system numbers Tuesday

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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These may change slightly depending upon Monday performances. Significant changes would only occur with a starter change, injury, or Hendrix-knows what else.

PHILLIES (Ishii@Padilla) 66 (early hop at -150 +)
d'backs (Webb@Penny) 57 (likely -130 - , pass at that)
padres@PIRATES (Perez@Benson) 50-50 (line should refect--I might try pads at +130 +)
EXPOS (Stephenson@Hernandez) 53 (I'd need a good +150 to be happy here...won't get it)
rockies (Oliver@Haynes) 60 (early hop -120 +)
brewers (Sheets@Glavine) 58 (early hop -110 +, which may come as Glavine still has, at least, his name)
BRAVES (Oswalt@Ortiz) 62 (travel and off day favors Astros, but -150ish still likely; it would take -125 to tempt me...won't get it)
CUBS (Moss@Clement) 60 (Clement was -110 last time out, @home vs Phils and Wolf, so he'll probably get too much respect here, like -135, which me calls passorama)

JAYS (Gonzalez@Escobar) 64 (will be -200 -, so passola)
TWINS (Helling@Santana) 65 (probably looking at -160, again pass; give me -140 + to consider)
bosox (Wakefield@Dickey) 54 (will consider Rangers at +150 +)
ROYALS (Buehrle@May) 55 (dog-me and "goal", otherwise passola; tough # to call)
A'S (Anderson@Mulder) 72 (will be -220 -, so pass; if A's produce again tonight (vs Washboard & Co.) then I'll be tempted to go as high as a 60% call for the runline, which I'd then play at -120 +)
yankees (Pettitte@Appier) 53 (Yanks should be the juice here; if it's as high as -150 then I'd go Angels, but nyy probably -120 to -140, making me a spectator ... a spectator either way if Angels suck eggs again tonight (vs. Zito & Friends), while Yanks enjoy day off; then again ... nahhh! ... Yanks as dog would shock me ... hoppy!)
MARINERS (Roney@Meche) 62 (Tigers at +200 or better ... Zambrano & D'Rays were +200 @Meche July 12th, and T'Bay won 6-5; I like Roney better than D'Rays Zamboni, and certainly like him better than any other pretender that the Tigers have been charading as 'top prospects'; +1.5 +anything is, naturally, more likely to pay off ... good 15% tacked on for M's to cover runline here, making 53% chance of Tigers winning runline, by my numbers, so I'd really need +120 + to feel like I'm not just being silly;) )

Early Total Thoughts Needs More Thought Though Too Early
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la@PHIL under 8 *
az@FLA under 8 **
col@CIN over 10.5 *
mil@NYM under 8 **
hou@ATL under 8.5 *
bos@TEX over 11 ***
chi@KC under 9 **
cle@OAK under 8 *
nyy@ANA over 9.5 *
det@SEA under 8 ***

May improve the value of the thread later if armageddon doesn't.
For now ... go get 'em!

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EXTRAPOLATER

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Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,081
137
63
Toronto
One change on the starter list:
D'Amico is in for Pirates.
System then spits out Pirates 62 ... almost temptation on a -130 line. Pads have the better O right now, but certainly not by much. D'Amico is pretty hot, has some good stuff. Perez is as inconsistent as most religious organizations.

I'm trying to narrow down to just a few of the following:

Rockies
Rangers
det@seat u8
Braves
mil@nym u8
Philly -1.5 or total u8 (el contradictio)
chi@KC u9.5 (happenin')
A's -1.5 (if I can do better than -125)
Angels +1.5
Tigers +probable oops
bos@tex o11.5 (all over 11 ... the .5, w/juice, stalls me here)

Line surprises:
Braves look cheap
Total looks low in Fla
Rockies nice price
Webb cheaper than expected (Penny not nearly as consistent as Redman this year, and D'Backs hitting righties a bit better)
The large total at Kauffman w/2 fairly hot lefties going


P.S.
any reason why Alouettes should not duplicate last game's antics? ... especially with this one at home? I've only played a few CFL games this year, but Montreal at -6.5 looks too-tempting-not-to-taste. 30-something to teen-something likely -- Al's D is smokin'. (them and me both, perchance)

P.SS
my system's 70%+ have really been happenin' since the all-star break: 19/24 (79.1%) right, before yesterday's Wolf over-extension (he had thrown about 130 in his last game, so maybe hindsight rules here) ... 19/25=76%. More importantly, 16 of the 19 have covered the runline; important as, naturally, if I'm getting 70% + to hit a side, the price is gonna be a whopper.
Only one for Tuesday is A's at 72, which should fall to 71 or 70 based on last night's lack of production vs a chilly lefty in Washburn. Next closest is Philly at 66, another I'm tempted to drop to 65 or 64. What can you do? Perfection is overrated.
Go Rockies

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