Sunday's best NBA bets

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Sunday's best NBA bets

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-8, 193.5)

The holidays are supposed to be all about giving. Well, the Miami Heat missed that memo.

The Heat have been as stingy as Scrooge, holding their last five opponents to an average of 88 points per game. Miami leaned on its defense to hold off the pesky New York Knicks on Christmas Day, defeating New York 93-87 and limiting the Knicks to 41 percent shooting from the field.

"We're not a team that can come out and spar and see the pace of the game and then get going," coach Erik Spoelstra told reporters after the win. "That's just not our personality. We have to be on edge however we get there, Ray Lewis-style. We have to dictate the energy and tempo of the game from the beginning."

The Heat forced 18 turnovers against New York and pressured the Utah Jazz to cough up the ball 21 times in an 80-70 win for the Heat Wednesday. Both those games fell below the total, improving Miami to 1-3 over/under in the last four games.

The Heat and Pacers meet earlier this season, with Miami taking a 96-83 win that played under the 213-point total in October.

Pick: Under 193.5

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets (-6.5, 207)

Chauncey Billups isn?t going to dive head-first back into action after missing time with a groin injury. However, facing a talented backcourt like Dallas, the veteran point guard might not have a choice.

Billups was back in the starting lineup in a loss to the Portland Trail Blazers Christmas Day, but played just the first half. He finished with 10 points and five assists, leaving the majority of time to backups Ty Lawson and Anthony Carter.

"He's our motor," coach George Karl told the Denver Post. "The best way to get him into the game is from the starting position. He's had a couple of good days. It's one of these situations where if he's healthy, he'll get back into it pretty quickly."

Denver has struggled without Billups at 100 percent. They finished 1-2 SU and ATS in the three games he sat out. The Nuggets lost as 1-point underdog Friday, dropping the team to 5-5 ATS in their last 10 contest.

Versus the Mavericks, Billups has been a stud. He helped led the team over Dallas in a 4-1 series victory in the playoffs last season, scoring 28 points in the deciding game. But a less-than-healthy Billups will have a tough time keeping up with Jason Terry, Jason Kidd and Jose Barea Sunday.

Pick: Dallas +6.5
 

Lumi

LOKI
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DUNKEL INDEX

DUNKEL INDEX

Today's NBA Picks
San Antonio at New York
The Knicks look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games against the Southwest Division. New York is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: New York (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 27
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Detroit at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.274; Toronto 120.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 11; 186
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: Indiana at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 113.137; Miami 123.667
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 194
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8); Under
Game 505-506: Houston at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.256; Cleveland 127.145
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 193
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+8); Under
Game 507-508: San Antonio at New York
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.241; New York 120.950
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 198
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: New York (+2 1/2); Over
Game 509-510: Dallas at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.142; Denver 122.920
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+6 1/2); Under
Game 511-512: Boston at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 124.614; LA Clippers 116.088
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 8 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 
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