Sunday September 2nd

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Sunday September 2nd 2007

yesterday: 13-6-3 +11.63
ml 5-2 +6.49
rl 1-1 -1.76
totals 5-0 +4.56
parlays & IFs 2-3 +2.34
system picks 4-2 yesterday (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 3-0-1 yesterday

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Atl 61% (-145)+1
phil 55 (-118)even
sf 62 (-116)+8
Mil 57 (-117)+3
cin 51 (+132)+7
Cubs 67 (-165)+4 RL 52 (+120)+6
lad 53 (+101)+3
Ariz 66 (-220)-3 RL 51 (-104)even
Nyy 80 (-315)+4 RL 67 (-163)+5
Tor 68 (-147)+8 RL 52 (+135)+9
Clev 76 (-201)+9 RL 62 (+101)+12
Bost 61 (-161)-1
kc 52 (+107)+3
Laa 66 (-222)-3 RL 50 (-105)-2
det 62 (-120)+7

system totals

mets@Atl un8.5 77% (+111)+29 --ump Cooper is even
phil@Fla ov10.5 71 (-110)+18 --ump Drake is even
lad@Sd un8.5 68 (-116)+14 --ump Scott is even
seat@Tor un9.5 65 (-121)+10 --McLelland an over-ump in years past but is 8-18 this year with the highest K% (over 63%) he's had since (at least) 1999
balt@Bost ov10.5 68 (-111)+15 --ump Rapuano is even


System sides went 12-3 on Saturday (even picking a pair of dogs) so I deserved to be a winner yesterday. Only 1 for 2 on 70's (high call Angels lost) but 4-0 on high 60's and 4-1 on low 60's. Very happy with the start of the final true month.
Nice start on the totals, too. Sweetness. Very thrilled with that push on the Petco game after it was 7-0 through 5 innings?saved me almost 3 units between a straight and an IF play (that IF play survived until the 6th pick, which was the Petco push).

As for Sunday, system picks include the Giants, Blue Jays, Indians and Tigers. Zito, Burnett and Westbrook have all been superb, lately; Giants, with their offense (and possibly Bonds resting), might be the trickiest but Zito is tons better than Chico (or Bacsik, if it's him?I'm playing this one Zito (only) must start); Jays coming off of a (slim) win, key bat 1B Sexson is out for the M's, and Weaver has been very mediocre lately so the Jays get a huge edge at SP the way Burnett's going; Indians have the largest hitting edge, of the three, to go along with a large pitching edge?Contreras has been a bit better lately but likely takes his lumps, here?Westbrook has been sensational for about his past 6 starts (actually 4 beauties and 2 mediocre). Tigers get to face a lefty, which they greatly prefer, and not too potent a one at that; Robertson coming off a very poor outting but was great in the start prior so at least he's showing some signs of life?key to this match is the hitting edge for the Tigers.

Also, perhaps, some value with Brewers, Reds, Cubs, Dodgers, Yankees (RL) and Royals. Brewers looked great Saturday and do their best work against lefties but the pitching matchup favours Gorzelanny over Suppan, here?should be much closer on Sunday. Reds' Arroyo looks decent lately but so does Cards' Looper; bit of an edge to the hot Reds sticks for this one?very, tough call. Sticks comparable for the Petco game (maybe favouring Lad a bit) but the pitching will favour the Dodgers between Billingsley and Germano?another tough call. Yanks get one of my rare 80's as Hammel is even worse fade material than Sonnanstine, a few days ago, was (they couldn't hit Sonnanstine but should have a party here?Yankees over 6 at -125 might be worth a look as the runline is freakin' expensive; Pettitte has been strong for awhile but the D'Rays greatly prefer lefties so they'll likely get a good 3-5 tomorrow?hmm?just checked the ump and it's going to be super-under Doug Eddings working?makes the Yanks over the 6 a little less palatable, though the D'Rays under 4.5 now looks okay, save for the -155 price tag?forget that, the way the D'Rays are hitting lately; under 10.5 is tempting because of Eddings but I think that Hammel will keep me away. Royals always have a shot with Bannister starting but I don't really like the price?looks that Brian is starting to get the respect of the linesmakers?sorta need better dog-money to get me in for that one.

