Sunday

[Smitty]

det/wash under (48) 2 units. I was very surprised to see a total less than 50 on this game. the linesmakers are begging for money on the over, and they are getting it (74%). so I gotta take the under.

Cleveland (+6) 1 unit. I think the line movement is an overreaction to losing Richardson, and is weeden to hoyer really that much of a dropoff? or any dropoff?

tampa (+7) 2 units. really loved this play, until I realized one thing.... is ANYONE on new england?

jets (-2.5) 2 units. yes, I am well aware that the jets suck. but I have to bet against a rookie qb making his first road start. final score, jets 3-0 in OT.

san fran (-10) 2 units. i'm going to continue wagering against indy.

 

[IX_Bender]

We agree on everything except NE.

Tampa, while 0-2 and in disarray, actually COVERED last week. Everyone betting on Terrific Tom has paid the price for the first two weeks and it hasn't been close. At all.

Oh, and that was against EJ and Geno. Basically there wasn't a very long line to bet on NE laying more points than they have won in their previous two games COMBINED against shittier teams.

Everyone zigs, I zag. Actually not even sure how TB scores today. What I do know is they are gonna have a shitload of penalties.

NE 27
TB 10

 

[Smitty]

turns out, you gave tampa too much credit.

all week, tampa felt like such a great 'contrarian' play. a mediocre team that lost their first 2 games on last-second field goals only getting 7 points (down from 9) at the mighty patriots. then I saw this morning that the whole world was on tampa. I even mentioned that in my post. but was I smart enough to get off the play? obviously not. I have learned after doing this for many years to trust my instinct, and I KNEW I needed to get away from tampa. but I still couldn't do it.

only bright side is the 'skins didn't complete the hail mary to fuck me on that total.

I see the niners have the colts right where they want them. :facepalm: