super bowl play & props

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
8*n.e.(p) & over 30.5--pretty confident that n.e. will win this game, but may not cover the spread. so i decided to play this tease & really like it for the following reasons:

n.e. is 12-0 su & 10-2 ats when favored.

favorites are 9-0 su & 6-2-1 ats in the last 9 bowls, when there is a bye week.

favorites with 3 or fewer losses on the season are 8-2-1 ats in superbowls in which there was a week off between games.

the team with the better su record(n.e.) is 10-1-1 ats recently if they covered the spread in their conference championship game & are not favored by more than 10 points.

n.e. is 42-4-1 ats in games they win against opponents off b2b wins.

the teams with the longest winning streak (n.e.) entering the super bowl is 18-5-2 ats.

su winners in the bowl are 32-3-2 ats.

ne. is 9-0 ats after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games this season.

over the last 24 years, teams with a better spread record (n.e.) have won 18 superbowls outright & lost 5 times.
teams with a better ats record (n.e.) have gone 15-5-2 ats in the last 22 years in the superbowl.

teams are 3-11-1 ats in their very first superbowl (carolina) vs. a team with superbowl experience, but tampa bay won last year.

n.e. is 7-0 su & 6-1 ats when facing teams who made the playoffs this year & have averaged 27 points per game.

n.e. is 9-1 su & 7-2-1 ats vs. common opponents & holds a scoring advantage of 24-16 on average, while carolina is 6-4 su & 4-6 ats vs. the same opposition & has a 21-20 edge.

think belichek will play mind games with delhomme, who is still basically a first year qb, with only 2 starts before this year.

carolina has lost only 2 games by more than 6 points this season.

carolina has given up over 25 points once this season & 5 times in 35 games in the 2 years that fox has been the coach.

carolina is 6-1 su/ats as a dog this year.

since 1985, there have been 19 superbowls. 12 of the 14 that were played with a bye week went over the total.

the last 20 bowls with a bye week have averaged 52.8 points per game, & the last 9 games with a bye week have averaged 59.7 points per game.

carolina has gone over in 8 of their last 9 vs. teams with a winning percentage of .454 or better.

n.e. is 7-1 over/under after allowing 14 points or less in their previous game.

carolina is 6-1 over/under when playing a team with a winning record this year.

played 2 props:

.5*will the game be decided by 3 points--yes +380

6 times carolina's games have been decided by 3 points.

.5*will the game go into overtime--yes +600

7 times carolina & n.e. games have combined to go into ot.

good luck & enjoy the game!!
 

gardenweasel

el guapo
Forum Member
Jan 10, 2002
40,584
231
63
"the bunker"
good job

good job

had the kitty`s and a small under.. but only only broke about even on props....won bread money:shrug: .....

nice way to end the season....that+380 must have felt nice.....

g.l.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top