So far I'm on the under in Atlanta and the over in Florida. I don't know if I really like the others. Kind of like the Toronto under but it's pricey for a total. Petco game doesn?t play under today and I wouldn't touch it for tomorrow. I don't know if the Bosox can get 11 all by themselves Sunday, and the Orioles were almost (make that WERE) no-hit by Bucholz so there's no gaurantee that they'll do their share to net the over; I'll likely pass on that one as I wouldn?t be surprised to see Lester chuck a decent game.

That's what I'm looking at for Sunday.
A look at team totals and Hendrix-only-knows what else will follow.

GL

 

[Blitz]

I don't know if the Bosox can get 11 all by themselves Sunday, and the Orioles were almost no-hit by Bucholz so there's no gaurantee that they'll do their share to net the over

They were no-hit by Buchholtz!!

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

yeah...you're right...

last time I checked in on the game was about the 6th inning; that's when I noticed no hits for the O's

I assumed they would at least get that.
Makes a Fenway over tomorrow not very appealing.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

some possible team totals
(w/relative system numbers; + for overs, etc.)

mets un4 -105 (-14)Smoltz has good numbers vs the Mets
Atl un4.5 -110 (-7)Glavine should make a game of this one

phillies ov5.5 -105 (+18)one of the hottest hitting teams in MLB and facing a soft Olsen here
Fla ov5 -115 (+11)Eaton is fade material and he'll be needed to go at least 5 or 6 after Phillies bullpen workout yesterday

Nats un4 +100 (-12)facing a very hot Zito here and their OPS at home is only app.680

Padres un4 +100 (-8)Billingsley with good numbers vs the Padres

rockies un3.5 -125 (-8)Webb not particularly sharp over his past 2 so this one is iffy

Nyy ov6 -125 (+22)Hammel is currently my lowest rated starter out of ALL of them and Yanks do their best work at home to righties; these calls are pretty much gold when they reach the 20's, which is rare (had Dodgers -21 Saturday)
--editation--I'd actually drop this number (the +22)--maybe 5 or 6 points--because of Eddings ump'ing

m's un4.5 -145 (-14)Burnett is extremely hot and the M'sticks are a bit cold

cws un4.5 -145 (-11)speaking of cold bats...how about those pathetic Chisox?
Clev ov6 +125 (+11)looks good but the runline might be safer as Contreras has looked reasonable over his last few starts (not "good", just "reasonable"...whatever the heck that means)

orioles ov5 +100 (+7)maybe not after being no-hit
Bosox ov5.5 -125 (+12)Cabrera has poor numbers vs the Bosox; this one looks tastier...I dunno...not backing the Sox but maybe SOME kind of over in the contest would be good

rangers un4 -160 (-11)facing Lackey but I think that the Rangersticks are too hot for this one

tigers ov5 -125 (+13)facing the much preferred lefty but doing so in a pitcher's park...aside from that this one looks super; I'm already on the moneyline so I don't know about tackling this one


Once again it seems that better options lie elsewhere, but there are a few here that seem good.

 

[astroturf]

love your analysis

love your analysis

hello,
I just started madjacks yesterday. do you do pro football too? thanks, astroturf

what do you think off what I got going tommorow

fav pick= tigers ml

underdog pick= reds ml I know the cards are hot, but i think looper is due to get lit up

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

hey astroturf,

welcome aboard :toast:

I really like the Tigers due to the large edge at the plate here...even without Sheffield the Tigers are still hitting, and do it best vs a lefty. I'll also take my chances with Robertson over Braden, IF all else were equal.
Some of the calls I get I agree with more than others, but the 62% for Detroit seems like a good call here; I don't think it's too high, anyway, even though the Tigers may be on the road (Tigers have been road warriors for years).

