about 8 weeks ago, i bet the niners to win the SB. 2 units to win 10. i'm letting it ride, as i love their chances today. in championship games, good defense beats good offense.
i'm hoping all the injured niners on the defensive side of the ball are healthy enough to make a significant contribution. one stat i saw a few weeks ago sums it up... when bosa, alexander, and ford are on the field for SF, opposing qbs have a QBR of 3.0. that is out of 100. it was only for 108 snaps before alexander tore his pec and missed most of the season. but that's an insane number.
anyway, here's what else i played today...
1st Q under (9.5). 3 units to win 3.9. yeah, it's a shitty number. but it was the only option available to me friday morning when i stopped by the casino. i would feel a lot better about under 10. we'll see what happens. looking for a long SF drive ending in a FG and a quick kc drive ending in a punt.
1st H under (26.5). 4 units. got a good number here, as it's down to 25 at some places. more of the same.... long SF drives and some stops on d.
kc TT under (27.5) 3 units. this is easily the best defense the chiefs have seen in the postseason.
kendrick bourne over 2.5 catches
bourne over 23.5 yards. 2 units each. i like what i've seen from bourne lately. defenses need to defend the run, and kittle, samuel, and sanders. bourne is emerging as a great option that defenses just can't focus on.
two props that i love, but weren't available at the casino... kc to have the most penalties and number of players to attempt a pass over 2.5. that over was +120 or +130. loved it. oh well.
i'm hoping all the injured niners on the defensive side of the ball are healthy enough to make a significant contribution. one stat i saw a few weeks ago sums it up... when bosa, alexander, and ford are on the field for SF, opposing qbs have a QBR of 3.0. that is out of 100. it was only for 108 snaps before alexander tore his pec and missed most of the season. but that's an insane number.
anyway, here's what else i played today...
1st Q under (9.5). 3 units to win 3.9. yeah, it's a shitty number. but it was the only option available to me friday morning when i stopped by the casino. i would feel a lot better about under 10. we'll see what happens. looking for a long SF drive ending in a FG and a quick kc drive ending in a punt.
1st H under (26.5). 4 units. got a good number here, as it's down to 25 at some places. more of the same.... long SF drives and some stops on d.
kc TT under (27.5) 3 units. this is easily the best defense the chiefs have seen in the postseason.
kendrick bourne over 2.5 catches
bourne over 23.5 yards. 2 units each. i like what i've seen from bourne lately. defenses need to defend the run, and kittle, samuel, and sanders. bourne is emerging as a great option that defenses just can't focus on.
two props that i love, but weren't available at the casino... kc to have the most penalties and number of players to attempt a pass over 2.5. that over was +120 or +130. loved it. oh well.
