wished I'd seen this thread earlier. I run a fairly large database for the NFL.
It's never spit out a game based on trends, maybe because I tweeked it that way.:shrug:
I feel fairly confident trends have very little basis in placing hard earned money on any play. I prefer to live in the present, as past history affords very little advantage in placing bets today.
With that said, I still find this thread very interesting. We should be able to learn a few things from this conversation, and I think I have.
I'll leave you guys with this, as it has made me a modest profit over the years. The NFL is a public game. Yea, there are steam plays, but forget about playing with line movement in the NFL. It hasn't been as profitable this year as in the past few years, but still showing a profit. Squares made a huge profit the first 4 or 5 weeks, but it has turned around. Not surprised at all.
Going to go out on a limb, naw won't go there...........just bet against line movement these last 3 weeks and see how you come out. The "experts" that move the line aren't what you percieve.
kcwolf
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