The Nelson

[Another Steve]

Hard to believe their isn't a Thread so I will continue my Poor Year with my Plays

S VERPLANK wins BYRON NELSON pick @+20.00
C CAMPBELL wins BYRON NELSON pick @+33.00

 

[Cie]

18 hole matchups

Imada -115 over J. Rollins
F. Jacobsen -105 over B. Crane
JJ Henry -115 over Mayfair


72 holes

S. Marino -110 over J. Merrick


May play donald outright.....


GL:weed:

 

[Cantona7]

Chad Campbell at 33/1
Justin LEonard at 33/1
Freddie Jacobsen at 66/1
John Merrick at 80/1

My long list consisted of: Letzig, Bohn, Perez, Rollins and Elk plus the above

 

[Tommyjay]

I had to go with this guy, regardless being a non-winner.

Jacobson to win 56.00

1 match/up over 72
Donald over Scott +100`

Some guys I don't like this week and look to fade in the 3-balls are--Quinney, Beem, the 2 Wilsons, and Perry

 

[CANADA MAN]

2008: +19.06 UNITS
Outrights & Props: 8-32 (-0.22)
Matchups: 98-67-14 (+19.28) (59.4%)

ROUND 1 MATCHUPS: (pinnacle)

B. Wetterich over R. Pampling -105 WON
L. Donald over J. Wagner -160 LOST
S. O'Hair over C. Pettersson -135 WON

:canada1

 

[Whalers Rule]

Round 1 matchups

Chopra +150 over Immelman
Kresge -105 over Henry
Mahan -105 over Kim
Maruyama -100 over Kelly
Campbell -110 over Kim
Perry -110 over Mayfair
Beem -125 over Gronberg
Palmer -125 over Ferrie

Outright 1 unit e.w.
R Armour 200-1
beem 250-1

First round leader 1unit e.w
R Armour 150-1
Palmer 200-1
Beem 175-1

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Anthony Kim(33/1) e.w.
- - My only play for this week . . . My secretary will disavow any knowledge of the rest of this stuff.

Sean O'Hair(30/1) e.w.
- - I had to reason my way into this play rather than feel it, which is not my preferred approach and well removed from my most profitable approach.

Ben Crane(50/1) e.w.
- - Quietly crafting a much better season than I realized, and back on a stage I'll always associate with him.

Charley Hoffman(80/1) e.w.
- - I could easily do without this play, to be perfectly honest.

Jason Day(150/1) e.w.
- - There's Colt Knost or Todd Hamilton or Bob Estes or even Rocco Mediate, but this struck me (or stuck with me) as more to my liking.

GL

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

@ 5d

Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
Chad Campbell (Tourn) 4/24/2008 8:53:01 AM - (EST)
-110
Opponent: Anthony Kim (Tourn)

========================
1st rd

Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
Chad Campbell (1st Rnd) 4/24/2008 8:53:01 AM - (EST)
-110
Opponent: Anthony Kim (1st Rnd)

Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
J.L. Lewis (1st Rnd) 4/24/2008 1:00:01 PM - (EST)
-115
Opponent: John Daly (1st Rnd)

 

[Chip Hilton]

Bart Bryant

Bart Bryant

Loaded up on Bart:

18 holes for Round One on Thursday:

2 Units:

Bart Bryant over Ian Poulter @ +100(Even).L

3 Units each:

Bart Bryant over Billy Mayfair @ -115.L

Bart Bryant over Billy Mayfair&Eric Axley @ +125.L


72 holes for Tournament:

3 Units:

Bart Bryant over Carl Pettersson @ -115.winning by 2 after firstWIN

Go Bart.

 

[Chip Hilton]

Bogey,Bogey

Bogey,Bogey

Nice start for Bart Bryant: Bogey, Bogey on the first two holes. Boy, can I pick them.

