T.O.-VICK...Monday Night Football

soul train

Go Mets!
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Looks like an ideal match up for monday night 2 NFC power houses.



Philadelphia has one of the best defenses in the league. It should be interesting to see how they do without DT Corey Simon. According to many scouts, Corey Simon is one of the most overrated DTs in the league. According to others, he is one of the best. He is known for spending much of his play on the ground, a sin for a defensive tackle. He had a terrible season last year with the Eagles, and Jim Johnson is no fool. He wouldn't release a "great player" for a scrub. Hollis Thomas is a better player, however, injuries have killed him for the past three years. As to containing Vick, look at what the Eagles did the past two times they faced him in the playoffs they just about shut him down almost completely.

The Eagles love to blitz.But last year against the Falcons, they rarely blitzed at all. Instead, they played a deep cover two with a four man contain pass rush. The result was Michael Vick had trouble throwing through the best secondary in the league, and when he tried running, Kearse was there. If Atlanta does try running the ball, however, they will get a strong dose of Jeremiah Trotter.

With all this being said, the Eagles should still have a potent offense, making them the team to beat in the NFC. Atlanta does have a strong defense, though they have one of the smallest secondaries in the league, which T.O. should be able to capitalize on.I believe he will have over 130 yards of receivingl offense. With T.O. being on the field, less attention will be paid to Westbrook, a possible MVP of the offense.

Neither team is really looking past this game, as it is MNF. As far as trends go, the Falcons don't look very good. Not only are they 3-10 ATS in their revenge games, they're also 1-13 ATS on MNF. In addition, they're horrible ATS in home games. Why? Because the betting public overrates them. .

Here are some additional betting trends for consideration:

? PHI 7-1 ATS their last 8 Sept. games overall;
? PHI 11-3 ATS their last 14 vs. the NFC;
? PHI 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 head to head meetings;
? PHI 8-3 ATS with a line of +3 to -3 the last 3 seasons;
? PHI 5-2 ATS vs. NFC South;
? PHI 11-5 ATS their last 16 road games; (13-3 SU)
? PHI is 4-1 ATS their last 5 as Monday Night favorites and overall are 12-4 ATS as MNF favorites;
? PHI 8-2 ATS their last 10 Monday Night games.

? ATL 1-5 ATS their last 6 as a home dog;
? ATL 8-13 ATS as underdogs;
? ATL 6-11 ATS their last 17 home games;
? ATL 1-6 ATS on Monday night since 1992 and if you want to go real far back, they are 1-13 ATS in their last 14 Monday night appearances;




MNF road favorites never do very well. However, I will make this game an exception.

Even though the trends are in the majority for the eagles it is still a iffy game.Should be a barn burner.
Small play for me.

BET ID=121066023
Straight Wager 09/12/05 00:48 ET
150.00/130.43 Result: Pending
Eagles(Philadelphia)
Falcons(Atlanta) 09/12/05 (21:00 ET)
Eagles(Philadelphia) -1 (-115)
 
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LetsMakeMoney

~Gambla~
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SOUL i was leaning towards PHILLY but u just made up my mind........let's get em brotha. GO EAGLES...........alot of people gonna be on ATL which is good (i love going against the public lol)

GL to u and repo :)
 

Blackman

Winghead
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Nice write up and you nailed the Simon situation. As we saw last night he's out of shape and can't play the whole game -- not nearly worth the contract he signed sitting on the bench half the game.

I do worry about the Eagles lack of a true fullback, I'm still scratching my head over Ritchie getting cut, but I don't think this is the game that weakness will be a factor. The Eagles can play on the carpet. I look for Kearse to hold containment on Vick and force him to throw to one of the worst receiving corps in the NFL. Won't be easy but I think you're on the right side.

Good luck.
 

Cie

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SOUL i was leaning towards PHILLY but u just made up my mind........let's get em brotha. GO EAGLES...........alot of people gonna be on ATL which is good (i love going against the public lol)

I cannot imagine that the Atlanta Falcons are the public play tonight. I am on Atlanta, and one of the reasons is my feeling that the pub is all over Philly.

GL on your play tonight:weed:
 

Killrus

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Sep 12, 2005
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hmmm

hmmm

Dont understand how the line can be so close on this game. This is pretty much the same Eagles team that won the Superbowl last year. TO is going to tear it up.
I think the only thing going for the Falcons is homefield. Good team, but overrated in this instance.
 

ScreaminPain

1/2 cocked
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Nov 10, 2004
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Nice writeup and I totally agree with you, Soul. I can't make a case for Atlanta except for the home field. I don't make them better at any position, but it's too early in the year to load up.

I didn't make a play yesterday and spent most of Saturday's winnings, so I'm trying to rustle up some golf money for the week.

Making this a small wager on the visitors..... :rolleyes:

FORE!
 
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