superbowl play & info.....

[AR182]

this is a point driven super bowl system that has been floating around the net for the past few years (forgot where it originated from)...& has correctly predicted the su winner of the super bowl something like 95% of the time...had the steelers, but lost on the bears.

please check to see if there are any mistakes...

10pts to a team that has won the super bowl in the last 3 yrs......pats 10

8pts to team if opponent is making first super bowl appearance....n/a

8pts to team that allowed fewer rushes....pats 8

7pts to team with best overall record....pats 7

7pts to team with most offensive rushes...giants 7

5pts to team with lower defensive rush yds per carry...giants 5

4pts to team with best net kick/punt return tds...pats 4

4pts to team with best ats record....giants 4

4pts to team with best net penalty yds...giants 4

3.5pts to team with best pass yds per attempt...
pats 3.5

3.5pts to team that allowed fewest points...pats 3.5

3.5pts to team that allowed fewest rushing tds....
pats 3.5

3pts to team with most sacks....giants 3

2.5pts to team with fewest pass attempts...giants 2.5

2pts to team with best net total punts....pats 2.5

1.5pts to team with best offensive rush yds per carry....giants 1.5

1pt to team with best completion %...pats 1

total....pats 42.5...giants 27

good luck..

 

[BigFatLooza]

Wow! I never heard of this system, but that predicted score looks so realistic! Does this system work on the o/u? Based on these numbers the over might be the play!

 

[AR182]

Wow! I never heard of this system, but that predicted score looks so realistic! Does this system work on the o/u? Based on these numbers the over might be the play!

it is not predicting the score....it is predicting the su winner...which is no surprise that it's the pats..

 

[Mully]

it is not predicting the score....it is predicting the su winner...which is no surprise that it's the pats..

I've used this system every year and It works like a charm...Not always ATS however...

Best of luck to you SB weekend. Hope you had a good stay in Vegas.

 

[Kazaam]

Money Line Bet on the Pats!:00hour

 

[CWood97]

Was hoping you would post this. Thanks AR

 

[AR182]

Was hoping you would post this. Thanks AR

my pleasure cw..

the following info i got from another capper at another forum...i didn't verify the accuracy of the info...

since 1980 teams who won playoff game in ot are 5-10 su & 7-8 ats next game, including 0-2 su/ats in the sb.....

twice in last 10 yrs their has been a rematch of regular season game, in both games the team that lost the regular season game won the sb...

teams that won as dogs to go to sb are 10-6-1 ats, since 1981.....they are 4-0 ats l 4. n.eng 02, car 03, t.bay 04 & pitt 06.....

last 3 teams had to win as dog twice row to advance to sb are 3-0 ats in sb....

 

[Juu3]

my pleasure cw..

the following info i got from another capper at another forum...i didn't verify the accuracy of the info...

since 1980 teams who won playoff game in ot are 5-10 su & 7-8 ats next game, including 0-2 su/ats in the sb.....

twice in last 10 yrs their has been a rematch of regular season game, in both games the team that lost the regular season game won the sb...

teams that won as dogs to go to sb are 10-6-1 ats, since 1981.....they are 4-0 ats l 4. n.eng 02, car 03, t.bay 04 & pitt 06.....

last 3 teams had to win as dog twice row to advance to sb are 3-0 ats in sb....

now that's some real info...thanks AR! lookin favorable for the Gmen...

 

[AR182]

additional info...again nothing has been verified..

bellichick is 13-1 su when the game total is 49+ pts, he is 36-15 su & 30-19-2 ats vs nfc opp, including 25-10 su/ats if scored 28 or less pts last game....

coughlin is 6-2 ats as a dog of 11+ pts & 17-11 ats as a dog off su dog win ( 6-1 su/ats l 7 )....he is 8-7 su & 9-4-2 ats vs undefeated teams....

brady is 11-11 as dd fav.....manning is 19-9-1 ats away & 29-12-1 ats after scoring 17+ pts....

teams who score less than 20 pts are 0-23 su & 3-19-1 ats in sb....teams that score 27+ pts are 23-1su & 21-2-1 ats in sb.

 

[Morris]

Thanks AR..Good info!

 

[AR182]

thanks morris...

here is another system that i got from another capper.....

super bowl system - this system is 36-5 ats for the Super Bowl

play on a super bowl team that covered in their conference championship game if the opponent did not cover in their game.

record: 5-1-1 (giants covered, pats did not)

if both teams covered, play on team with more overall wins

record: 17-3-2

if still tied, take the dog

record: 36-5

this system says to play the giants

now here is an explanation of the above system by this capper...

The system is a 3-part system.

If one of the SB teams lost ATS in the conf championship game and the other team won, then your team is the one that covered.

If both or neither team covered, you move to the second part of the system to determine the winner which is to take the team with the most wins in the regular season.

If both teams had the same amount of wins during the regular season, you move to the 3rd part which says to take the dog.

In our case this year, we stop at the first step since the Giants covered and New England did not. The Giants are the play.

In the SB's where you stop after the first part of this system the record is 5-1-1, if you have to continue to step 2, the record moves to 17-3-2, which includes the 5-1-1 in the first step.