 

[Whalers Rule]

Round 2 matchups

Crane +100 over Garcia
Quigley +103 over Pavin
senden -130 over Marino
Sabatinni -124 over Kim
Palmer -128 over Gamez
Frazar -108 over Reavie
Goydos +100 over Gronberg
Streelman +100 over Ferrie
Thatcher -130 over Thompson

 

[CANADA MAN]

2-1 Thursday ...profit of 0.40 units

ROUND 2 MATCHUPS: (pinnacle)

K. Duke over S. Marino -107 LOST
S. O'Hair over C. Pettersson -134 LOST
B. Wetterich over R. Pampling -109 LOST


:canada1

 

[Stanley]

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Kevin Sutherland to beat Mathew Goggin -106 @ Five Dimes

Ben Crane to beat Hunter Mahan -105 @ Carib

No time for write-ups today.

 

[Chip Hilton]

Round Two on Friday

Round Two on Friday

Outrights after first round, before second commences:

1 unit: Sean O'Hair @ + 1150 L - missed cut by 1
1/2 unit: Kevin Sutherland @ + 1900 tied with Adam Scott for the lead at this point on sat
1/4 unit: JJ Henry @ + 3233 probable loss
1/8 unit: Bart Bryant @ + 3233 pending
Lost outrights


18 holes for round two on Friday:


4 units each:

Bart Bryant over Billy Mayfair @ +100(even) W

JJ Henry over Carl Pettersson @ -125 L

Sean O'Hair over Carl Pettersson @ -140 L


3 units each:

Ben Crane over Hunter Mahon @ -105 L

Kevin Na over Jeff Quinney @ -115 W

JJ Henry over Dean Wilson @ -130 W


2 units each:

Daniel Chopra over Trevor Immelman @ +115 W@+

Kevin Sutherland over Mathew Goggin @ -106 L

Kevin Na over Dean Wilson @ -125 W


1 unit each:

Harrison Frazar over Chev Reavie @ -108 L

Kevin Sutherland over Shigeki Maruyama @ -120 W

Sean O'Hair over Ian Poulter @ -122 L



C/F -- (Pending from yesterday for 72 holes:
3 units: Bart Bryant over Carl Pettersson @ -115)
leading by four after friday but Carl has cut that in half so far on sat.WIN

Passed on saturday - partied to hard friday night
However, did purchase another 1/2 unit share on Kevin Sutherland outright while in progress sat, although this 1/2 unit was @ + 488.
Also added another 1/4 unit on Bart Bryant outright and this 1/4 unit was @ +1150.[/B]

 

[lostinamerica]

Friday:

Kim(-106) over Sabbatini

GL

 

[sports student]

2nd round at 5 dimes:

Bryant +110 over Henry

 

[accventures]

Round Three

Round Three

For Saturday:

Jesper +120 over Na (WON 1.2 units)
Hoffman -135 over McLachlin (WON 1 unit)
Moore +175 over Leonard (Won 1.75 units)
Goggin -130 over McCarron (WON 1 unit)
Sutherland +145 over Bryant (LOST 1 unit)

WON 3.95 units on the day

 

[lostinamerica]

Saturday:

Scott McCarron(22/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4) e.w.
- - http://www.asapsports.com/show_interview.php?id=49147

McCarron(-105) over Hensby

GL

 

[Stanley]

Round 3 plays (2pts):

Jon Mills to beat Dustin Johnson -113 @ Five Dimes
Mills has been in much the better form recently, finishing ahead of Johnson in each of their last four common events, and has never shot a worse 3rd round score than Johnson

Kenny Perry to beat Hunter Mahan +105 @ Pinnacle and WSEX [also available at Bet365 and Carib]
Can't see Perry being plus-odds in this matchup, particularly given Mahan's previously very poor form on this course. Perry's record when just off the pace is good and he should remain in contention after this round

Anthony Kim to beat J.J. Henry -113 @ Pinnacle [also available at Carib and WSEX]
Kim's record when well-down the field is surprisingly good for a young player: in the 10 occasions that he has been 45th or lower after 2 rounds, he has never shot worse than 71 in the 3rd round and averages 69.2.

 

[accventures]

Final Round Plays

Final Round Plays

For Sunday:

Sergio +115 over Scott
Jesper +102 over Petersson
Moore +112 over Hoffman
Sutherland +109 over Bryant
Leonard -112 over Henry
Donald -127 over Perry
Quinney +117 over Kim