d'backs 60 (Schilling@Cruz)
--Schilling has been quite hot since coming off the DL - has had mixed success vs Cubs, a little on the plus side; Cruz is a hard-chucker (get lotsa K's ... and BB's) and was pretty good for 6 innings in his 1st start of the year July 26th @Astros (got the loss in a 3-1 game); offenses ranked pretty even here, but D'Backs have really been stinking it up on the road lately, and Cubs output yesterday may be a sign of things to come - tough to do the same here, though, vs Schilling; edge to D'Backs pen and defense; line looks right at -150
--total unknown, but I'll try it small at under 8.5 -110 if possible; probably pass on an 8; will love a 9, regardless of weather, as Schilling generally keeps the ball in the park, and D'Backs have not been slugging well on the road (Cruz about an HR allowed/game for his career)
Phillies 66 (Jarvis@Millwood)
--Jarvis has been (surprisingly) great lately, including a solid 8 IP @Giants last time out (got the W in a 2-1 game), and he threw only 89 pitches (will be working on 5 days rest); Jarvis has also had great success vs Philly in his career (4-0, 2.44 era in 7 games, 6 starts); Millwood has been brutal in his past 2, not making it out of the 4th inning both times (vs Mets then @Marlins) - he has been solid vs Padres in his career (4-1, 2.98 in 9 starts); Pads have been hitting well lately, and who knows what's up with Millwood (AND Jarvis, for that matter); price looks about right for this one, though there's no way I'd lay that kinda juice in this matchup right now, despite Philly's current surge
--I get 53% on the under 7.5, passing on the -105
rockies 53 (Stark@Torres)
--Stark roughed up by Milwaukee last time out, but has been pretty solid (in short outtings) since being called up at the start of July; Torres has been solid lately, including a fine 7-inning performance @Cards last time out (no decision in a 4-3 Cards win -- Cards scoring 3 in the bottom of the 9th off the BP) - he is 0-2 w/6.75 era vs Rocks in his career, 4 G, 2 starts); clear offensive edge to the Rockies here, but Pirates have been hitting very well on their current homestand; neither BP impressive, but Rocks' pen has been much better lately (not difficult); price looks even
--total looks even at 9
--Schilling has been quite hot since coming off the DL - has had mixed success vs Cubs, a little on the plus side; Cruz is a hard-chucker (get lotsa K's ... and BB's) and was pretty good for 6 innings in his 1st start of the year July 26th @Astros (got the loss in a 3-1 game); offenses ranked pretty even here, but D'Backs have really been stinking it up on the road lately, and Cubs output yesterday may be a sign of things to come - tough to do the same here, though, vs Schilling; edge to D'Backs pen and defense; line looks right at -150
--total unknown, but I'll try it small at under 8.5 -110 if possible; probably pass on an 8; will love a 9, regardless of weather, as Schilling generally keeps the ball in the park, and D'Backs have not been slugging well on the road (Cruz about an HR allowed/game for his career)
Phillies 66 (Jarvis@Millwood)
--Jarvis has been (surprisingly) great lately, including a solid 8 IP @Giants last time out (got the W in a 2-1 game), and he threw only 89 pitches (will be working on 5 days rest); Jarvis has also had great success vs Philly in his career (4-0, 2.44 era in 7 games, 6 starts); Millwood has been brutal in his past 2, not making it out of the 4th inning both times (vs Mets then @Marlins) - he has been solid vs Padres in his career (4-1, 2.98 in 9 starts); Pads have been hitting well lately, and who knows what's up with Millwood (AND Jarvis, for that matter); price looks about right for this one, though there's no way I'd lay that kinda juice in this matchup right now, despite Philly's current surge
--I get 53% on the under 7.5, passing on the -105
rockies 53 (Stark@Torres)
--Stark roughed up by Milwaukee last time out, but has been pretty solid (in short outtings) since being called up at the start of July; Torres has been solid lately, including a fine 7-inning performance @Cards last time out (no decision in a 4-3 Cards win -- Cards scoring 3 in the bottom of the 9th off the BP) - he is 0-2 w/6.75 era vs Rocks in his career, 4 G, 2 starts); clear offensive edge to the Rockies here, but Pirates have been hitting very well on their current homestand; neither BP impressive, but Rocks' pen has been much better lately (not difficult); price looks even
--total looks even at 9
win ... grrr
