- SUPER BOWL -

the addict

BI-WINNING
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2009
13,034
116
0
40
PA proud
Have lots of interest on props....my take on the game is most likely resulting in a play on a side...but gonna wait extra day....the total I like now...



Matchups to watch-

1. MATCHUP: GRONK- VS LOB-

100% gronk is a huge key to this game

Pats are succesful if he is
Seahawks are succesful if he is not

I think Seattle thinks they have plans to stop him....but is that possible?

EDGE: PATRIOTS- GRONK IS GRONK UNTIL PROVEN OTHERWISE



2. MATCHUP: PATRIOTS OFFENSIVE UNIT VS SEATTLE DEFENSIVE UNIT-


I know one thing....Gronk and Edelman both better strap it up.....because I promise seattle is going to do everything they can inside of 5 yards to destroy these guys...I anticipate Gronk is expecting it and ready to bang pads...should be fun to watch....edelman will have to be creative because he isnt over powering anyone inside the LOB...

This to me is such a fun matchup....the genius of Belichik and Brady VS. just the raw talent of seattle defense.....what a matchup....GRONK will need help elsewhere from the pats WRS...


EDGE: SEATTLE DEFENSE- NO ONE HAS BEEN ABLE TO REALLY OVER POWER OR CONFUSE THEM IN 2 YEARS....NOT GONNA START NOW...PATS WILL FIND SUCCESS IN SPOTS, BUT NOT OVERWHELMING





3. MATCHUP: PATRIOTS DEFENSIVE UNIT VS SEATTLE OFFENSIVE UNIT-


New england DEF I think has big edge vs seattle Offense...in regards to talent...and noone will outscheme Belichick. ...but Russ somehow creates like noone else...if the PATS can do what all others haven't been able to, and keep russ in the pocket...the pats win this matchup....if russ creates time and can find guys downfield, well we know how that goes....russ wilson's only big time struggles are when you take away his mobility..

EDGE: PATRIOTS- I THINK HOODIE CREATES WAYS TO GET TO RUSS AND KEEP HIM IN THE POCKET...REMEMBER THE NAME BRANDON COLLINS


4. MATCHUP: LYNCH VS BLOUNT-

holy shit. Lots of muscle running through the tackles here. I give the PATS credit...Blount seems to fuck up anywhere else. They seem to get more out of him then anyone else could....But.....but....come on its beast mode....skittles and weird interviews....does not get better in regards to power rushers and what Seattle can do with this guy....


EDGE: SEATTLE- BEAST MODE IS SCARY




5. MATCHUP: PETE CARROLL VS BILL BELICHICK-

Hoodie- Nuff' said


EDGE: PATRIOTS- HOODIE












Overall all my opinions all lead me directly to the under


Both defenses are clearly better then the opposing offensive units....revis/browner/chung/arrington...that secondary is just as capable as LOB...just little less talent overall.. ...

When you look at a game and the general public knows 15+ defensive names in a game, the defensive sides have talent....

I think this is the most talent on defense between 2 teams in 15+ years in a superbowl....and 2 coaches who are smart and capable of putting those defensive stars in positions to make great plays...



I am taking the under for about 3X and rooting for a defensive game

PLAYS:




SEAHAWKS/PATRIOTS UNDER 48
 
Last edited:

the addict

BI-WINNING
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2009
13,034
116
0
40
PA proud
Props:


Tom Brady first pass will be: COMPLETE VS. INCOMPLETE - (Interception counts as incomplete)

WAGER: COMPLETE -170




think the combination of belichick/mcdaniels/brady knows how crucial it is to start quick with positive plays against this defense. Think they know if seattle opens with TFL or something like a saftey vs Denver last year, that defense will be very confident early...anything but a 3 and out....that means positive plays ....the high percentage plays to avoid lisses are quick hitters...

If the pats go out and complete a few quick and early and run the ball effectively, well Belichick knows how important those rythms are for an offensive unit


Think they come out with couple quick slants or screens


Lots of thought for something that is over after 1 play :shrug:
 
Last edited:

the addict

BI-WINNING
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2009
13,034
116
0
40
PA proud
ANOTHER PROP I LIKE



TOM BRADY 1ST RUSHING ATTEMPT: OVER 1.5 YARDS VS UNDER 1.5 YARDS

WAGER: UNDER 1.5 YARDS +120




Patriots love the QB sneak...Brady is probably the best to ever do it from his position. I think he tries it early on a 4th down where Belichick goes for it...He may....MAY be lucky to gain 1 yard on this defensive front 7....but no more....and if he tries scrambling....LOOK OUT these guys may kill him. he may get a few rush attempts late in 2nd/4th quarters if seattle drops to a zone/prevent to limit the patriots if they get in that position, but otherwise I can't imagine Brady running the ball....ANY....unless it is one of those sneaks for possibly 1/2-1 yard gain...
 

the addict

BI-WINNING
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2009
13,034
116
0
40
PA proud
Props:

Tom Brady first pass will be: COMPLETE VS. INCOMPLETE - (Interception counts as incomplete)

WAGER: COMPLETE -170

think the combination of belichick/mcdaniels/brady knows how crucial it is to start quick with positive plays against this defense. Think they know if seattle opens with TFL or something like a saftey vs Denver last year, that defense will be very confident early...anything but a 3 and out....that means positive plays ....the high percentage plays to avoid lisses are quick hitters...

If the pats go out and complete a few quick and early and run the ball effectively, well Belichick knows how important those rythms are for an offensive unit

Think they come out with couple quick slants or screens

Lots of thought for something that is over after 1 play :shrug:

Winnerr
 

the addict

BI-WINNING
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2009
13,034
116
0
40
PA proud
2nd half under is tempting


Lots will chase more pts......lynch isnt goin anuwhere he will touch it 15 more times minimum
 

the addict

BI-WINNING
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2009
13,034
116
0
40
PA proud
PATS UNDER- LOSS

BRADY 1ST COMPLETION- WIN

BRADY 1ST RUSH UNDER 1.5 YDS- WIN

BRANDON LAFELL UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS- WIN

BRANDON LAFELL UNDER 51.5 YARDS- WIN
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top