I know what Yogi was talking about, but I'm pretty confident in my M's moneyline, despite it being just the 2nd inning. The 70's are happenin' right now ... when I find 'em. (No, I'm not talking Zeppelin, silly).
Mets 53 (Kinney@Heilman)
--previously respected Kinney just blows right now; Heilman is also nowhere to be found; too bad these teams can't hit or else the over would sound real nice; line looks right from here
--total listed at 9 and 9.5, depending, and I got a 53 on the over 9, so no way I'd play it laying -130
padres 55 (Eaton@Fogg)
--Fogg has been in one lately; former 1st-rounder Eaton is very hot; recent trade has Pirates pen about as poor as Padres; Pads PV+5 at +100, tougher call with Pirates knocking around Lawrence yesterday
--got 53 for the under 8.5, negligable value at +100
cardinals 62 (Williams@Day)
--I moved this up from a 60, following yesterday's outting; Williams is a little on the cold side, but probably nothing to worry about here; Day wasn't having the same success as Vargas this season, and he could also be susceptible to some pummelling here; PV+5 at -130 for the Cards
--total looks even at 9
Cubs 61 (Rueter@Zambrano)
--Zambrano has been hot, while Rueter has had one solid 6-inning start, at home vs Padres, since returning from the DL; both clubs hitting lefties much better -- for the Cubs, that especially holds at home, which may help them here; PV+6 at -120 Cubs; hey ... anybody got a list of Wood's starts along with the umpire? ... I think I might be on to something with this guy ... maybe more on that for his next go
--tempted to call upwards of 60% on an under 9, if that's what gets posted, especially with Holbrook behind HP (if he be); -110 on the 9 would then give me PV+7; key concern would be the Cubs clubbing of lefties, along with Rueter's basically non-stellar season
Phillies 56 (Perez@Duckworth)
--Perez has been great vs LA in his career, and Philly isn't exactly smokin' lefties this year; # is based on Phillies offensive edge and home-field; Duckworth has not impressed this year--Philly has lost 6 of his past 8 starts, including 4 of 5 in July--but 3 of his past 5 starts have been reasonable ... still not enough for much confidence here; Philly -130 gives PV-1; using the force tells me to hop on Perez here, but using the same suggested that I should take Johnson and Brown yesterday, both of whom I went against after 'capping; Dodgers bats are too brutal, and Duckworth did have one very good start (@LA) against them this year (5 IP May 1st, W4-1), and is 2-0 lifetime vs
--I get 62% on the under 8 here, giving me PV+9 at -110; double-play ball induced by Quantrill saved my under-bacon yesterday, so whathey ... I'll push my under-luck
Reds 55 (Tsao@Acevedo)
--both starters may be names we'll see lots in the future; Tsao coming off an alright MLdebut (dude had 125 K's in 113.1 IP at double-A this season), while Acevedo just pitched his first career complete game in his last, an 8-3 win over the Mets at Shea (he struck out 10); touch call on this one ... line looks about right here, with Reds -115
--total at 9.5 looks even here--another tough call for this one
astros@Braves 50-50 (Miller@Reynolds)
--neither starter has had much success vs opponent here; Miller is the hotter of the two, and no doubt the better all-round; Braves bat-advantage and home-field merely makes up for the pitching deficiency, by my call; line reflects the coin-toss
--total looks even at 9; mind you, Reynolds has looked pretty grim, and the Braves are unlikely to be held to a mere 3 runs, at home, for two straight ... over if I had to ... forunately I don't
A.L. to come after obligatory indulgences are fulfilled
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If I don't get some shelter
Ooo, yeah, I'm gonna fade away
(Mick and friends-Let It Bleed-Gimme Shelter)
Mets 53 (Kinney@Heilman)
--previously respected Kinney just blows right now; Heilman is also nowhere to be found; too bad these teams can't hit or else the over would sound real nice; line looks right from here
--total listed at 9 and 9.5, depending, and I got a 53 on the over 9, so no way I'd play it laying -130
padres 55 (Eaton@Fogg)
--Fogg has been in one lately; former 1st-rounder Eaton is very hot; recent trade has Pirates pen about as poor as Padres; Pads PV+5 at +100, tougher call with Pirates knocking around Lawrence yesterday
--got 53 for the under 8.5, negligable value at +100
cardinals 62 (Williams@Day)
--I moved this up from a 60, following yesterday's outting; Williams is a little on the cold side, but probably nothing to worry about here; Day wasn't having the same success as Vargas this season, and he could also be susceptible to some pummelling here; PV+5 at -130 for the Cards
--total looks even at 9
Cubs 61 (Rueter@Zambrano)
--Zambrano has been hot, while Rueter has had one solid 6-inning start, at home vs Padres, since returning from the DL; both clubs hitting lefties much better -- for the Cubs, that especially holds at home, which may help them here; PV+6 at -120 Cubs; hey ... anybody got a list of Wood's starts along with the umpire? ... I think I might be on to something with this guy ... maybe more on that for his next go
--tempted to call upwards of 60% on an under 9, if that's what gets posted, especially with Holbrook behind HP (if he be); -110 on the 9 would then give me PV+7; key concern would be the Cubs clubbing of lefties, along with Rueter's basically non-stellar season
Phillies 56 (Perez@Duckworth)
--Perez has been great vs LA in his career, and Philly isn't exactly smokin' lefties this year; # is based on Phillies offensive edge and home-field; Duckworth has not impressed this year--Philly has lost 6 of his past 8 starts, including 4 of 5 in July--but 3 of his past 5 starts have been reasonable ... still not enough for much confidence here; Philly -130 gives PV-1; using the force tells me to hop on Perez here, but using the same suggested that I should take Johnson and Brown yesterday, both of whom I went against after 'capping; Dodgers bats are too brutal, and Duckworth did have one very good start (@LA) against them this year (5 IP May 1st, W4-1), and is 2-0 lifetime vs
--I get 62% on the under 8 here, giving me PV+9 at -110; double-play ball induced by Quantrill saved my under-bacon yesterday, so whathey ... I'll push my under-luck
Reds 55 (Tsao@Acevedo)
--both starters may be names we'll see lots in the future; Tsao coming off an alright MLdebut (dude had 125 K's in 113.1 IP at double-A this season), while Acevedo just pitched his first career complete game in his last, an 8-3 win over the Mets at Shea (he struck out 10); touch call on this one ... line looks about right here, with Reds -115
--total at 9.5 looks even here--another tough call for this one
astros@Braves 50-50 (Miller@Reynolds)
--neither starter has had much success vs opponent here; Miller is the hotter of the two, and no doubt the better all-round; Braves bat-advantage and home-field merely makes up for the pitching deficiency, by my call; line reflects the coin-toss
--total looks even at 9; mind you, Reynolds has looked pretty grim, and the Braves are unlikely to be held to a mere 3 runs, at home, for two straight ... over if I had to ... forunately I don't
A.L. to come after obligatory indulgences are fulfilled
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If I don't get some shelter
Ooo, yeah, I'm gonna fade away
(Mick and friends-Let It Bleed-Gimme Shelter)
rolleyes: ), though Injuns pen isn't too bad; large pitching edge, small batting edge, fielding edge, and home-field edge here; -230 (gimme a break) is PV-2 here; negligable PV on the runline, currently at -115; I notice Cleveland is up 4-2 in the 8th Wednesday, but there's no way I could try them here; +100 runline I'd try, but this is ridiculous
