sunday

[Innavation]

ncaa 51-39
nba 8-7
firsthalf 8-10
2nd half 18-9
overall 59-46

recap yesterday: Finally had a perfect day going 6-0..first halves were 2-0 to creep me closer back to 500 there...expect to be above .500 soon.. 2nd halves have been really good going 1 and 0 yesterday. still feel if i stay selective there i will have good results.. I have watched a ton of hoops this past week, and i think it is helping those descions. Had one winner in nba, and basically been playing one a day there. Really felt ohio st was the best play yesterday, they seem to be playing with a chip on their shoulder.. enough of that on to today..

one play for now: flordia st +6-------bottom line is,flordia st is good! they have all the pieces to run deep in the ncaa tournament, and i do think they will.. they still have alot to prove today..unc has so much talent, but i do feel they are most affected with playing back to back games. they have a very short rotation..i will take the 6 with a live barking dog today...henson i dont care if he is playing or not...if he is, i believe his wrist is still not going to be 100---its only been a day, how much better could it of got..love fsu front-court--give edge to unc in back-court---but i think fsu can do enough in back-court to steal this game..final play fsu +6

leans vandy---osu game over-

i'm a big buckeye fan, and i remain objective with them all year. This has been my money team all year, with and against them. They have done well in first halves this year especially at home, covering all but 2, the two losses at home were the only non covers first half..as i said in past few days, really feel those 2losses helped. They realized they cant win on talent alone, they must defend better with more intensity..I believe that really shows out there.. today is a tough game,i lean slightly to mich st and the points i really think this game can swing either way. a true toss up..love the way ohio st is playing. But izzo is heck of coach,and sure he has good strategy planned. Mich st loves to run out off misses and beat their opponent down court-and get up shots.. I though craft did a excellent job last time they met in stopping the ball and limiting these fast break points...i feel both teams had a rather ez route to getting to championship game. So imo no team has edge with fatique. i may be on the over..havnt decided yet, line opening at 130--- up to 132--i think it will be close,really depends on how refs call the game.. if they let the bumps and physicall play go on, will result in more misses and a lower scoring game. if they call it tight, both teams will be scoring easier..holding off for now but may pull the trigger on that... also will be back at half-times for all games, especially the bucks game.. if any team is up more than 6 at half, prolly will play the oppostite team, as i feel this is a one possesion game, and will come down to the very end..sorry for rambling...one play for now flordia st +6

 

[Innavation]

adding---ml parlay:kentucky and clippers---doesnt pay great but i feel this is about as free money as it gets...if you need a 3rd to get even money penguins look good but my play is just the 2 team ml parlay...kentucky and clippers on ml---kentucky wont be denied today, just too fast too good too much...and golden st played last night, i watched that game as i bet warriors 2nd half(dallas looked awful)---curry tweaked that ankle again, and didnt play most of the 2nd half--so he prollly isnt going to be effective or play tonight..they have to travel and play a rested clippers team with revenge on their mind..great spot for clipps, like them to cover the 7 -defenitely win!! feel this is easy parlay to hit..

this just hit me--think kentucky first half may be a good play, not going to play and prolly will regret this..i like the way vandy is playing and have a nice team, but when kentucky is on center stage, feel they have the talent and athletes to turn it up a few more nothces than any other team---strong lean--kentucky first-half=4

 

[Innavation]

adding kentucky first-half -4------just feel like kentucky when on center stage, has another gear they can go to..and feel we see it right out the gate...



3 plays thus far--- flordia st+6
ml parlay/kentucky ml with/clippers ml
kentucky first half-4


opinions on totals--these are not plays, just opinion... feel unc game goes under, as the games played back to back--effect both teams..Kentucky game over---feel kentucky runs out on them, and vandy is playing catch-up late--fouling and running. also 15,000registered bets on kentucky game, action is split on point-spread, line bumped up a point..rare for public to be equal against kentucky, seems like a lot of vandy money..kentucky appears to be the play

 

[Innavation]

2nd half kentucky--5.5- vandy shot and played well, being really physicall on defense.. kentucky got alot of good looks, feel they will make more of them 3's 2nd half---love this play, as kentucky can put big runs toghether..betting it as soon as it comes out. so we get kentucky -5.5 for game line--1.5 off the opening line and 2.5 off closing line, i really feel they cover the 8 ---vandy showing tougness, but kentucky hasnt played well and i think we see a better effort 2nd half. I think 3's will start dropping more. vandy shooting 49 per from field, and 5 for 9 from 3...kentucky 38per and 4 for 14 from 3--they are a 37 per shooting team from 3--the looks are there, few more drop, few misses by vandy, easily stretches 8-10 point swing

 

[kellyindallas]

Like reading your thoughts, it adds something to think about while making my own plays. Thanks and good luck!:toast:

 

[Innavation]

hey thanks dallas!--yea i ramble a bit at times, but helps me to really get my thoughts down, and review to see what i actually like..appreciate that thanks

 

[Pigskin59]

Leaning osu and under, what u think?

 

[Innavation]

such a tough game imo, i think i will pull the trigger on the over, in past years i have been on unders in championship games..but so many shooters and scorers on the court..plus i really feel the bankers lifehouse arena is shooter friendly, rims are soft,backround is good..seen weird roles all week, and alot of balls dropping..but again many scorers here...looking at high sixties for each team, believe they can do that, maybe 70's they will be in...ohio st chip on their shoulder with alot to prove, i cant go against them here, but i cant take em either as mich st will be toe to toe

 

[Pigskin59]

Yeah, beating vs izzo tough!

 

[Innavation]

adding ohio st game over 132-------

yes izzo--is the best coach in the game imo---espcially x's and o's--he really knows how to gameplan, and watch film, expoit tendicies and weakness..and put counter plays in to how opponents are defeding his famous set plays..and in tight games he really makes a difference---

but my heart wants the bucks---watiing till 2nd half to see if there is a play i feel strong about

 

[Pigskin59]

Thnx for the insight.

 

[Innavation]

adding 2nd halfohiost -1------this is nip and tuck game---going to be close whole way..ohio is 0-6 from 3 and think they will make some in 2nd half--sully sat most of first-half with 2 fouls---liked ravenu off bench, was active on offensive glass, getting alot of chances---but he can not guard anyone---see mismatches--mich st closing out weak vrs thomas--thomas is getting to rim---already have the over--and sticking with it as i see alot of ez baskets, few good looks from 3 have rimmed out, anticipate more whistles in 2nd half, so more foul shots...i felt that mich st got a few calls there, the block on sully and the illegal pick they called i felt was 2 bad calls...and couple bumps down on ohio offensive end they didnt call... final play osu 2nd half -1---gettin some value off the 2 point closing line---feel it will be close--but really putting stock in sully not playing much first half and still went toe to toe first half