3-2 +136.50
P2 Pirates -128 / 1st5 reds@Rangers un4.5 -110 <+240> 42/100.82
P2 1st5 blue jays pk -133 / 1st5 astros pk -115 <+227> 44/100.11
astros -121 242/200
Tigers -1.5 +159 63/100.17
=391(4)
--was never a big Bassitt hound when he was a Jay, so prefer Ashcroft; offenses comparable, early season; Pirates won 4 straight and are unblemished 2-0 at home.
--Reds starter might keep 'em in the game, and Reds bats should keep the Rangers in the game; new ballpark sees nothing like the totals from previous Arlington grounds
--I'm a sucker for lefty Lauer; minimal faith in Jays going forward (show me!)
--love the Astros play, and where I see the most value, a mirage or otherwise; decent starter edge as McCullers started off bounce-back year lovely; monster edge on offense in this blowout rubber match; A's Lopez a lefty but no prob there
--fwiw, afterwards Tigers head off for series in Minnesota, while Cardinals head to Washington; I think Leahy is as bad as Montero and Tigers bats have edge, or so it looks at moment; need 58% for listed ml at -133, so why not the 39% needed for +159? Screwing with my head, now--too late for math, but generally 25-33% of games (some teams & ballparks less) are decided by 1 run. Tigers at home, making it a bit tougher, but hence the juicy number (figurative juicy
)
GL
P2 Pirates -128 / 1st5 reds@Rangers un4.5 -110 <+240> 42/100.82
P2 1st5 blue jays pk -133 / 1st5 astros pk -115 <+227> 44/100.11
astros -121 242/200
Tigers -1.5 +159 63/100.17
=391(4)
--was never a big Bassitt hound when he was a Jay, so prefer Ashcroft; offenses comparable, early season; Pirates won 4 straight and are unblemished 2-0 at home.
--Reds starter might keep 'em in the game, and Reds bats should keep the Rangers in the game; new ballpark sees nothing like the totals from previous Arlington grounds
--I'm a sucker for lefty Lauer; minimal faith in Jays going forward (show me!)
--love the Astros play, and where I see the most value, a mirage or otherwise; decent starter edge as McCullers started off bounce-back year lovely; monster edge on offense in this blowout rubber match; A's Lopez a lefty but no prob there
--fwiw, afterwards Tigers head off for series in Minnesota, while Cardinals head to Washington; I think Leahy is as bad as Montero and Tigers bats have edge, or so it looks at moment; need 58% for listed ml at -133, so why not the 39% needed for +159? Screwing with my head, now--too late for math, but generally 25-33% of games (some teams & ballparks less) are decided by 1 run. Tigers at home, making it a bit tougher, but hence the juicy number (figurative juicy
)GL
