The Bowl - Jord20

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Jord20

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Jun 27, 2002
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The plays have been made.

I have Rams 14-1 from preseason sitting out there at 1x to win 14x... but that isn't affecting my play at all.

Rams -4 20x
1H Rams -3 20x
1Q Rams -1 10x

I will obviously playing live and post as I can and hopefully find some good spots. Live plays just still aren't nearly as tight as pre-game and presents great (relative) opportunity if you can be dialed into the game.

I will be hitting some props, but haven't yet.
 
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pointspred fred

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Feb 26, 2002
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Jord20 said:
The plays have been made.

I have Rams 14-1 from preseason sitting out there at 1x to win 14x... but that isn't affecting my play at all.

Rams -4 20x
1H Rams -3 20x
1Q Rams -1 10x

I will obviously playing live and post as I can and hopefully find some good spots. Live plays just still aren't nearly as tight as pre-game and presents great (relative) opportunity if you can be dialed into the game.

I will be hitting some props, but haven't yet.
Click to expand...



Jord i never ask this of other cappers for whatever reason but I'm fascinated on this one. Can give me /us a little insight into how you capped this game? Asking because totals and spreads in games like this are so tight and you seem to love the Rams. I love the Rams too but it just seems to easy. That scares me. Why are you hammering?
 
R

rocky mountain

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Sep 24, 2005
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Jord20 said:
The plays have been made.

I have Rams 14-1 from preseason sitting out there at 1x to win 14x... but that isn't affecting my play at all.

Rams -4 20x
1H Rams -3 20x
1Q Rams -1 10x

I will obviously playing live and post as I can and hopefully find some good spots. Live plays just still aren't nearly as tight as pre-game and presents great (relative) opportunity if you can be dialed into the game.

I will be hitting some props, but haven't yet.
Click to expand...

Take it down!
 
E

Easywinner03

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Dec 18, 2020
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Jord20 said:
The plays have been made.

I have Rams 14-1 from preseason sitting out there at 1x to win 14x... but that isn't affecting my play at all.

Rams -4 20x
1H Rams -3 20x
1Q Rams -1 10x

I will obviously playing live and post as I can and hopefully find some good spots. Live plays just still aren't nearly as tight as pre-game and presents great (relative) opportunity if you can be dialed into the game.

I will be hitting some props, but haven't yet.
Click to expand...
On the rams too bigggg
 
J

Jord20

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Forum Member
Jun 27, 2002
43,872
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113
Chicago, IL
pointspred fred said:
Jord i never ask this of other cappers for whatever reason but I'm fascinated on this one. Can give me /us a little insight into how you capped this game? Asking because totals and spreads in games like this are so tight and you seem to love the Rams. I love the Rams too but it just seems to easy. That scares me. Why are you hammering?
Click to expand...

Quick thoughts...


Bengals have been very fortunate these playoffs. Should have lost to Tenn if Vrabel didn't go brain dead on his late game play calling. They got Mahomes worst half of his career (a lot of it unsolicited). Their advance luck factor stats have been way better (luckier) than the Rams. I know they have escaped with awful OL play, but that doesn't mean it wasn't and won't be a problem. They are severely overmatched on both lines. This makes me think of last year's bowl, when Bucs lines dominated the game.

Bengals struggled against similar d schemes to the Rams (think Bears, Broncos).

Rams have faced some of the best run Ds in the league over the past 5 games. This will be a walk in the park compared to Niners, Bucs, Cards, Ravens. I think McVay may tighten up, but vs Bengals run D, it may work. He will have some plays up his sleeve first half. The Rams are a veteran team with some of the best line play in the league. They have better weapons, a better coach, and maybe even a slight homefield advantage.

I think they will start fast and never look back. Fade a little Joey magic worst case scenario on a back door. Rams 1st drive D has been spectacular. Their first drives have been much more successful.

Bengals need a lot to go right to keep this one close, IMO. Rams can be suboptimal and hang around much easier.

I had a zillion other thoughts, but that's it for now.

Props...
 
J

Jord20

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Jun 27, 2002
43,872
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Chicago, IL
And, no, I don't think this 'seems too easy.'

The Bengals were 3 point dogs at Tenn, 7 at KC. 4.5 seems spot on to me. There is no world where this line should be 6. So, all this square/sharp game for this is just not relevant to me.
 
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Jord20

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Jun 27, 2002
43,872
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113
Chicago, IL
Some props I hit...

Shortest FG under 27.5
Rams more 1st downs -150
Akers over 63.5 rush yards
Rams over 109.5 rush yards
Higgins over 5.5 and over 69.5
Kupp under 108.5
Bengals longest FG
Brrow to throw an INT
largest lead over 14.5
Rams first to 10 -150
Rams -14 +300
 
J

Jord20

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Jun 27, 2002
43,872
6,346
113
Chicago, IL
Mixon under 61.5

SGP?
Rams
Rams first to 10
Higgins TD

+625

SGP?
Rams ml
Akers over 59.5

+130

SGP..

Rams
Burrow pk
Akers over 49.5
Mixon under 49.5
Tee over 59.5
Akers TD

+900


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J

Jord20

Sharp
Forum Member
Jun 27, 2002
43,872
6,346
113
Chicago, IL
Bit of a gross push off missed XP?

Rams -.5 15x
Over 47 10x

Looks like books think Bengals are the play. We shall see


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