding for me. always good when one of your top players sits it out :mad:
 

gman2

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added 1 unit on bowling green out in hawaii later on


caper:
go figure. siena played great sans haddix. no sure things. but ill take it!
 

gman2

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also adding arkansas state in the 2h. penn state is garbage. asu started off the game about as cold as ive ever seen a team start. they missed 16 of their first 17 shots. they had 4 points at the 10:00 mark. their leading scorer (spencer) got into some early trouble. with a 1/17 start from the field and their best player on the bench with fouls, they still managed to keep it close with penn state. arkansas state is the superior team here, and they win the game

edit: absolutely pissed money away on asu. theyre awful today. this game is an example of why i dont always buy into the "they gotta shoot better in the 2h theory". sometimes, teams just cant find the rim and asu clearly cannot buy a basket today. pissed away a unit there. i thought they would improve on 19% from the field. sadly, theyre not. in fact, they got run out of the gym, shooting 9-40 from the field midway thru 2h. lmao
 
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spang

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but bgsu is no stranger to physical play. i think dakich's team is starting to turn the corner. should get this one. if they dont, its spang's fault


OH damn, the pressure is on!! GO BG!!:D
 
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