IN GAME THREAD Texans-Ravens

IE

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For one playoff run Flacco?s body was inhibited by the holy ghost and the entire course of the world changed. In that 2012 Superbowl winning run Flacco went 73/126 (57.9%), threw for 1,140 yards, averaged 9.0 yards an attempt, and threw 11 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. In that same regular season he averaged 7.2 yards an attempt and threw 22 touchdowns to 11 interceptions. For the span of four games he was the greatest quarterback of all-time. Now, today, he is the league?s worst when you consider his performance, age, and contract.

This season Flacco is 209/312 which comes out to a completion percentage of 65.5%, which is 10th. It?s a bag of chips though. Empty numbers that don?t mean much of anything. 273 of Flacco?s attempts have come less than 15 yards through the air. The average air yards of his completions is 4.5 yards, which is 39th. His leading receiver is Javorious Allen who has 40 catches on 51 targets. He has a DVOA of -16.3% on these receptions. All Flacco does know is run boot legs and dump it off, or stare down field until he then dumps the ball off.

Flacco has attempted 42 deep passes. He?s completed only 10 of them, a hot 23.8%. These throws have picked up only 280 yards (6.7 yards an attempt). He?s thrown 3 touchdowns to 8 interceptions, and his quarterback rating is 39.1. I don?t know what happened to him to make 2012 happen, and I don?t know what happened for him to become this. I need to see a picture of his belly to prove this, but my guess is he?s suffering from low-T. Flacco needs to start getting healthy fats like olives and avocados in his diet, seeing the sun, going to bed sooner, running sprints, and taking magnesium to zap him back to his old self. I mean just look at this.


passer_rating_vs_league_avg_FLA009602_2017_reg_all_1511371646432.jpeg
 

IE

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The Ravens are going to rely on Flacco this game because they sure won?t be able to run the ball. They have 286 rush attempts, 10th most in the NFL, but they are going to be better off tossing it.

Despite losing J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus, the Texans? run defense has thrived. They are 7th in run defense DVOA at -20.1%. DJ Reader, Benardrick McKinney, and Jadeveon Clowney are too talented, and too good at stopping the run, that the collection of 2s and 3s surrounding them can?t bring them down.


The Ravens? run offense has been pretty simple too. They use Allen to run between the tackles. He has been slightly inefficient and is averaging 3.5 yards a carry on 109 attempts. He?s grinding runs up the middle but can only do so much. Their other running back, Alex Collins, is the explosive free field runner. He has 577 yards on 113 runs and is averaging 5.0 yards a carry. Additionally, he is ranked 7th in DYAR and 2nd in DVOA this year. He?s a long back breaking runner.

He seems always able to break one, sometimes two long runs a game, but he will be having a horrible time in this game. Instead it?s going to be about taking advantage of field position when they get it, and Flacco knocking some throws downfield.
 

IE

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Picture does get bleaker for the Houston offense. They are going up against the best defense in football according to DVOA. The Ravens are 2nd in pass defense at -30.1%, 10th in run defense at -17.0%, and have a total rating of -23.7%. In addition to this defense they have scored 6 non-offensive touchdowns, 2 on fumble returns, 2 on interception returns, one on a kickoff return, and one on a punt return.


What the Ravens excel at this year is covering wide receivers. #1 wide receivers have a DVOA of -44.4%, #2 wide receivers have a DVOA of -43.3%, and other wide receivers have a DVOA of -17.0%. These are all top five marks. Baltimore is covering wide receivers on the sidelines and shutting down short passing games. They are allowing tight ends to catch the ball, but not the opponent?s best receivers. Jimmy Smith has been one of the best cornerbacks in football this year. Their pass defense has worked to perfection.

Although the Ravens are best in the NFL at stopping short passes they do have a DVOA of 42.9% (29th) against deep passes. This is their one big squishy weak spot. Savage is 7/27 (25.9%) for 198 yards and 2 touchdowns on these throws. This isn?t the team or quarterback to make it by slinging the ball downfield.

The only other problem the Ravens have is stopping the run over the tackle position. They have had injuries to their defensive ends to this season and have been susceptible against these runs. The Texans have Chris Clark, and Breno Giacomini paving these paths. This isn?t the team to make it by attacking the Ravens? defensive ends.

The biggest thing is that the Texans probably won?t be able to run the ball or throw the ball. The Ravens won?t be able to run the ball, they need Flacco to move things. All he needs to do his prick his finger, sign another oath, hit two deep throws this game, and Baltimore should win this hammer claw bar fight. If he doesn?t they?ll probably win anyways, their defense, run game, and special teams are better, it will just end up being a closer endeavor.
 

MadJack

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Ravens have zero chance of covering 7. Zero.

:0002
 

yanno

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I have the Ravens in a tease with the Pats and Raiders (all + 1/2). Go Balty!!! :0002!!!
 

Old School

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that hook is nasty..

Savage has played slightly better of late..

they managed to run and pass vs Ariz..

Ravens D are they Dr. Jekyll

............or are they
Mr. Hyde who gave up 27 to the Bears


 

MadJack

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A Ravens win tonight puts them in the playoffs if the playoffs were next week. :mj07:
 
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