Starting BR: $2500
Current BR: $2745
Record: 3-1
Houston +3 -104
$104 to win $100
This one sets up nicely we now have Detroit favored for only the fourth time in three years while the Texans arrive here after humiliating loss to San Diego. Lions will have to be better than they were in last week's win as they needed a 92-yard return off a blocked fumble for one of two touchdowns. Houston turned the ball over four times last week and you can bet your ten-gallon hat that we won't see that happen again here. Houston much more reliable taking points than spotting while the Lions are not accustomed to the chalk role and asking them to perform as faves, is asking a lot. To make matters worse, the Lions suffered a couple of key injuries as WR Charles Rogers is lost for the year and perhaps more importantly, CB Dre Bly is out for a bit after injuring his knee. Texans QB David Carr should be able to take full advantage of the Bly injury as Corey Bradford and Andre Johnson both have the talent and smarts to exploit this Lions secondary. Texans, despite loss, looked very good last week and the Lions, despite win, looked awful. Both should be .500 teams when this one ends.
St.Louis +1.5 -105
$105 to win $100
Even to oddsmakers, perception is reality and right now that perception has the Falcons as a better than average football club. I'm not buying it quite yet. Atlanta was fortunate to escape San Francisco with a win last week after a mediocre performance where they were out-yarded by a 359-227 count. A couple of Niners turnovers changed the outcome in that one and that’s fine with us as it helps set up this selection. In their opener, the Rams moved the ball at will against the opposing Cardinals, amassing 448 yards against the porous Arizona defense. As bad as the Cardinals defense is, they are likely better than the unit that the Rams will face on this day. St. Louis has owned this series, winning the past seven meetings and that includes a 36-0 pasting in last season's only contest. While this is a road game for the Rams, it is one they are comfortable with as it’s being played indoors on an artificial surface, the same elements as being at home. Simply put, the wrong side is favored here and the Rams should depart this town with a straight up win.
Indy pk, -107
$107 to win $100
AFC heavyweight bout matches last season's NFL co-MVPs in super-arms Peyton Manning and Steve McNair. I'll take the visitors in a mild upset. Indy has had three extra days to prepare and swept the Titans last season. As much as that, Tony Dungy has a track record of bouncing back from losses. Colts haven't been saddled with consecutive L's in 25 straight game-weeks. Peyton Manning and company amassed nearly 450 yards of offence against a stellar New England defense last week only to come up short because of errors. Look for a hungry visitor, arriving on 10 days rest, to exploit some of Titans defensive weaknesses. Titans defense did a job on the Dolphins offense but that’s like saying Randy Johnson struck out a Diamondback.
gl to all
Current BR: $2745
Record: 3-1
Houston +3 -104
$104 to win $100
This one sets up nicely we now have Detroit favored for only the fourth time in three years while the Texans arrive here after humiliating loss to San Diego. Lions will have to be better than they were in last week's win as they needed a 92-yard return off a blocked fumble for one of two touchdowns. Houston turned the ball over four times last week and you can bet your ten-gallon hat that we won't see that happen again here. Houston much more reliable taking points than spotting while the Lions are not accustomed to the chalk role and asking them to perform as faves, is asking a lot. To make matters worse, the Lions suffered a couple of key injuries as WR Charles Rogers is lost for the year and perhaps more importantly, CB Dre Bly is out for a bit after injuring his knee. Texans QB David Carr should be able to take full advantage of the Bly injury as Corey Bradford and Andre Johnson both have the talent and smarts to exploit this Lions secondary. Texans, despite loss, looked very good last week and the Lions, despite win, looked awful. Both should be .500 teams when this one ends.
St.Louis +1.5 -105
$105 to win $100
Even to oddsmakers, perception is reality and right now that perception has the Falcons as a better than average football club. I'm not buying it quite yet. Atlanta was fortunate to escape San Francisco with a win last week after a mediocre performance where they were out-yarded by a 359-227 count. A couple of Niners turnovers changed the outcome in that one and that’s fine with us as it helps set up this selection. In their opener, the Rams moved the ball at will against the opposing Cardinals, amassing 448 yards against the porous Arizona defense. As bad as the Cardinals defense is, they are likely better than the unit that the Rams will face on this day. St. Louis has owned this series, winning the past seven meetings and that includes a 36-0 pasting in last season's only contest. While this is a road game for the Rams, it is one they are comfortable with as it’s being played indoors on an artificial surface, the same elements as being at home. Simply put, the wrong side is favored here and the Rams should depart this town with a straight up win.
Indy pk, -107
$107 to win $100
AFC heavyweight bout matches last season's NFL co-MVPs in super-arms Peyton Manning and Steve McNair. I'll take the visitors in a mild upset. Indy has had three extra days to prepare and swept the Titans last season. As much as that, Tony Dungy has a track record of bouncing back from losses. Colts haven't been saddled with consecutive L's in 25 straight game-weeks. Peyton Manning and company amassed nearly 450 yards of offence against a stellar New England defense last week only to come up short because of errors. Look for a hungry visitor, arriving on 10 days rest, to exploit some of Titans defensive weaknesses. Titans defense did a job on the Dolphins offense but that’s like saying Randy Johnson struck out a Diamondback.
gl to all
