went back and checked some numbers. ive been primarily dogs in all sports.......and realized im 5-0 in my L5 chalk plays and below average in the dog plays. and the chalk plays have all won convincingly. go figure. my strong dogs are getting drilled. my strong chalks are cruising. what a fu/cked up season. im sure some tunnel-vision when it comes to dogs has contributed to an up and down last month. gonna try to intersperse some chalks in the coming weeks.
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kent state (-7.5) over toledo
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this game is going to be decided in one area: defense. kent plays it and toledo does not. rockets are sitting at 12-3 overall (7-1 in the mac) but their recent defensive efforts away from home have been awful. theyve let up almost 85ppg in their L4 road games. rockets just cannot get away with letting up that many points on the road in the toughest gym in the mac. kent has the best defensive in the conference statistically (opp shoot just 39%), and their defensive principles are excellent. rockets remind me so much of akron. explosive offensive team but just terrible on defense. thats gonna be their achilles heel and ultimately cost them as the season winds down. kent, as usual, is getting better as the season progresses. no stars on the team this year- just a very cohesive unit. dont see toledo getting the necessary stops to stay inside the number
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notre dame (+3.5) over kentucky
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write-up below
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kent state 2h (+3) over toledo
(playing back half)
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one thing ive learned over the last few years with this team: if you fall behind kent at the maac center, you are DONE. have seen teams down 25-30 points at halftime. and then they get beat by 40 or 50 for the game. they just dont let up. they just keep pouring it on. maybe toledo is different and they make a small push to keep it respectable, but i only see it getting worse. its happened to marshall and cleveland state in recent yrs (marshall down 28 at the half and lose by 40. csu (when they were healthy and playing well) down 30 at the half and then lost by 50. buffalos been down 23 and lost by 43. they dont sit on leads, no matter if the team is good or bad.
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kent state (-7.5) over toledo
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this game is going to be decided in one area: defense. kent plays it and toledo does not. rockets are sitting at 12-3 overall (7-1 in the mac) but their recent defensive efforts away from home have been awful. theyve let up almost 85ppg in their L4 road games. rockets just cannot get away with letting up that many points on the road in the toughest gym in the mac. kent has the best defensive in the conference statistically (opp shoot just 39%), and their defensive principles are excellent. rockets remind me so much of akron. explosive offensive team but just terrible on defense. thats gonna be their achilles heel and ultimately cost them as the season winds down. kent, as usual, is getting better as the season progresses. no stars on the team this year- just a very cohesive unit. dont see toledo getting the necessary stops to stay inside the number
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notre dame (+3.5) over kentucky
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write-up below
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kent state 2h (+3) over toledo
(playing back half)
--------------------------------------------
one thing ive learned over the last few years with this team: if you fall behind kent at the maac center, you are DONE. have seen teams down 25-30 points at halftime. and then they get beat by 40 or 50 for the game. they just dont let up. they just keep pouring it on. maybe toledo is different and they make a small push to keep it respectable, but i only see it getting worse. its happened to marshall and cleveland state in recent yrs (marshall down 28 at the half and lose by 40. csu (when they were healthy and playing well) down 30 at the half and then lost by 50. buffalos been down 23 and lost by 43. they dont sit on leads, no matter if the team is good or bad.
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