On the Reds, Arroyo-Looper looks like a coin-toss but you've got to give the bullpen edge to the Cards. Reds are the much hotter hitting team, though, so I grabbed some at the price I've got posted above (+132)...other people musta liked it, too, 'cause it's down to +124 now. Maybe not one to pound as it looks pretty much like a coin-toss, by my numbers; I took some of the bonus money, in case it comes up tails.

GL

 

[astroturf]

thanks for the welcome and the advice. talk to you soon, a$troturf

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

jeez...just noticed that the Yankees runline is actually a system pick by my numbers (+5 V.I. at 67%).

D'Rays OPS vs L >.800 is a concern but this is one HUMONGOUS mismatch pitching-wise.

Not to mention the Yanks OPS of around .850 vs righties, tops in MLB, and doing their best work at home this year.

Hammel to pummel.

predicted outcome: Yankees 7 Devil Rays 2


(originally had it 8-3 but then remembered who the umpire will be)
Got the Yanks parlayed with the Injuns but I guess I'm looking at putting some money where my fingers is and trying the Yanks runline and/or the Yankees over 6 runs...that 7 I'm predicting is on the low side of the range I expect (anything up to 12 is quite possible).
Yes, Doug Eddings will be behind home plate for this one so any type of over play is actually quite stupid. Actually.
Hammel will not pull a Sonnanstine, I don't figure, despite the help of the ump.

I can also get the Yankees -2.5 at -105.
52% break-even point on -105's.

Got the Yanks 80% win.
67% by 2.
Maybe something like the mid-50's makes sense for a call by 3.
Negligable value at, say, 55% (only a +3 V.I. and on a fairly low call--close to coin-toss range).

Try one more move:

Yanks score...prob(%)......D'Rays score...prob(%)
0....................1..................0................12
1....................3..................1................16
2....................5..................2................24
3....................8.................3.................24
4...................14.................4................14
5...................23.................5..................5
6...................23.................6+................5
7...................14
8+..................9


Give it the best shot I can, here.
Concentrating the Yanks likelihood near 5-6, and
the D'Rays likely near 2-3.
With these numbers, let's see...
I get the Yankees over 6 at just 23% (another 23% to the push...still no value on Yanks TT over by this mess).
On the other hand, I get the D'Rays under the 4.5 at 90%. Sure makes the -155 price tag look attractive...maybe these numbers are funked, I dunno...
Get the Yanks to win at (giving it Yanks 60% on any ties) approximately 85%.
To win by 2: approximately 70%.
To win by 3: approximately 55%

To WIN is close to my call of 80% (was actually, I think, exactly 82 but I lowered it 80 as I've had nothing above 80, so fork it, and the D'Raysticks are quite hot, too, so whathefork).
Runline call, here, of 70% is close to my 67% call (some value--and a "system pick"--at either number).
By 3 number is close to my approximation, above, and there's limited value on the -2.5 line.

I think the Yanks over is risky, due to Eddings, and also the -2.5 might be riskier with an under-ump going.
Runline looks safe as there's still the humongous edge to the Yanks pitching, and which lineup would you take, at the plate, if everything else were equal?
Still wish there was something else to parlay this puppy with; almost not worth (moneyline) parlay as the line is WAY up there.
Might try to get this on some parlays with CFL games or maybe some decent team totals.
WILL grab some of that runline, too.
I don't know about the D'Rays team total under; that one's still under consideration.

Man...wish it wasn't too late to go grab a beer.
Guess I'll have a puff and grab a coke outta the fridge...will have to do (need to stock up, at home, apparently, as the bars keep different hours than me).

So far I'm trying the Giants, Jays and Tigers, each for a tuba,
and the Reds and Cubs for half that.
On the Atlanta under and Florida over, which I think I mentioned.

Others pending.
Some cash; my book sending.
Alas, no defending.
There's no use pretending.
Despite all I'm rending,
My mind it needs mending.

:SIB

The negroes in the forest, brightly feathered
They're saying, Forget the night...
Live with us in forests of azure
Out here on the perimeter there are no stars
Out here we is stoned...immaculate!
...
I tell you this,
No eternal reward will forgive us now for wasting the dawn.

