trying to continue with a hot streak....21-7-3 last two days..updated record later.
two for now...one unit each*
Miami Fl -2 1/2
Wright St. +1
two for now...one unit each*
Miami Fl -2 1/2
Wright St. +1
sunday
- Thread starter mcity
- Start date
a little system..
a little system..
I've been using since when I started playing college hoops about 3 years ago is...
1. Take any road team in a pick'em game.
2. Take any road team that is a 1-point dog.
3. Take any home team that is a 1-point dog.
This has been working out well for me this year...and again the last couple of nights. Sorry I don't have the time to track the whole season right now, but since Febuary 1st, here are the results I've gotten.
1. Road team in a pick'em game is: 7-3 (3-0 yesterday)
2. Road team that is a 1-point dog is: 7-4 (2-1 yesterday)
3. Home team that is a 1-point dog is: 10-3-1 (1-1 yesterday)
My outlook on this is that in a pick'em game, given the fact that home court is worth 3-5 points, the road team in a pick'em game is the better team...and I'll take a better team SU anytime....I suggest that you have a darn good reason to take a home team in a pick'em game.
A road 1-point dog kind of falls along the same line....although the road team and home team may be a little more evenly matched in the public eye,....vegas trying to entice you to take the home team that only has to win the game.
A home 1-point dog...I love these the most...usually a clearly superior team on the road...giving only one point..again, vegas knows that you know this is a team that should be able to pull off the win....don't fall for it....only a 1-point road favorite if you have a real good reason.
I only use this system when the line is a pick...or a solid 1-point either way....for some reason, I haven't had the same fortune with 1 1/2 or more either way. Also, I don't use this system if the line moves to a pick or 1-point either way...it has to be a game that opens and doesn't move for me to play it. Hope that helps somebody.....wright St. falls into the road team +1 category today, so I played em...hopefully they can cash the ticket.
a little system..
I've been using since when I started playing college hoops about 3 years ago is...
1. Take any road team in a pick'em game.
2. Take any road team that is a 1-point dog.
3. Take any home team that is a 1-point dog.
This has been working out well for me this year...and again the last couple of nights. Sorry I don't have the time to track the whole season right now, but since Febuary 1st, here are the results I've gotten.
1. Road team in a pick'em game is: 7-3 (3-0 yesterday)
2. Road team that is a 1-point dog is: 7-4 (2-1 yesterday)
3. Home team that is a 1-point dog is: 10-3-1 (1-1 yesterday)
My outlook on this is that in a pick'em game, given the fact that home court is worth 3-5 points, the road team in a pick'em game is the better team...and I'll take a better team SU anytime....I suggest that you have a darn good reason to take a home team in a pick'em game.
A road 1-point dog kind of falls along the same line....although the road team and home team may be a little more evenly matched in the public eye,....vegas trying to entice you to take the home team that only has to win the game.
A home 1-point dog...I love these the most...usually a clearly superior team on the road...giving only one point..again, vegas knows that you know this is a team that should be able to pull off the win....don't fall for it....only a 1-point road favorite if you have a real good reason.
I only use this system when the line is a pick...or a solid 1-point either way....for some reason, I haven't had the same fortune with 1 1/2 or more either way. Also, I don't use this system if the line moves to a pick or 1-point either way...it has to be a game that opens and doesn't move for me to play it. Hope that helps somebody.....wright St. falls into the road team +1 category today, so I played em...hopefully they can cash the ticket.
adding....
adding....
one unit each*...local lines
Duke-3
Michigan +8
North Carolina -3
Missouri-4
ND-6
Virginia +5
glta....I'm kind of chitty...although an IU alum and although having Michigan today, I live in Indiana and have regional coverage of IU on CBS...kind of wanted to watch the Duke game...
enjoy those of you who can.
adding....
one unit each*...local lines
Duke-3
Michigan +8
North Carolina -3
Missouri-4
ND-6
Virginia +5
glta....I'm kind of chitty...although an IU alum and although having Michigan today, I live in Indiana and have regional coverage of IU on CBS...kind of wanted to watch the Duke game...
enjoy those of you who can.what a day..
what a day..
so far...everything I've touched has turned to chit....if I'm on a dog, favorite time...if I'm on a favorite, doggy time....looks like a doggy day so far, but I'm on virginia, so you know what is going to happen there.....if you haven't played it yet, better get on wake.
2-5 (-3.5 units) so far today with virginia out. good luck all!!
what a day..
so far...everything I've touched has turned to chit....if I'm on a dog, favorite time...if I'm on a favorite, doggy time....looks like a doggy day so far, but I'm on virginia, so you know what is going to happen there.....if you haven't played it yet, better get on wake.
2-5 (-3.5 units) so far today with virginia out. good luck all!!
bad day and night...
bad day and night...
gonna update for the night now...virginia obviously didn't show up, so I hope you took my advice and faded my play. Anyway, better games and luck tomorrow I hope...glta...good night.
tonight: 2-6 (-4.6 units)
YTD: 36-30 (+3.0 units)
bad day and night...
gonna update for the night now...virginia obviously didn't show up, so I hope you took my advice and faded my play. Anyway, better games and luck tomorrow I hope...glta...good night.
tonight: 2-6 (-4.6 units)
YTD: 36-30 (+3.0 units)
hey don't worry to much that has happened to all of us more then once this ncaa and nba season,its not the cappers,its the lack of consistent play from almost every team out there i said it would change after a few weeks of conf. play but it hasnot,it might for a game or 2 then a team that should win and cover either gets a big lead and blows it in the 2nd half or falls behind big in the first and fights back to miss by a half or 1 point.
then you have teams that should be thinging about spring break plans that come out and play like duke ex wash yesterday couldnot miss a 3 pointer in the 2nd half.
cal north ridge and santa barbara those all stuck out because they were the late games out here,seaton hall yesterday they didnot even show up it goes on and on,so not much you can do its been a crap shoot all year,cut back and take chances in tourny and nhl till baseball.
thanks for that little system i wrote it down and am going to check it the rest of this year and see how it works next.
thanks again.
then you have teams that should be thinging about spring break plans that come out and play like duke ex wash yesterday couldnot miss a 3 pointer in the 2nd half.
cal north ridge and santa barbara those all stuck out because they were the late games out here,seaton hall yesterday they didnot even show up it goes on and on,so not much you can do its been a crap shoot all year,cut back and take chances in tourny and nhl till baseball.
thanks for that little system i wrote it down and am going to check it the rest of this year and see how it works next.
thanks again.
Mcity, nice little system, i have a similar system i've been using on HD's of 1-3 points over the past 4 years, will try and get the numbers out soemtime tomorrow. They are plays based solely on line movement and some other info. Hitting at nearly a 60%. An will almost always double up on that particuar play, when the line drops, and the public is still all over the fav.
congrats on the great run of late and continued success. Wonderng why you took Wright st +1, if it opened at a pk. Very nice hit none the less. Just wondering as there was a 1 point line move from open to close.
