Tampa Bay Lightning +.5 (-110)

[Nolan Dalla]

TAMPA BAY +.5 (-110) vs. EDMONTON
Two roughly equal teams match up here, so I'm taking the home team getting a half goal. Tampa is 12-14-3 SU at home this year -- including two straight wins versus Florida and San Jose. Edmonton is in the midst of a six-game road trip (playing well at the moment)....but also keep in mind -- Oliers had a franchise-record 11-game (0-8-3) road winless streak from December 18-February 8. They could be playing over their heads right now. Tampa was competitive against Detroit in the first game back from the break, a 4-3 overtime loss last Tuesday. Since then, the Lightning have defeated San Jose and Florida at home to post consecutive wins. In a game that could break either way, the home team and the half goal looks like a solid value.

 

[Sports Junkie]

Good luck. I believe that Vincent Lecavalier is going to be back for TB tonight. May bode well for them. EDM is a very good team that has stuggled of late, but played very well in an impressive shutout win in Buffalo the other night.

 

[Terryray]

Here's the piece on Lecavalier

http://www.sptimes.com/2002/03/06/Sports/A_recovered_Lecavalie.shtml

and Bolts may also be energized by trading Weekes for two new forwards whose home town is Edmonton!

http://www.sptimes.com/2002/03/06/Sports/Weekes_traded_by_Ligh.shtml

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Nolan, here are more notes

Edmonton at Tampa Bay
7:30pm ET W/L ATS Money H A O/U
Edmonton 27-26-11 27-26-11 -480 16-13-3 11-13-8 19-33
Tampa Bay 22-33-6 22-33-6 195 12-14-3 10-19-3 18-34

Quickchart Matchup
Edmonton Off vs.
Tampa Bay Def Tampa Bay Off vs.
Edmonton Def
2.47 GF
2.48 GA
27.3 Shots
31.7 Shots
15.1 PP
85.3 PK 2.02 GF
2.31 GA
25.7 Shots
25.6 Shots
15.1 PP
85.8 PK


Recent Trends
Under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings.
EDM is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 7-1-2 in the Oilers last 10 games.
Under is 34-18 in Lightning games overall.
Under is 12-6 when TB play after a win.
TB rank 29th in offense with avg. 2.01 goals/gm.


Injuries

Edmonton Injuries
Domenic Pittis C Concussion Day to Day
Tampa Bay Injuries
Nolan Pratt D Broken leg Out Indefinitely
Vincent Lecavalier C Ankle Day to Day
Fredrik Modin LW Leg Out Indefinitely
Martin St. Louis RW broken leg Out Indefinitely
Brian Holzinger C Rotator Cuff Out for season



Overall Stats | In Depth
Offense Shots Goals %
PP
Edmonton
Tampa Bay 27.3
25.7 2.47
2.02
9.0
7.9 15.1
15.1
Defense Shots Goals % PK
Edmonton
Tampa Bay 25.6
31.7 2.31
2.48 0.910
0.921 85.8
85.3

Goaltenders
Edmonton Shots Saves % W/L
T.Salo 1341 1217 0.908 21-24-9
T.Conklin 66 62 0.939 2-0
J.Markkanen 227 211 0.930 4-2-2
Tampa Bay Shots Saves % W/L
K.Weekes 470 430 0.915 3-7
N.Khabibulin 1462 1356 0.927 19-26-6

Recent Meetings
Date Home Away Line ATS
12/14/2001 Edm. 2 TB 1 0,-240/4.5 Edm./U
3/13/2001 TB 4 Edm. 5 0,210/5.5 Edm./O
1/28/2000 TB 3 Edm. 7 0,160/6 Edm./O
1/7/2000 Edm. 5 TB 1 0,-240/6 Edm./P
12/18/1998 TB 1 Edm. 4 0.5,145/5.5 Edm./U
12/4/1998 Edm. 1 TB 2 -1.5,-135/5.5 TB/U
3/11/1998 TB 0 Edm. 2 +0.5,+120/5.5 Edm./U
3/4/1998 Edm. 4 TB 2 -0.5,-180/5.5 Edm./O
3/19/1997 Edm. 3 TB 1 -0.5,-145/6 Edm./U
12/12/1996 TB 2 Edm. 2 -0.5,110/6 Edm./U
ATS Records | In Depth

Edmonton
Tampa Bay Overall
27-26-11
22-33-6
Home
16-13-3
12-14-3
Away
11-13-8
10-19-3

ATS on Days Rest | In Depth

Edmonton
Tampa Bay
0 Days
4-3-5
2-7-1
1 Day
12-16-6
14-18-2
2 Days
8-3
3-3-2
3+ Days
3-4
3-5-1


Over/Under Records

Edmonton
Tampa Bay Overall
19-33
18-34
Home
10-15
10-13
Away
9-18
8-21

Home/Away Stats | In Depth
Offense
Edmonton
Tampa Bay

Defense
Edmonton
Tampa Bay Shots
26.3
26.9

Shots.
26.6
30.9 Goals
2.19
2.31

Goals
2.31
2.48 %
8.3
8.6

%
0.917
0.914 PP
13.6
16.4

PK
85.5
83.5

Last 5 | In Depth
Offense
Edmonton
Tampa Bay

Defense
Edmonton
Tampa Bay Shots
28.6
27.8

Shots.
25.8
28.4 Goals
2.40
2.60

Goals
2.00
3.00 %
8.4
9.4

%
0.916
0.906 PP
16.7
26.7

PK
95.2
85.7

 

[fredd]

You are probably on the correct side -

This is a huge game for the Oilers as they are presently in 9th spot in the Western Division tied with the Canucks .

The Lighting are in 13th spot in the Eastern Division 12 points out with a slim chance of moving up.
The Lighting have won 2 in a row however this is a team that seldom has put together long winning streaks as their 22-33-6 record attests to. The Oilers have dominated the lighting in their last 10 games going 9-1!!!
The oilers have much more offensive talent with Smyth, Carter and Comrie. They have combined for over 57 goals and 71 assists.
Yes they will need it facing Khabibulin but I believe they will get to him. I expect a 3-1 game for the Oilers . The Lighting have some key injuries to their forwards and have struggled offensively averaging just 2.02 goals a game this year.
The Oilers need this one a lot more than the lighting and we will see a highly motivated squad tonight. The Oilers have not lost in their last 5 visits to Tampa

best of fortune

 

[Nolan Dalla]

Thanks for the feedback. Appears to be compelling evidence to play Oilers based on Fred's remarks, but can we really expect Oilers to go on a run here (on the road)? Got to be a letdown situation here for them after the Sabres win, versus a team they have dominated and could take lightly. I'm counting on Tampa to continue a good effort at home after decent games versus DET, FLA, SJ). Praying for a TIE with that half goal bonus.

Nolan Dalla

 

[wigs]

just wanted to bring up the fact that tampa picked up a couple of guys last night, not sure if they will arrive in time but wanted to mention it, willis and dingman from carolina coming to TB--anyone know if they're playing?? nevermind just read t-ray's notes, looks like they are both playing--