ULM -2.5 over Texas St ******
Love this line ...in the past few years ULM has won by 6 or 7 pts vs Tex...but the line was always -10..Tx covered but lost the game...this yr the line is down to -2.5 and I think the Warhawks win by about the same the past few years..both teams are 1-3 or 1-4 ats this year...the stats on both teams are really not a true indicator because both have played real good teams and have been blown out..ie...Tx lost to tex AM 41-7,Smoo 47-14 and Wyoming 23-14...they were lucky to beat Ga St in OT and beat up a weak Nichols St team last week 24-3...so they rank 323 in total offense 80th in rushing,242 in passing,etc...but again they are playing some pretty good teams..its the same with ULM...they beat Grambling and So Bama30-17..lost to Florida St 55-44 , lost to Iowa St 72-20 and Memphis last week 52-33...so on defense they give up 506 yds per game ranking them 126th...and on pass and rushing there rank in the high 90's and low 100's...but again look who they are playing...
Its hard to compare stats until they start playing teams in there own conference..ULM scored 44 pts vs Fl St and 33 vs off Memphis... overall ULM has a better offense then the Bobcats..Bobcats have a better defense...ULM has a solid dual threat qb in Evans...he has 10 td's and has 1,172 yds in the air and another +250 yds on the ground..he is a group of Wr's in Perdersonn,McCray and another 4 or 5 guys that all avg 12 yds per catch..they have a solid rb in Johnson who has 84-600 yds 4 tds and an avg of 7.1 yds per carry...although tx defense is better think they will have a tough time controlling either the run game or pass game and containing Evans ...these guys had over 419 yds vs Florida St...problem was they gave up 501 on defense...
Bocats offense doesn't have many play makers Twoford and and Taylor are just avg so vs a bad ULM defense can be somewhat neutralized.. their qb Jensen is an accurate passer and beat out Vito last yrs starter... they do have a good wr in White but don't think they have enough offense to keep up with Evans and co..Tx state pass defense is pretty good ranking them 28th but it will be the rush defense that ULM will give them problems esp with Evans running ability and arm...this is any early game Thur nite I think...like ULM to win this on the rd in Sam Marcus by 6-10 pts