(Jim, the WASP)

:weed:
:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

that D'Backs call looks a little low, aye?...at 66%
maybe for a Webb-Fogg matchup; a couple days ago, when I 'capped the game, the D'Backs 7-day OPS was down around .650, while the Rocks were close to .800; D'Backs look good in this series (well, not at the plate, really, on Friday), and gave it a 2-point bonus from my original 'cap due to Saturday's game.
It just looks low, to me, when compared to the Cubs at 67% (with the Astros good numbers vs lefties), or the Jays at 68% (the way the Jays have trouble vs righties).
I guess that there's a reason why EVERY game could go either way; D'Backs low(er) call is due to an edge to the Rockiesticks.

I still don't know if I'd try that moneyline at that price, even if I think the call is low.
Might try a piece of the runline.

One other possibility:

2-teamer
D'Backs 68% (giving it a psyche-bonus)
Yankees 80%
----------------------------
2T 54.4% (call it 54%...will eliminate some of that bonus (was only 2%()()))

54% (-113)even

Not really any value on this one, even with the small bonus I gave the D'Backs call.
Webb hasn't been dominant in his past 2 ballgames.
Fogg can sometimes keep his team in games and, despite yesterday's outburst against the constantly underachieving Elmer, the D'Backs sticks are rather cold, lately.
Rockies have a shot--bottom line.
Can't call this one at 70%, so really no value at the present line.
I still might try some of that runline, to just to get some action (Webb-Fogg makes it look good, after all) and the D'Backs have a solid bullpen which I think is important for playing runlines, especially on the home team.

'Nuff about that one.

Gonna have me a 'capping good time doing Monday's games (after some fresh air).
I see that Pedro Martinez will be starting for the Mets, against some very hot bats and in a hitter's park (Cinci) to boot, too.
Just checked it out--Pedro has some PHENOMENAL career numbers against the Reds (incluing only 44 hits allowed in 88.2 IP (.143 BA) and 102 K's over that span (2.03 era)). He's only made one start at Great American, in 2005, and struck out 12 over 6 innings but gave up 3 earned due to an HR (only 3 hits allowed).
Still...how to rate the guy for this first '07 start.
:shrug:
Facing Harang, too--great numbers at home and coming off a beauty.
Gonna 'cap it fair and see what I get.
I like playing the Mets (who doe$n't?) but I'm guessing that this will be a call for the Reds...wonder what kind of line to expect...gotta favour the Mets, but no more than -130ish, at most. +120 or more would likely make me a Reds player. Gonna 'cap it first. Harang lone '07 outting vs the Mets was mediocre (4.50 era).

For a real trip, check out
The Melvins The Anti-Vermin Seed

If you like psychedelic rock then you should get off on it pretty good.
I don't have a clue what the lyrics mean, but mostly it's an instrumental.
Clocks in at 15 minutes, 51 seconds.
Off the disc Hostile Ambient Takeover,
but I expect a file-sharing search for Melvins,Vermin would likely find it.

:weed:
:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

still need that fresh air...doing that puff first...

