Had to go out and have a busy, crappy day yesterday.
Got home and checked the scores and found out that I had had a really crappy day. Chase on Jays and double-pump-Rangers did not dispel the wound. One great day, one crappy day, so far in August. Onward to glory ...
--------------------------------------------------
Braves 80 (Mullen@Ortiz)
--Ortiz has been about even in his career vs Dodgers, but hasn't faced them this year, where he seems to be a different pitcher, and I've noticed him performing against other opponents that had hit him in past years; the % is if either lefty, Mullen OR Victor Alvarez get the start - both are large on the X-factor side, meaning I'm looking for a higher value+ than the PV+5 I've been trying with; system likes an X-factor under for the 8.5; I expect A. Jones back in the lineup, but Bragg filled in well for him yesterday (2-4 at the plate and solid defensively); PV+17 at the -169 I have available; PV+18 on a +115 runline at 65%; I shoulda just been on the runline for Phils and Barf ... I mean Wolf, yesterday - at least I woulda lost less
PLAYING:
Braves -1.5 +115
2/2.3
Expos 58 (Sheets@Hernandez)
--couple of hot starters going here; Sheets (who usually tempts me when he starts) has had trouble with the Expos in the past, while the same can't be said about Livan vs Brewers; looks even at -135; system likes the under 8.5 better (60%), but the -125 just gives me PV+4, and I'm already all over the place Sunday
cards 64 (Stephenon@Griffiths)
--Stephenson has been a bit hot lately, in fairly short outtings, while Griffiths is likely unlikely to survive 5 innings here; neither pen very sharp, Mets the worse of the two; PV+1 at -165
giants 53 (Hermanson@Haynes)
--I don't have much faith in either starter here, and I'll pass on over 10 with Reds lineup recently losing lotsa power, and the Giants have some offensive problems lately, at least vs righties
Pirates 55 (Oliver@D'Amico)
--both starters have been good lately, but D'Amico is probably the more legitimate of the two; Rocks slugging vs righties is down, and WTF was up with them yesterday? (losing 1-0 ... no, thank Hendrix I was not on that one); Pirates PV+2 at -110; I'm calling for under 9 here, PV+6 at -110 and 59%
PLAYING:
under 9 -110
1.1/1
Marlins 66 (Fernandez@Redman)
--don't know too much about knuckleballer Fernandez - sounds like nothing special; hot Redman will be facing Astros for 1st time; Astros bats quiet lately, while Marlins finally starting to hit at home (at all-star break, Marlins were OPS was .735 at home and .797 on the road - mind you, their current 7-1 homestand, thus far, has been done mostly with solid pitching); PV+3 at -170, and I've got PV+5 at +115 and 52% for the runline; also like under 8.5 for PV+6 at +105 and 55%
PLAYING:
Marlins -1.5 +115
1/1.15
under 8.5 +105
1/1.05
Phillies 64 (Perez@Padilla)
--Perez has been good vs Philly before, as have most left-handers; Padilla nothing special in career vs Pads, but is smokin'; PV-1 at -180, and runline unattractive to me here; really like the under 8.5 here, PV+9 at -110 and 62%
PLAYING:
under 8.5 -110
2.2/2
Cubs 54 (Webb@Clement)
--should be a duel; sounds like it won't be too windy at Wrigley for the game, but I don't like it so much at 7 (Pinnacle only open # right now), despite my system giving 58% under 7 here (up to 63% if I could get an 8); might spank myself for a unit at under 7 +100 if it becomes available; Cubs PV-1 at -120
coffee-and-something-else-break
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sweet Jamaican pipe dreams
Golden Acapulco nights
Then Morocco, then the east
Fly by morning light
(Rush-2112-A Passage to Bangkok)
Got home and checked the scores and found out that I had had a really crappy day. Chase on Jays and double-pump-Rangers did not dispel the wound. One great day, one crappy day, so far in August. Onward to glory ...
--------------------------------------------------
Braves 80 (Mullen@Ortiz)
--Ortiz has been about even in his career vs Dodgers, but hasn't faced them this year, where he seems to be a different pitcher, and I've noticed him performing against other opponents that had hit him in past years; the % is if either lefty, Mullen OR Victor Alvarez get the start - both are large on the X-factor side, meaning I'm looking for a higher value+ than the PV+5 I've been trying with; system likes an X-factor under for the 8.5; I expect A. Jones back in the lineup, but Bragg filled in well for him yesterday (2-4 at the plate and solid defensively); PV+17 at the -169 I have available; PV+18 on a +115 runline at 65%; I shoulda just been on the runline for Phils and Barf ... I mean Wolf, yesterday - at least I woulda lost less
PLAYING:
Braves -1.5 +115
2/2.3
Expos 58 (Sheets@Hernandez)
--couple of hot starters going here; Sheets (who usually tempts me when he starts) has had trouble with the Expos in the past, while the same can't be said about Livan vs Brewers; looks even at -135; system likes the under 8.5 better (60%), but the -125 just gives me PV+4, and I'm already all over the place Sunday
cards 64 (Stephenon@Griffiths)
--Stephenson has been a bit hot lately, in fairly short outtings, while Griffiths is likely unlikely to survive 5 innings here; neither pen very sharp, Mets the worse of the two; PV+1 at -165
giants 53 (Hermanson@Haynes)
--I don't have much faith in either starter here, and I'll pass on over 10 with Reds lineup recently losing lotsa power, and the Giants have some offensive problems lately, at least vs righties
Pirates 55 (Oliver@D'Amico)
--both starters have been good lately, but D'Amico is probably the more legitimate of the two; Rocks slugging vs righties is down, and WTF was up with them yesterday? (losing 1-0 ... no, thank Hendrix I was not on that one); Pirates PV+2 at -110; I'm calling for under 9 here, PV+6 at -110 and 59%
PLAYING:
under 9 -110
1.1/1
Marlins 66 (Fernandez@Redman)
--don't know too much about knuckleballer Fernandez - sounds like nothing special; hot Redman will be facing Astros for 1st time; Astros bats quiet lately, while Marlins finally starting to hit at home (at all-star break, Marlins were OPS was .735 at home and .797 on the road - mind you, their current 7-1 homestand, thus far, has been done mostly with solid pitching); PV+3 at -170, and I've got PV+5 at +115 and 52% for the runline; also like under 8.5 for PV+6 at +105 and 55%
PLAYING:
Marlins -1.5 +115
1/1.15
under 8.5 +105
1/1.05
Phillies 64 (Perez@Padilla)
--Perez has been good vs Philly before, as have most left-handers; Padilla nothing special in career vs Pads, but is smokin'; PV-1 at -180, and runline unattractive to me here; really like the under 8.5 here, PV+9 at -110 and 62%
PLAYING:
under 8.5 -110
2.2/2
Cubs 54 (Webb@Clement)
--should be a duel; sounds like it won't be too windy at Wrigley for the game, but I don't like it so much at 7 (Pinnacle only open # right now), despite my system giving 58% under 7 here (up to 63% if I could get an 8); might spank myself for a unit at under 7 +100 if it becomes available; Cubs PV-1 at -120
coffee-and-something-else-break
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sweet Jamaican pipe dreams
Golden Acapulco nights
Then Morocco, then the east
Fly by morning light
(Rush-2112-A Passage to Bangkok)
