Can’t remember a time when I’ve run the model this late in the season, but the numbers remain solid against the spread (58.2%) and straight-up (68.6%), so I’ve no excuse to shut it down. I think it’s mostly due to teams being bunched up in both conferences where, in the west, they dread playing OKC, and either CLE or BOS in the east – and suffering an embarrassing 1st round sweep. Especially in the west where, with only a handful of games left, moving up to the 4th or 5th seed is on the table for several teams. This translates into less sitting or otherwise resting starters, and makes projections a bit more past performance-friendly. Also, predictably, tanking for Cooper Flagg is in full swing, with WAS, UTA and CHA slamming on the brakes (BRO at WAS is definitely a stay-away game). All of which means most games are that much more predictable, and bettor-friendly. On the other hand, of course, I could just be wrong, and the Limper is simply better than even I thought – LOL. GLTA