phillies over 5.5 looks real good, at -105

I like it better than the moneyline
Don't know if I like it better than the game total over 10.5, though--Marlins likely get their share, too (though I like the phils over more than the Fish over the 5, at -115).
Drake, as an ump, looks about as even as they come. No factor.
Eaton and Olsen are the factors, here, for this over.
Eaton era past 3 was 9.69, season 6.23
Olsen era past 3 was 7.27, season 5.60
Phillies OPS vs L a healthy .836
Marlins OPS vs R a respectable .775
Phils pen stinks but Marlins has been decent, lately.
Actually Phils pen did okay Saturday.
Eaton really is total garbage since he left the friendly confines of Petco...I never really have thought much of Adam Eaton.
Olsen has more good games than Eaton does, I'd say, but they are rare and when they aren't "good" they're usually horrific.
Marlins only hitting .248 last 10 vs R (only .221 L)
Phillies .314 last 10 vs L (.326 vs R)
Marlins 7-day OPS only .683; likely won't include Saturday's (ESPN--they're slower updating their stats, like a day behind, but they're quicker to work with then, say, MLB.com).
Phillies 7-day OPS .995 and has been over .800 for weeks now.
See why I like the Phillies over better?
They're the ones gauranteed 27 outs, too.
Rollins looks deadly at lead-off.
Team would be interesting in the playoffs.
Bullpen wouldn't be good enough, I don't think.
Looks at all the teams that are going to make the playoffs (or might) and they all have really good or at least pretty good bullpens.
Lad,Sd,Ariz,Mets,Cards,Mil,Cubs a little less so.
Bost,not really Nyy save Mariano (might be enough),Clev so-so,Laa,Seat,Det maybe finally but it might be too late...hard to say if Detroit can catch the Indians--ask me a week ago and I probably would have said yes, but the Injuns are on fire.

Speaking of Injuns.
I've just got 'em on a parlay with NYY so far.
Should get me some runline, I suppose.

:SIB

 

[peteyboy]

I don't know how you have the time to do all this work, but keep it up man... Your posts are entertaining and informative. Rock on. :00hour

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

thanks a lot, peteyboy, I appreciate the words.

I'm still thinking about pumping up my Tigers play some.
Checking out some numbers:

Tigers hitting .280 last 10 vs L
A's hitting .344 last 10 vs L

Don't let these numbers fool you: only lefty starter the D'Rays faced in the last 10 was Kazmir and the A's lost that one 14-3; they clearly didn't do it vs any SP and it's likely from just limited AB's against inferior relief pitching.

A's season vs L hitting .254 (.245 at home)
Tigers season vs L hittng .296 (.288 road)

more importantly, some numbers that I think are more meaningful:

A's OPS vs L .767
Tigers OPS vs L .840 (now 3rd in MLB, behind Jays and Brewers)

Furthermore:

A's OPS last 7 days .705
Tigers OPS last 7 days .799

Braden beat Robertson at home in a game in early August, but the Tigers pounded Braden in the rematch 11 days later.
Last year, too, Robertson lost an early start vs A's then won a pair of games against them later in the year...looks good for a repeat.

Braden era last 3 was 9.00 (whip 1.75)
Robertson era last 3 was 5.21, but the 1.37 whip over that time is a little lower than his season average.

Another concern might be A's record of 2-1 the past 3 times that Braden has taken the hill while the Tigers are 0-3 for Nate's past 3.
Nate's past 3 he faced a steady Brian Bannister, a hot Jake Westbrook, and a hot Andy Pettitte at Yankee Stadium.
Braden's past 3 were the pounding he took against Detroit in his last, against a cold John Rheinecker, and before that the start he won against the Tigers. Dallas' 3 starts before those were all A's losses.

Tigers 24-15 (.615) record in game 3's is their best mark of any contest (1,2,3 or 4).
A's are 22-17 in 3's, similar to their game 1 mark.

Tigers 39-32 on the road.
A's 35-35 at home.

I like this one but I don't want to get too nasty, today. The past 7 days has still seen me get killed for 3 of them--made killer coin for 2 of them.
I guess I've got time.
I can pump it up closer to gametime; wait and see how my 1 pm efforts do.
Line hasn't budged. I DO expect Tigers money to eventually move it, however.

Crap...still 4 flippin' fours until gametime.
I'm running low on sweetness, too.
Guess I can survive an hour or two of cognitive behavioural fallacy.

Added some action on the Brewers (tops in MLB vs lefties--tied with Jays, actually (OPS-wise()())), the D'Backs (couldn't resist) and the Tigers over 5 runs.
Not must else has changed from what I mentioned. A few parlays, a couple of IFs...the usually thing.

Will post eventually but I'm still itching.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

New car, caviar, four-star daydream...think I'll buy me a football team.

New car, caviar, four-star daydream...think I'll buy me a football team.

