1. Bet the dog when the favored team is favored by more points in the second half than in the game itself.
Fine. This is a great angle, and is clearly derived from the idiocy of the bettors. A team is getting MORE points for a half than they were offered for an entire game, after winning the first half??? Its astounding anyone would lay that kind of dough. It probably takes advantage of people that want to "secure the win" and really just secures them paying the vig.
2. When one team is ahead at halftime by 15 or more points, bet the UNDER in the second half.
3. When the road team is leading at halftime by 16+ points, bet the UNDER in the second-half.
Really, why can't these two just be rewritten as "when one team is ahead by 15 or more, bet the under in the second half". If the road team is leading by 16+, then "one team is ahead by 15 or more." Or am I missing something?
4. When 17 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, the game is more likely to go UNDER in the second-half. (**Caveat: the game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by more than 16 points)
Here he's really just saying, "if 17 points are scored, go under, unless it's 17-0. But, see '7'.
5. When 23 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, the game is more likely to go OVER in the second-half. (**Caveat: the game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by more than 16 points)
Yup.
6. When 30 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, the game is more likely to go OVER in the second-half. (**Caveat: the game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by more than 16 points)
Yup.
7. When 17 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, and the game total is 38 or lower, the game is more likely to go UNDER in the second-half. (**Caveat: the game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by more than 16 points)
Well, this has already been covered by '4'. I think 4&7 can just become "when 17 points are scored in the first half, go UNDER, unless it's 17-0".
8. When 21 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, and the game total is 42.5 or higher, the game is more likely to go OVER in the second-half. (**Caveat: the game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by more than 16 points)