Survivor Opinions Please? Especially Pats game.

[pointspred fred]

27,859 runners left out of 149,067 that started. I've already used Sea. Using KC now would be stupid considering they have so much future value. That leaves me with The Patriots, The Donkeys, The Steelers. Packers too but they also have a bunch of future value.

We have a honeymoon game for TEN with a new coach. Vrabel has revenge. Do they cancel eachother out? I think so. Not sure.
What sucks is since 2010, teams that make an in-season coaching change have gone 17-16 SU and 20-13 ATS in the next game. The key seems to be making the coaching change early in the season.

Interim coaches that took over prior to Week 13 are a shockingly good 11-4 SU and ATS since 2010.

Teams playing their third consecutive road game are just 46-72 SU since 2003, regardless of the outcome of the first two games.

When the team has won the first two games of a three-game trip, like the Patriots have here, they are just 15-27 SU and 16-24-2 ATS in the third game.

On the flip side, home dogs of 7 or more in the first half of the season (Week 9 or earlier) have been on an insane 20-2-2 ATS run the L3+ years (including the Giants’ outright win last week).

Is my play Denver here or Pats no matter what the Systems and trends look like?

 

[Goldylock$]

My opinion is you should at least consider Pittsburgh. I do not know anything about their future schedule.

 

[Tenpin832]

Future value is only value if you're still alive
Personally try to stick with home teams until I can't, also goes for divisional match ups but having a hard time avoiding all that.
Personally taking KC and then Colts next week, figure it out from there if I'm still in the running
Good Luck whatever you decide!!!

 

[pointspred fred]

Future value is only value if you're still alive
Personally try to stick with home teams until I can't, also goes for divisional match ups but having a hard time avoiding all that.
Personally taking KC and then Colts next week, figure it out from there if I'm still in the running
Good Luck whatever you decide!!!

I'd rather be out of the thing early than have no value late.

 

[pointspred fred]

My opinion is you should at least consider Pittsburgh. I do not know anything about their future schedule.

Absolutely. Looked at it. Road Division game and a weird 5.5 number. but yes. you're right, they barely have any future value either.

 

[shamrock]

Patriots will kill Titans…Vrable revenge.

 

[pointspred fred]

Patriots will kill Titans…Vrable revenge.

Like them better than the Denver v Giants? Denver D legit AF. Giants recency bias might drive people off Denver too.

 

[pointspred fred]

My opinion is you should at least consider Pittsburgh. I do not know anything about their future schedule.

PHHHHHHEW. Faded. Think I'm gunna be on Denver.

 

[Goldylock$]

PHHHHHHEW. Faded. Think I'm gunna be on Denver.

Sorry 😬 good luck

 

[Plegacy]

27,859 runners left out of 149,067 that started. I've already used Sea. Using KC now would be stupid considering they have so much future value. That leaves me with The Patriots, The Donkeys, The Steelers. Packers too but they also have a bunch of future value.

We have a honeymoon game for TEN with a new coach. Vrabel has revenge. Do they cancel eachother out? I think so. Not sure.
What sucks is since 2010, teams that make an in-season coaching change have gone 17-16 SU and 20-13 ATS in the next game. The key seems to be making the coaching change early in the season.

Interim coaches that took over prior to Week 13 are a shockingly good 11-4 SU and ATS since 2010.

Teams playing their third consecutive road game are just 46-72 SU since 2003, regardless of the outcome of the first two games.

When the team has won the first two games of a three-game trip, like the Patriots have here, they are just 15-27 SU and 16-24-2 ATS in the third game.

On the flip side, home dogs of 7 or more in the first half of the season (Week 9 or earlier) have been on an insane 20-2-2 ATS run the L3+ years (including the Giants’ outright win last week).

Is my play Denver here or Pats no matter what the Systems and trends look like?

Thats some serious info... 🤔

 

[Kramer]

You should save Denver for week 10 at home vs the Raiders
You should save the Patriots for week 11 at home vs the Jets
I’ve got two entries in my pool and am taking the Chiefs in one and the Bears in the other
Best of Luck to you!

 

[Kramer]

You should save Denver for week 10 at home vs the Raiders
You should save the Patriots for week 11 at home vs the Jets
I’ve got two entries in my pool and am taking the Chiefs in one and the Bears in the other
Best of Luck to you!

The only other strong game for the Chiefs is week 16, at Tennessee
I thought out the whole season and we have to make stinky decisions a time or two.
In my contest, you get one strike and you are still alive, but you have double picks on weeks 4, 11, and 15, so you have to pick 21 teams out of 32 teams, got to make some tuff choices, The next two weeks are easy,
Tennessee at Indy, and the Saints at the Rams, you got to map out a plan at the beginning of the season!

 

[shamrock]

Like them better than the Denver v Giants? Denver D legit AF. Giants recency bias might drive people off Denver too.

Patriots line has moved down from -7--6.5… Denver has moved from -7- -8… And Broncos are home. So the line favors Denver which is always a good way to go. I love Patriots today… But that said my biggest play is New England/Denver tease. Best of luck whatever you choose.