usually when i have a big day on saturday, i give back a good chunk of it on sunday. so wise gamblers will fade these...
cleveland/tb over (52.5) 4 units. cleveland's defense has been surprisingly bad and tampa bay's defense... well, not a surprise. both are so bad, they might just make baker mayfield vs. jameis winston look like dan fouts vs. dan marino (ask your dad). also, the browns might get caught enjoying their vacation in florida one week before their rematch with the steelers.
jacksonville (-3.5) 2 units. ok, it's no secret the jags suck again. well, mostly bortles. but everybody knows that now, and even after dropping, the line is still over 3. practically begging for texans money. houston just feels like a huge sucker play.
houston/jax under (41.5) 2 units. big game in the division, i expect both defenses to be fired up. and this is my hedge, in case houston wins 33-0.
chicago (ML) 3 units to win 3.3. as you can see from my record, nfl ML plays are killing me. so do yourself a favor, and play the pats. but this ain't the chief's defense, and gronk is out. i'm definitely worried about khalil mack, but i'm hoping he's able to play at a fairly high level.
baltimore (-2.5) 2 units. seems like the entire world is on the saints today. i am no believer in the ravens, but their defense has been very good so far this year, giving up more than 14 points only once. soooo... SOMEBODY has to take one for the team and play the ravens.
washington (ML) 4 units to win 4.2.
under (41) 2 units. dallas is 0-3 on the road, scoring 8, 13, and 16 points. washington, in their last 2 home games, beat green bay and carolina. the 'skins are solid against the run, only giving up 90 yards/game. obviously that is the key to slowing down the dallas offense.
cin/kc over (56.5) 2 units. cincinnati is really banged up in the defensive secondary. they just signed two guys they picked up in the home depot parking lot this morning. and the kc defense (hahahahaha)... yeah. lots o' points.
cleveland/tb over (52.5) 4 units. cleveland's defense has been surprisingly bad and tampa bay's defense... well, not a surprise. both are so bad, they might just make baker mayfield vs. jameis winston look like dan fouts vs. dan marino (ask your dad). also, the browns might get caught enjoying their vacation in florida one week before their rematch with the steelers.
jacksonville (-3.5) 2 units. ok, it's no secret the jags suck again. well, mostly bortles. but everybody knows that now, and even after dropping, the line is still over 3. practically begging for texans money. houston just feels like a huge sucker play.
houston/jax under (41.5) 2 units. big game in the division, i expect both defenses to be fired up. and this is my hedge, in case houston wins 33-0.
chicago (ML) 3 units to win 3.3. as you can see from my record, nfl ML plays are killing me. so do yourself a favor, and play the pats. but this ain't the chief's defense, and gronk is out. i'm definitely worried about khalil mack, but i'm hoping he's able to play at a fairly high level.
baltimore (-2.5) 2 units. seems like the entire world is on the saints today. i am no believer in the ravens, but their defense has been very good so far this year, giving up more than 14 points only once. soooo... SOMEBODY has to take one for the team and play the ravens.
washington (ML) 4 units to win 4.2.
under (41) 2 units. dallas is 0-3 on the road, scoring 8, 13, and 16 points. washington, in their last 2 home games, beat green bay and carolina. the 'skins are solid against the run, only giving up 90 yards/game. obviously that is the key to slowing down the dallas offense.
cin/kc over (56.5) 2 units. cincinnati is really banged up in the defensive secondary. they just signed two guys they picked up in the home depot parking lot this morning. and the kc defense (hahahahaha)... yeah. lots o' points.