If you have to go all the way through to step 3, the record moves to 36-5. I don't know what happened to the pushes that were involved in the first 2 steps and I can't remember where I got this angle. I have been going through website after website looking for technical angles and this is one that I have had for at least 3 years

 

[AR182]

this is a point driven super bowl system that has been floating around the net for the past few years (forgot where it originated from)...& has correctly predicted the su winner of the super bowl something like 95% of the time...had the steelers, but lost on the bears.

please check to see if there are any mistakes...

10pts to a team that has won the super bowl in the last 3 yrs......pats 10

8pts to team if opponent is making first super bowl appearance....n/a

8pts to team that allowed fewer rushes....pats 8

7pts to team with best overall record....pats 7

7pts to team with most offensive rushes...giants 7

5pts to team with lower defensive rush yds per carry...giants 5

4pts to team with best net kick/punt return tds...pats 4

4pts to team with best ats record....giants 4

4pts to team with best net penalty yds...giants 4

3.5pts to team with best pass yds per attempt...
pats 3.5

3.5pts to team that allowed fewest points...pats 3.5

3.5pts to team that allowed fewest rushing tds....
pats 3.5

3pts to team with most sacks....giants 3

2.5pts to team with fewest pass attempts...giants 2.5

2pts to team with best net total punts....pats 2.5

1.5pts to team with best offensive rush yds per carry....giants 1.5

1pt to team with best completion %...pats 1

total....pats 42.5...giants 27

good luck..

i just did a madjacks history search...& i found that i posted this system a few times over the years & found the system picks the ats winner

 

[Kramer]

I know where you're going with this AL, but I
don't buy it. :mj07: :142smilie

We may have both been on the same bet last
week, but I can see a head butting this week

:scared :scared :scared

 

[AR182]

I know where you're going with this AL, but I
don't buy it. :mj07: :142smilie

We may have both been on the same bet last
week, but I can see a head butting this week

:scared :scared :scared

:mj07: :mj07: where do you think i'm going with this....

btw...i'm posting this for others...maybe it helps them.....this info has no bearing on what i'm taking...

 

[Kramer]

:mj07: :mj07: :142smilie :142smilie

HOMER


THAT'S WHERE YOU'RE GOING


:00x32 :00x32 :00x32

 

[AR182]

:mj07: :mj07: :142smilie :142smilie

HOMER


THAT'S WHERE YOU'RE GOING


:00x32 :00x32 :00x32

wrong !!

i knew that's what you thought....:142smilie :mj07:

 

[AR182]

all of the info that i have posted about the superbowl was for other people's pleasures...i had no plans on betting either side on the game...

last week i hit a rather large play on the ne/ sd under & for the superbowl i'm going to play under again...but for a considerably smaller amount

under 54 (green valley ranch)....

i just think that the giants are going to follow sd's gameplan from last week & run the ball & try to play keep away from the pats offense. it also seems that during the playoffs, bellichick has been running the ball more once they take the lead. so i think under is the way to go for this game..

here are some trends supporting my play (i know that you can find trends to support any other play)...

giants are 6-0 under in road games off 1 or more straight overs this season..... the average score was giants 21.5, opponent 12.8

giants are 33-17 under after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992.....

giants are 12-3 under in road games after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992....

giants are 29-14 under after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.....

the pats are 16-6 under in playoff games since 1992.....

the pats are 21-9 under in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.....

i will continue posting any info that i find on the game....

good luck...

 

[MrChristo]

Here's another (albeit a small sampled) one...

League: 0-5 under as a 10+ dog off a SU win as 7+ dog with 34+ mins TOP. [NYG]

They are also 5-0 ats, but losses of 14 and 13 in there. (Bit crabby with myself for not taking the 14 :banghead: )

It seems to back up exactly what you are saying. :toast:

 

[escarzamd]

Man, I'm scared of the total......I just think the Maroney show in the playoffs was weather/tactically related.

Every indicator......Brady gimpin' around on TV, Jints smashmouth/thunder-n-lightning resurgence, their STELLAR road record, wicked front 4 pressure on the QB of late..........pointing at Jints and under.

I'm afraid the Jints have already played their best hand in Wk 17. Still issues in the secondary there. The Jedi master has two weeks to tweak it up for Eli (no longer shall I call him Ellie!), and gisele's BoyToy isn't a scrambler.....he's a Marino-like pocket shuffler. Line is a no play (NE if any), but that total just feels low to me. Good luck.......only way the Jints can win is an under, imho. Waiting on the ticket word.....

 

[AR182]

doc....

i know it looks scary..that's why i played it...

but i think the pats defense will step up for this game (they didn't play badly against jax & sd) & i don't think the giants will do much damage on them...as you indicated, i think the giants will try & play keep away from the pats...& on defense the giants will try to keep everything in front of them...i see ne scoring anywhere from 24-34 points...& the giants scoring anywhere from 13-20 points...& i don't think the total will go into the 50's....but i can be wrong...

anyway it's a considerably smaller play than the ne/sd under...

no problem if you can't get the tickets...enjoy the game..