Sunday

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
Tennessee (+7) 3 units.
Tennessee (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. Houston shouldn't be laying 7 to anyone, especially with fitzgerald. they will keep the other team in the game. taking a look at the first matchup 5 weeks ago, Houston's first 2 td drives were 44 and 20 yards. in fact, they only had one scoring drive over 54 yards. that was mettenberger's first start, and he wasn't horrible, completing 27/41 for 299 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT. in that game, the Texans didn't turn the ball over, while getting 2 TOs from Tennessee. hard to imagine fitzgerald won't turn the ball over a couple times today. Houston has lost their last 3 home games. I don't see any reason Tennessee can't win this game.

Cleveland (ML) 4 units to win 6. I'm just not a believer in buffalo. Cleveland is 4-1 ATS on the road, and 3-0 as a dog, winning the last 2 SU. buffalo is 0-4 ATS their last 4 home games, and they lost 3 of those games SU. the only win was the last-second td against Minnesota.

san diego (+6.5) 2 units.
san diego (ML) 1 unit to win 2.4. ok, this is more a hunch than anything else. sd has dropped 6 straight ATS, and this starts one hell of a closing stretch for them. after this, they finish with new england, Denver, san fran, and at kc. but I just feel like it's a good letdown spot for the ravens after what's perceived as a big road win at new orleans on Monday night followed by a bye. time for the chargers to circle the wagons.

Jacksonville (ML) 3 units to win 3.9. I'm getting the giants as a road fav??? sign me up! I'm actually typing this with my boner (DON'T TRY THIS AT HOME!!!) sorry, my boner hit the caps lock.

tampa (+5) 3 units.
tampa (ML) 2 units to win 4. yeah, I know the bucs are horrible. I knew that they would be when they signed lovie smith to be their coach. this shit ain't rocket science. but we have the classic situation... it's the 3rd straight road game for the bengals. while it hasn't been excessive travel (Houston and new orleans), it's also a great trap game. here's the bengals' last 4 games to finish the season... pitt, at cleveland, denver, and at pitt.

Oakland (+6) 3 units.
Oakland (ML) 2 units to win 4.3. amazingly enough, this is only the 2nd time all year the rams have been favored. the first was week 1. the vikes beat 'em 34-6. I'm expecting a big letdown from the rams. look at the run they're coming off of... win over seattle, loss at kc, win at san fran, tough loss at arizona, win over denver, very tough loss at san diego. they have to feel like this is their chance to catch their breath, with games against Oakland and Washington. mediocre teams in the nfl can't afford to let up, or they will lose to terrible teams.

Minnesota (-2.5) 2 units. hey, a favorite!! how'd that get in there? I keep playing the vikes with bridgewater. they are 3-1 ATS at home with him starting. Carolina looks like a team that's given up, and that starts with cam newton. oh, and next week they are at new orleans. they may not be excited for a cold game in Minnesota.

new england (ML) 3 units to win 3.6. as I've said a few times recently, the pats are back in full FU mode. ever since the loss at kc, the pats are 6-1 ATS, including 2-0 on the road. back to the ground game for new england as green bay allows 4.5 yards/carry, 27th in the nfl. the running game also keeps the ball out of rodgers' hands.
 
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