sadly, the cbs "experts" don't have any unanimous picks this week, so that record will remain a stellar 3-16. 7 out of 8 were on NO on Thursday and 7 of 8 are on Carolina today. including Thursday, they are now 10-16 when 7 of 8 are on the same side. not nearly as strong as when it's unanimous.
Jacksonville (ML) 1 unit to win 3.5. why the hell not? as horrible as Jacksonville is, Houston is such a trainwreck right now that they had to go to a silent count for a few plays at home last week, because the fans were booing so loudly. if this game is close late, there's going to be a lot of pressure on the Texans.
san diego (+4) 2 units. this line is begging for kc money, but talk about a perfect trap game. next week, the chiefs get another shot at the broncos. and here's some serious handicapping... over the last 4 years, I found 4 examples of teams that lost the first game against a division rival, then had one game before playing that rival again. those teams that lost the first game against their rival went 1-3 both SU and ATS in the trap game. the only team that won in that trap game with a revenge game the following week? indy last year. they lost to Houston 12/16 with a rematch on deck 12/30. on 12/23, indy was laying 4.5 to the hapless chiefs. in a tie game, they scored a td on 3rd and goal from the 7 with 4 minutes left. final score 20-13. however, the chiefs outgained the colts by over 200 yards that day. they just turned the ball over 3 times (vs none for the colts) and gave up a TAINT. anyway, the point is, that trend could very easily be 4-0. sure, it's a tiny sample size, but it does back up the thought that the team that lost the first matchup against a division rival with only one week until the rematch would overlook their current opponent.
jets (ML) 2 units to win 3.4. the jets are the first team in nfl history to alternate wins and losses over their first 10 games. so they're going to win today. simple as that. :0008
indy (+3) 2 units. it seems like every week the linesmakers are begging for indy money. I've finally come to the conclusion that the computers that drive the lines and the big bets just can't account for the success of this team. the colts really are not that good. but somehow they keep winning when they're "not supposed to". they are 3-0 SU as a dog this year. including last year, they are 9-4 SU as a dog. that's pretty damn good. so I've finally drank the koolaid and i'm making the square play. which should guarantee the colts get blown out.
new England (+2.5) 2 units. i'm probably hitting about 5% of my wagers involving the patriots over the last 10 years. but... the flip side of the coin when talking about games involving a team that just played a division rival and has a rematch the following week... oddly enough, the team that won the first matchup is also 1-3 SU & ATS in the trap game. including 2 losses as favorites. and the only win was by Baltimore in that game at san diego last season that I have tried to put out of my mind unsuccessfully for 365 days. that's right, that game was 11/25 last year.
Jacksonville (ML) 1 unit to win 3.5. why the hell not? as horrible as Jacksonville is, Houston is such a trainwreck right now that they had to go to a silent count for a few plays at home last week, because the fans were booing so loudly. if this game is close late, there's going to be a lot of pressure on the Texans.
san diego (+4) 2 units. this line is begging for kc money, but talk about a perfect trap game. next week, the chiefs get another shot at the broncos. and here's some serious handicapping... over the last 4 years, I found 4 examples of teams that lost the first game against a division rival, then had one game before playing that rival again. those teams that lost the first game against their rival went 1-3 both SU and ATS in the trap game. the only team that won in that trap game with a revenge game the following week? indy last year. they lost to Houston 12/16 with a rematch on deck 12/30. on 12/23, indy was laying 4.5 to the hapless chiefs. in a tie game, they scored a td on 3rd and goal from the 7 with 4 minutes left. final score 20-13. however, the chiefs outgained the colts by over 200 yards that day. they just turned the ball over 3 times (vs none for the colts) and gave up a TAINT. anyway, the point is, that trend could very easily be 4-0. sure, it's a tiny sample size, but it does back up the thought that the team that lost the first matchup against a division rival with only one week until the rematch would overlook their current opponent.
jets (ML) 2 units to win 3.4. the jets are the first team in nfl history to alternate wins and losses over their first 10 games. so they're going to win today. simple as that. :0008
indy (+3) 2 units. it seems like every week the linesmakers are begging for indy money. I've finally come to the conclusion that the computers that drive the lines and the big bets just can't account for the success of this team. the colts really are not that good. but somehow they keep winning when they're "not supposed to". they are 3-0 SU as a dog this year. including last year, they are 9-4 SU as a dog. that's pretty damn good. so I've finally drank the koolaid and i'm making the square play. which should guarantee the colts get blown out.
new England (+2.5) 2 units. i'm probably hitting about 5% of my wagers involving the patriots over the last 10 years. but... the flip side of the coin when talking about games involving a team that just played a division rival and has a rematch the following week... oddly enough, the team that won the first matchup is also 1-3 SU & ATS in the trap game. including 2 losses as favorites. and the only win was by Baltimore in that game at san diego last season that I have tried to put out of my mind unsuccessfully for 365 days. that's right, that game was 11/25 last year.
