This past week, the model did pretty well, and brought its ATS record up to 50% from Week 4 ? the first week it ended using last year?s data. The biggest problem this year has been massaging out all the home-field advantages, which have become largely irrelevant. It has been an integral part of the Limper?s algorithm for decades, and removing its traces is an on-going effort. HFA had been declining in recent years anyway, but this season ? thanks mainly, IMO, to crowd disappearance due to Covid 19 ? it has fallen off the map entirely. Home teams, straight-up, are now winning at a pathetic 49.2% SU!! with Road Dogs hitting at a huge 58.3% ATS rate. Of course, even 50% ATS is hardly an indication of reliability, but I?m hopeful the model will continue to trend upward.
GLTA
GLTA
