instead of posting late this week, i'm posting super early. played these today.
miami (ML) 1 unit to win 1.3. God help me, but I'm rooting for the dolphins this week. It's hard to tell, but these guys are still professional athletes and they have some pride. In fact, they have covered 3 straight games. they're going to put everything they have into what is a very winnable game for them. in fact, this is probably their best shot at a win, except for cincy in week 15. and, seriously, the jets shouldn't be road favs against anyone.
nyj/miami under (41) 1 unit. oh, great. more money on this game. i see two inept offenses and (hopefully) motivated defenses.
tampa (+6) 2 units. well, this really SUCKS. i just realized i somehow wagered on the seahawks by mistake. so now do i go back and put 4 units on the bucs? really screwed the pooch on this one. i can't imagine they'll let me cancel the bet one day later. never hurts to ask though. ugh. maybe if the line hasn't changed, i'll get lucky. anyway, i'm not going to rehash everything i said two weeks ago. the gist is that the seahawks have not been good at home. 0-4 ATS, 2-2 SU, with both wins by 1 point. seattle still tries to establish the run and tampa actually has the best #s against the run in the league, allowing 3.0 yards/carry. winston absolutely sucks, but if he turns the ball over less than 6 times, the bucs should keep this close.
washington 1st half (+5.5)
washington (ML) 1 unit to win 3.4. oh, great, i gotta root for another horrible team this week. why do i do this to myself? and being in ny, i may get to WATCH this game and the jets/dolphins crap fest. ok, i won't turn the tv off of the redzone channel very much. but the possibility exists that i could watch both of these games at the same time. what a way to ruin a sunday. anyway, the bill suck. so i'll take a shot with one shitty team as a big dog against another shitty team.
denver (+3) 1 unit. is losing joe flacco really that bad? i mean, i'm now getting a fg from baker mayfield on the road. worth a shot. brandon allen can't be THAT bad, can he? yes, i know i'll regret asking that question.
baltimore (+3.5) 2 units
baltimore (ML) 1 unit to win 1.5. ok, i've got lamar jackson against the pats. not good. my best chance is if he doesn't throw a pass all game. you may have noticed, but baltimore likes to run the ball. only SF runs the ball more. and the pats are mediocre at stopping the run, allowing 4.6 yards/carry. they haven't been exposed yet, because they've played an incredibly weak schedule and they've had a lead against everyone. it's not often i say this, but i'd be kinda surprised if the pats win this game.
miami (ML) 1 unit to win 1.3. God help me, but I'm rooting for the dolphins this week. It's hard to tell, but these guys are still professional athletes and they have some pride. In fact, they have covered 3 straight games. they're going to put everything they have into what is a very winnable game for them. in fact, this is probably their best shot at a win, except for cincy in week 15. and, seriously, the jets shouldn't be road favs against anyone.
nyj/miami under (41) 1 unit. oh, great. more money on this game. i see two inept offenses and (hopefully) motivated defenses.
tampa (+6) 2 units. well, this really SUCKS. i just realized i somehow wagered on the seahawks by mistake. so now do i go back and put 4 units on the bucs? really screwed the pooch on this one. i can't imagine they'll let me cancel the bet one day later. never hurts to ask though. ugh. maybe if the line hasn't changed, i'll get lucky. anyway, i'm not going to rehash everything i said two weeks ago. the gist is that the seahawks have not been good at home. 0-4 ATS, 2-2 SU, with both wins by 1 point. seattle still tries to establish the run and tampa actually has the best #s against the run in the league, allowing 3.0 yards/carry. winston absolutely sucks, but if he turns the ball over less than 6 times, the bucs should keep this close.
washington 1st half (+5.5)
washington (ML) 1 unit to win 3.4. oh, great, i gotta root for another horrible team this week. why do i do this to myself? and being in ny, i may get to WATCH this game and the jets/dolphins crap fest. ok, i won't turn the tv off of the redzone channel very much. but the possibility exists that i could watch both of these games at the same time. what a way to ruin a sunday. anyway, the bill suck. so i'll take a shot with one shitty team as a big dog against another shitty team.
denver (+3) 1 unit. is losing joe flacco really that bad? i mean, i'm now getting a fg from baker mayfield on the road. worth a shot. brandon allen can't be THAT bad, can he? yes, i know i'll regret asking that question.
baltimore (+3.5) 2 units
baltimore (ML) 1 unit to win 1.5. ok, i've got lamar jackson against the pats. not good. my best chance is if he doesn't throw a pass all game. you may have noticed, but baltimore likes to run the ball. only SF runs the ball more. and the pats are mediocre at stopping the run, allowing 4.6 yards/carry. they haven't been exposed yet, because they've played an incredibly weak schedule and they've had a lead against everyone. it's not often i say this, but i'd be kinda surprised if the pats win this game.
