Coca cola kid,
Actually, I do not usually go with more than a couple of my "system" plays a week and lately its been only one that fits the bill. I am very particular in that I look for games that are low profile, where the majority of the public are on the favorite, where the home team plays well at home, where the road team plays significantly worse on the road, and where the movement of the line is against the public (best case scenerio similar to the Army game last week. . . we didn't really get it this week, but will still go with Eastern Michigan). Basically, I have a little system as to how I go about these picks and so far its been working. . hopefully it continues! Not all of the requirements that I listed above have to fit, but if all of them do, then its a definite selection for me.
I invite any of you to take a look at wagerline. . . the only home dog that is receiving public action (defined by wagerline as 59% or higher on one side) is Colorado over Oklahoma. . . every other road favorite is where the public is playing their money (according to that particular source. . . this is one that I happen to use).
After seeing this for several weeks, I realized that the only way I could come out ahead in the long term is to fade these public plays. . . but I wanted to have a rational for doing so. . . not simply fade the public blind.
Again, we'll see how things go. . .hopefully I am able to continue to pick winners. . .
Good luck to everyone tomorrow. . . hope all of you come out winners and kill your book!
