System of the Week

Frank Gallagher

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Jun 17, 2002
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Too High and Too Low



College Football involves alot of psychological factors, especially when you have 18 to 22 year old kids involved. This week we find Arizona State playing the Washington Huskies in Tempe, Arizona. Washington is coming off a 20 point loss
at USC last week. Meanwhile, Arizona State is coming off a huge win at Oregon as a 10 point underdog. Logically, one would play the team riding high (Arizona State) and go against the team riding low (Washington). However, take a
look at this technical system.
Play ON a Road Dog above .500 OFF a SU Double-Digit Loss that is GOING AGAINST REVENGE. This is 30-8 ATS since 1990 (79%). There are Five FREE Systems like this one above posted at [edit out link] Washington is a +3.5 Road Underdog, they have a 4-3 record (57%), they are off a
20 point Loss (which is an obvious Double-Digit Loss) ,and they are going against revenge (they have beaten Arizona State in Tempe,Arizona two years in a row). In addition, Washington is 5-1 ATS at Tempe,Arizona since 1992. Washington has
also lost 4 games in a row ATS. The laws of averages catch up eventually (unless your last year?s abberation, the Tulsa Golden Hurricane). Ironically, Washington came into Tempe,Arizona last year after losing 4 games ATS. Washington was an underdog (at +4) in that game and won SU 33-31.
Going back to psychological factors, Washington is probably tired of hearing that they are overrated. In addition, Washington dropped out of the Top 25 this past week. That is just extra motivation to play harder this week. Meanwhile, Arizona State is on a Cloud-9 level after winning at the ultra-tough Autzen Stadium in Eugene,Oregon. You can be assured many people in Tempe have been feeding the egos of the Arizona State football team all week. On Saturday night, the too high (Arizona State) goes down and the too low (Washington) goes up.

Play Washington +3.5
 

pt1gard

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Apr 7, 2002
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thats sytem is all well and good but ...

thats sytem is all well and good but ...

I talked ysterday face to face with former NFL player deeply involved with UW program as alumni; this is short of what he told me ...

"There are bad vibes in Huskyville right now. The offensive line can't drive anyone off the ball and their defense doesn't hit anymore. I don't like their chances at all this weekend."

This guy is highly respected and intelligent, not a whiner, doomsayer. I just know him and engaged him in conversation, w/o him knowing im a gambling addict, hehe.

Anyhow, my biggest fear in betting Devils is that they are the faves and coming off huge emotional comeback, but the Huskies haven't covered since their opener, and have beaten ASU L2Y in Tempe in close games. If that can't get Devil inspired, then nothing will.

gl, pt1gard
 

Frank Gallagher

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Jun 17, 2002
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Shooout

Shooout

It will probably be a shootout. Hopefully, Rich Alexis will step it up so Washington does not become one-dimensional.
 
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