PLAYS

system picks

giants -116 2.32/2
Yankees -1.5 -163 3.26/2
Blue Jays -147 2.94/2
Indians -1.5 +101 1.5/1.52
tigers -120 3.6/3

other picks

reds +132 0.75/1
Cubs -165 1.65/1

totals

mets@Atl un8.5 +111 1/1.11
phil@Fla ov10.5 -110 1.65/1
phillies over5.5 -105 1.05/1

2-teamer
--Cubs ml
--Indians ml
+135
0.64/0.86

2-teamer
--Diamondbacks ml
--tigers over5
+162 (I love this number?guess why)
0.57/0.93

2-teamer
--Yankees ml
--Indians ml
-103
2.03/1.97

2-teamer
--Yankees ml
--Red Sox ml
+107
0.72/0.78

2-teamer
--Blue Jays ml
--tigers ml
+196
0.51/1

15-team IF bet
1.Brewers 0.9/0.75
2.phil-Fla ov10.5 0.6/0.5
3.reds over4.5 0.6/0.5
4.Indians -1.5 0.69/0.6
5.Yankees -1.5 0.85/0.5
6.Diamondbacks -1.5 1.05/1
7.tigers 1.25/1
8.Cubs -1.5 1/1.2
9.giants 1.18/1
10.Blue Jays 1.55/1
11.mets-Atl un8.5 1/1.05
12.dodgers 2.1/2
13.Red Sox over5.5 1.5/1.2
14.royals 2.04/2
15.tex-Laa un9 3.6/3
0.9 to win max.17.3

15-team IF bet
1.Diamondbacks -1.5 0.84/0.8
2.Blue Jays -1.5 0.6/0.78
3.mets-Atl un8.5 0.5/0.53
4.Indians -1.5 0.8/0.7
5.phillies over5.5 0.73/0.7
6.tigers 1/0.8
7.giants 1.18/1
8.devil rays under4.5 1.24/0.8
9.Brewers 0.9/0.75
10.reds over4.5 1.2/1
11.Cubs 1.7/1
12.royals 1.32/1.3
13.o's-Bosox ov10.5 2.3/2
14.dodgers 2.1/2
15.tex-Laa un9 4.15/3.46
0.84 to win max.17.62

15-team IF bet
1.m's-Jays un9 0.5/0.5
2.Red Sox -1.5 0.5/0.55
3.Diamondbacks -1.5 0.52/0.5
4.giants 0.7/0.6
5.Indians -1.5 0.8/0.7
6.tigers 0.75/0.6
7.Yankees -1.5 0.85/0.5
8.Cubs -1.5 0.75/0.9
9.dodgers 1.05/1
10.royals 1.35/1.35
11.reds 1.2/1.39
12.phil-Fla ov10.5 1.5/1.2
13.mets-Atl un8.5 1.21/1.21
14.Brewers 1.89/1.5
15.tex-Laa un9 2.4/2
0.5 to win max.14.5


Sorry this is up so late?I got doing updates and forgot I hadn't posted yet.
You probably got the gist of what I'm on by my previous reports, though.

GL

 

[bohawk]

PLAYS

system picks

giants -116 2.32/2
Yankees -1.5 -163 3.26/2
Blue Jays -147 2.94/2
Indians -1.5 +101 1.5/1.52
tigers -120 3.6/3

other picks

reds +132 0.75/1
Cubs -165 1.65/1

totals

mets@Atl un8.5 +111 1/1.11
phil@Fla ov10.5 -110 1.65/1
phillies over5.5 -105 1.05/1

2-teamer
--Cubs ml
--Indians ml
+135
0.64/0.86

2-teamer
--Diamondbacks ml
--tigers over5
+162 (I love this number?guess why)
0.57/0.93

