Lets start out with some trends and facts:
-The D'Rays are 9-23 overall in game one of a series.
-Tampa Bay is 1-8 when Sturtze starts on the road.
-Tim Wakefield has a 4-1 career record versus the Devil Rays with an ERA of 2.00.
-BOS is 33-13 vs. teams in the AL East.
-The Red Sox are 6-2 in their last eight at Fenway.
-The Devil Rays enter this doubleheader with an atrocious 12-36 road record.
-The 'under' has emerged in five straight starts from Tanyon Sturtze, who is 0-6 on the road with a 5.13 ERA.
-The under is 9-1 in Sturtze's last 10 starts.
-Wakefield's three starts vs. TB have gone under.
-It should be noted that Wakefield threw 55 pitches in three innings of work out of the bullpen on Saturday against the Yankees.
Now lets break some of the action down:
Pitching:
-Sturtze enters the game with an overall ERA of 4.39 with a WHIP of 1.59. Wakefield enters with a 2.99 ERA and a WHIP of 1.11.
-Sturtze daytime record is 0-3 with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.61 along with an on-base ave. of .308. Wakefield daytime record is 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA
and a WHIP of .91 along with an OBA of .171 .
-Sturtze has 40.1 daytime innings pitched under his belt with 23 strike outs compared to Wakefields 40.2 daytime innings pitched with 40 strike outs
ADV: BOSTON (BIG)
Bullpensavail. only)
Tampas BP enters carrying an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.53.
Their last 3: ERA 5.02, WHIP 1.33
Bostons BP enters carrying an ERA of 4.60 with a WHIP of 1.35.
Their last 3: ERA 3.58, WHIP 1.59
ADV: BOSTON (SMALL)
Hitting: (both starting pitchers are righties)
Tampa has an avg. of .251 with an on base percentage of .312 while Boston brings in an avg. of .275 and on OBP of .341.
Tampa has a Slug percentage of .373 while Boston has an avg. of .437
Here are a couple of things that really stand out ot me though. If and when the bullpens come into play, Tampa has a couple of terrible lefties available in Creek and Kent and Bostons hitting avg. rises to a .284 vs. lefties and OBP rises to a .353. Boston has a couple of pretty good lefties in Embree and Haney and Tampas hitting avg. drops to .216 vs. lefties and their OBP drops to a .276!!!! They both have quite a few righties though as you can imagine, but the adv. stays the same. The Batter vs. pitcher match up at Vegas Insider really says alot. It looks like all the hitting will come from Boston if past history means or says anything.
ADV: BOSTON (PRETTY BIG)
Home field adv. lies with the Bosox as well!
All this said, I really like the Bosox and I'm seeing enough of on adv. to lay the heart pounding chalk -$300. I hate laying this much but I love the Sox in this position. I like them in Game 2 also. Good luck to all and I hope this helps someone.
GL & PEACE, HAIL
-The D'Rays are 9-23 overall in game one of a series.
-Tampa Bay is 1-8 when Sturtze starts on the road.
-Tim Wakefield has a 4-1 career record versus the Devil Rays with an ERA of 2.00.
-BOS is 33-13 vs. teams in the AL East.
-The Red Sox are 6-2 in their last eight at Fenway.
-The Devil Rays enter this doubleheader with an atrocious 12-36 road record.
-The 'under' has emerged in five straight starts from Tanyon Sturtze, who is 0-6 on the road with a 5.13 ERA.
-The under is 9-1 in Sturtze's last 10 starts.
-Wakefield's three starts vs. TB have gone under.
-It should be noted that Wakefield threw 55 pitches in three innings of work out of the bullpen on Saturday against the Yankees.
Now lets break some of the action down:
Pitching:
-Sturtze enters the game with an overall ERA of 4.39 with a WHIP of 1.59. Wakefield enters with a 2.99 ERA and a WHIP of 1.11.
-Sturtze daytime record is 0-3 with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.61 along with an on-base ave. of .308. Wakefield daytime record is 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA
and a WHIP of .91 along with an OBA of .171 .-Sturtze has 40.1 daytime innings pitched under his belt with 23 strike outs compared to Wakefields 40.2 daytime innings pitched with 40 strike outs
ADV: BOSTON (BIG)
Bullpens
avail. only)Tampas BP enters carrying an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.53.
Their last 3: ERA 5.02, WHIP 1.33
Bostons BP enters carrying an ERA of 4.60 with a WHIP of 1.35.
Their last 3: ERA 3.58, WHIP 1.59
ADV: BOSTON (SMALL)
Hitting: (both starting pitchers are righties)
Tampa has an avg. of .251 with an on base percentage of .312 while Boston brings in an avg. of .275 and on OBP of .341.
Tampa has a Slug percentage of .373 while Boston has an avg. of .437
Here are a couple of things that really stand out ot me though. If and when the bullpens come into play, Tampa has a couple of terrible lefties available in Creek and Kent and Bostons hitting avg. rises to a .284 vs. lefties and OBP rises to a .353. Boston has a couple of pretty good lefties in Embree and Haney and Tampas hitting avg. drops to .216 vs. lefties and their OBP drops to a .276!!!! They both have quite a few righties though as you can imagine, but the adv. stays the same. The Batter vs. pitcher match up at Vegas Insider really says alot. It looks like all the hitting will come from Boston if past history means or says anything.
ADV: BOSTON (PRETTY BIG)
Home field adv. lies with the Bosox as well!
All this said, I really like the Bosox and I'm seeing enough of on adv. to lay the heart pounding chalk -$300. I hate laying this much but I love the Sox in this position. I like them in Game 2 also. Good luck to all and I hope this helps someone.
GL & PEACE, HAIL
