NCAA YTD: 38-32 (+4.86*)
NFL YTD: 20-24 (-2.99*)
The Good:
- - (1) 4-1 on totals. I've been very selective, but that has never been enough of a strategy for me in the past.
- - (2) A 60+% clip on my 15 or so plays of more than 1*. That's a good thing.
The Bad:
- - (1) Too many slow starts on early Saturday games have chased me off some solid late plays, in terms of both stakes wagered and posting at Madjacks. And since the only accurate record of my wagers for the last four years is the one I keep of my plays posted at Madjack's, the situation really does upset me.
- - (2) I haven't been able to bust out with a single 6-1 or 9-2 type week. Contributes to a stressful situation.
The Ugly:
- - (1) More 17+ point losers and fewer 17+ point winners than usual. Two UGLY picks in a row shakes my confidence much more than four scrappy losses in a row.
- - (2) My 14-21-0 record in the Infinity NFL contest. I know the chief culprit has been spending more time on college games Monday through Saturday than ever before, and consequently putting off too much NFL study and evaluation until Saturday night, but still.
One more thing:
- - A cut and paste job from my second football post of this season on 9/2/04. I could tweak it, but I'll let it stand verbatim as a fair statement of who I am:
"Every wager is founded on an angle of some sort, maybe a dozen, some better than others . . . Information and a frame of reference for synthesizing that information . . .Situational, fundamental, technical, valuist, contrarian . . . It's good to know and remember what has worked in the past, but it's mindless to be wedded to one or a few approaches or theories . . . You scrutinize. You step back. You dig a little more. You pull the trigger. MONEY MANAGEMENT. You're right, you're wrong, you evaluate and try again . . . The bad beats are maybe 1/3 as annoying as the flat out wrong and I must have been an idiot plays . . . Persevering for value in some long odds, and recognizing value on one side of a tight number. Matchups. Raw numbers. Where does the real motivation lie; Is this a bad spot even if they are headed in the right direction; Exhibitions, openers, playing out the string, championships - you won't find value if you keep your eyes closed . . . A few cappers recognizing what you are seeing so clearly; others not recognizing what seems so obvious you just want to scream before they trip; research that is good enough to convince you to take exactly the opposite side of what you anticipated going in . . . That's 30 minutes of brainstorming to scratch the surface . . . And now an old game starts a new season . . . GOOD LUCK!"
GL
NFL YTD: 20-24 (-2.99*)
The Good:
- - (1) 4-1 on totals. I've been very selective, but that has never been enough of a strategy for me in the past.
- - (2) A 60+% clip on my 15 or so plays of more than 1*. That's a good thing.
The Bad:
- - (1) Too many slow starts on early Saturday games have chased me off some solid late plays, in terms of both stakes wagered and posting at Madjacks. And since the only accurate record of my wagers for the last four years is the one I keep of my plays posted at Madjack's, the situation really does upset me.
- - (2) I haven't been able to bust out with a single 6-1 or 9-2 type week. Contributes to a stressful situation.
The Ugly:
- - (1) More 17+ point losers and fewer 17+ point winners than usual. Two UGLY picks in a row shakes my confidence much more than four scrappy losses in a row.
- - (2) My 14-21-0 record in the Infinity NFL contest. I know the chief culprit has been spending more time on college games Monday through Saturday than ever before, and consequently putting off too much NFL study and evaluation until Saturday night, but still.
One more thing:
- - A cut and paste job from my second football post of this season on 9/2/04. I could tweak it, but I'll let it stand verbatim as a fair statement of who I am:
"Every wager is founded on an angle of some sort, maybe a dozen, some better than others . . . Information and a frame of reference for synthesizing that information . . .Situational, fundamental, technical, valuist, contrarian . . . It's good to know and remember what has worked in the past, but it's mindless to be wedded to one or a few approaches or theories . . . You scrutinize. You step back. You dig a little more. You pull the trigger. MONEY MANAGEMENT. You're right, you're wrong, you evaluate and try again . . . The bad beats are maybe 1/3 as annoying as the flat out wrong and I must have been an idiot plays . . . Persevering for value in some long odds, and recognizing value on one side of a tight number. Matchups. Raw numbers. Where does the real motivation lie; Is this a bad spot even if they are headed in the right direction; Exhibitions, openers, playing out the string, championships - you won't find value if you keep your eyes closed . . . A few cappers recognizing what you are seeing so clearly; others not recognizing what seems so obvious you just want to scream before they trip; research that is good enough to convince you to take exactly the opposite side of what you anticipated going in . . . That's 30 minutes of brainstorming to scratch the surface . . . And now an old game starts a new season . . . GOOD LUCK!"
GL
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