2-teamer
--Yankees ml
--Indians ml
-103
2.03/1.97

2-teamer
--Yankees ml
--Red Sox ml
+107
0.72/0.78

2-teamer
--Blue Jays ml
--tigers ml
+196
0.51/1

15-team IF bet
1.Brewers 0.9/0.75
2.phil-Fla ov10.5 0.6/0.5
3.reds over4.5 0.6/0.5
4.Indians -1.5 0.69/0.6
5.Yankees -1.5 0.85/0.5
6.Diamondbacks -1.5 1.05/1
7.tigers 1.25/1
8.Cubs -1.5 1/1.2
9.giants 1.18/1
10.Blue Jays 1.55/1
11.mets-Atl un8.5 1/1.05
12.dodgers 2.1/2
13.Red Sox over5.5 1.5/1.2
14.royals 2.04/2
15.tex-Laa un9 3.6/3
0.9 to win max.17.3

15-team IF bet
1.Diamondbacks -1.5 0.84/0.8
2.Blue Jays -1.5 0.6/0.78
3.mets-Atl un8.5 0.5/0.53
4.Indians -1.5 0.8/0.7
5.phillies over5.5 0.73/0.7
6.tigers 1/0.8
7.giants 1.18/1
8.devil rays under4.5 1.24/0.8
9.Brewers 0.9/0.75
10.reds over4.5 1.2/1
11.Cubs 1.7/1
12.royals 1.32/1.3
13.o's-Bosox ov10.5 2.3/2
14.dodgers 2.1/2
15.tex-Laa un9 4.15/3.46
0.84 to win max.17.62

15-team IF bet
1.m's-Jays un9 0.5/0.5
2.Red Sox -1.5 0.5/0.55
3.Diamondbacks -1.5 0.52/0.5
4.giants 0.7/0.6
5.Indians -1.5 0.8/0.7
6.tigers 0.75/0.6
7.Yankees -1.5 0.85/0.5
8.Cubs -1.5 0.75/0.9
9.dodgers 1.05/1
10.royals 1.35/1.35
11.reds 1.2/1.39
12.phil-Fla ov10.5 1.5/1.2
13.mets-Atl un8.5 1.21/1.21
14.Brewers 1.89/1.5
15.tex-Laa un9 2.4/2
0.5 to win max.14.5


EXTRAPOLATER-MAN: No apology necessary. You`re the one doing all the "Work"! As long as you`re "Smoking&Stroking" we`re Not "Moping"!
You probably got the gist of what I'm on by my previous reports, though.

GL

EXTRAPOLATER-MAN: No apology necessary.You`re the one doing all the "Work"!
As long as you`re "Smoking&Stroking" we`re not
"Moping"!:00hour

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

thanks, man,

but I am a :s2: joke today

I'd say that Giants loss makes it official:

I am getting punished today.
For what, I'm not quite sure (making stupid plays, apparently ), but getting it just the same.

Why do I always get the most hits, for my post, on days that I get thrashed?
sheesh:com:

Nice pitching staff the D'Rays have, aye?
That's 2 of the past 3 days and a shit righty has shut the Yanks down on their own turf.
Zito a masterful game but Giants can muster nothing.
Contreras rocks the Indians.
Catching very little breaks.
Looks like I'll even fall a half-run short on that Phillies team total.
At least I hit the system calls (totals).

A freakin' joke.

Almost as much of a joke as tomorrow's card, by my assessments.
I see little value on any sides tomorrow.

:mj16:

:mj13:



:weed:
:00hour
:weed:
:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

:00hour
Carlos Ruiz!!!
:00hour

Phillies over 5.5 runs!
:00hour

I'll take it--a couple of units for me.
Will gladly grab all I can the way I'm getting smoked, today.

:00hour
Go Tigers!!!
:00hour

He got choo-choo eyeball
He one holy-roller

:weed:
:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

:00hour
Derrek Lee!!!
:00hour

Just need the Cubbies pen to shut her down!

I'll take it (if it is in)!

Be happy not to lose 10 units today, after some embarassing (sic?) early contests.

Time to celebrate :weed: !

(or should I wait for 3 outs first...don't know if I trust closer Dumpster)
:shrug:


fork it...

:weed:
:00hour
:weed:
:SIB