First off, I'm taking 2 matchup plays offered by WSEX.
GP 7th: I'm taking Continental Red and The Judge Sez Who at even money over the team of Best of the Rest and St Marden. St Marden does worry me a bit since there looks to be a lot of potential but Bailey decided to head west rather than take this mount in a $1,000,000 race. The Judge Says Who is as consistent as they come and Continental Red is no slouch either.
Best of the Rest is a public horse and is usually overbet.
GP 9th: I'm taking the team of Maliziosa and Stay Forever at -125 over the team of Cellars Shiraz and Jennasietta. Stay Forever won her first 4 races on turf this year then finally was beaten 1 length by male horses in her last. Maliziosa is trained by Mott and has been facing open company; some of it in graded stakes. Cellar's Shiraz is probably the tougher of the 2 opponents.
Filly Sprint: On paper the 2 outside horses may be the ones to beat but they ship cross country and have the 2 outside posts; not thrilled about that. Fly Me Crazy could be the overlay since she has improved with the claim. Chispiski gets the lead here.
Turf: Probably will play against Forbidden Apple; he travelled and drew badly w/the 11 hole. Adminniestator could be a live horse and the Bailey/Mott horse from the inside could be tough also.
Classic: I like The Judge Says Who best in here as the 4 YO is very solid. Saint Marden could be tough but Bailey decided to go to SA rather than ride; must not be 100% off the layoff. Booklet likes the track and will be tough if he clears but from the 12 post that won't be easy. Continental Red and Best of the Rest are also contenders.
Dash: Taking Supah Blitz hoping for a lively pace. Excessivepleasure will be tough to beat but at 7f I'll take the live horse turning back from 1 1/8 miles on the turf.
Sprint: I'm hoping to get a price on Joey Franco. It looks like you can toss his last 2; faced tough older males in a turf stake in his last, then had the 11 post at inside biased Hoosier Park. His DelMar numbers put him right there. Giovannetti loves SA and has won 4 in a row. I'm expecting Echo Eddie to be favored.
Distaff--I'm wondering if this was the real reason Bailey flew to SoCal for Smok N Frolic. Looks solid but not overpowering. I like Cee's Elegance and Erica's Smile a bit also and expect Svea Dahl to get a rough trip.