The old 17 point theory

[- FT -]

wow... so much for any system having an edge.

FT- Have you ever found a system that hits >60%?

I am sure if you had to form fit some "system" you could find something that hits >60%. Take Team A if they eat Wheaties in the morning and went to sleep on or before 2am. But there would be no logical reason for it. You are much better off making a hypothesis (which is obviously based on some logic) and testing it.

Check me out when the NBA season begins...I will do my best to get 60%...but in reality I expect something closer to 55%.

 

[- FT -]

FT....

Awesome database. One trend I'd like a bit of info on is:

Bet against any team winning a game outright on Monday night as an underdog when the following week goes on the road posted as a favorite. It applied last week to the Ravens and worked out well. This situation is very rare due to scheduling in the NFL but I believe has worked out very well.

I'd like some validation to this if possible. :shrug:

Thank you very much for your hard work

Hmmm, don't have the day of the week built in to test that trend, but I will see if I can work something for you.

 

[jng]

You are much better off making a hypothesis (which is obviously based on some logic) and testing it.

What kind of crap is that? I need to hear more about the Wheaties system!

J

 

[Jinxbreaker]

FT GREAT TEAMWORK on this.....1 I have followed for a while and would wonder if it works....TAKE the TEAM that Plays 3 ROAD games in a ROW...The thinking is they are waiting to get home but Vegas over caps it...Someone about 5 years ago said it hit about %70 of time....I have had luck w/it the last 5 years...Of course it only comes into play 2-3 times a year. Thanks

 

[imawinner21]

can you check the results for 28 pt that being to fade a team coming off a 28 win and to play a team coming off a 28 pt loss ,if u can much appreciated

 

[PocketAces]

It is great to see you posting Clem. You've gotten me on many winners and off of even more losers in the past.

If you are ever in WI let me know. I owe you a dinner and drinks.

 

[- FT -]

FT....

Awesome database. One trend I'd like a bit of info on is:

Bet against any team winning a game outright on Monday night as an underdog when the following week goes on the road posted as a favorite. It applied last week to the Ravens and worked out well. This situation is very rare due to scheduling in the NFL but I believe has worked out very well.

I'd like some validation to this if possible. :shrug:

Thank you very much for your hard work

OK, I was able to test this out. Since 1993, only 7 games that fit this scenario.

Fading the team that won SU as dog on Monday and is listed as road favorite the following week: 5-2 ATS

 

[- FT -]

FT GREAT TEAMWORK on this.....1 I have followed for a while and would wonder if it works....TAKE the TEAM that Plays 3 ROAD games in a ROW...The thinking is they are waiting to get home but Vegas over caps it...Someone about 5 years ago said it hit about %70 of time....I have had luck w/it the last 5 years...Of course it only comes into play 2-3 times a year. Thanks

45-54 ATS

I assume this means if a team has played the last 2 weeks on the road, and is now playing their 3rd game on the road in a row...take them to win the 3rd game ATS.

I don't think this type of scenario carries much weight in the NFL as teams are not really "waiting to get home" the same way an NBA or NHL team would if they were on an extended road trip.

 

[imawinner21]

ft can you check the trend of betting against teams coming off 28 pt or more wins and betting on teams coming off 28 pt or more losees

 

[Bucknut1]

Clems Back :00hour

Good stuff as usual...

GL

 

[- FT -]

ft can you check the trend of betting against teams coming off 28 pt or more wins and betting on teams coming off 28 pt or more losees

Sorry bud, missed your post last night:

Play on teams that lost by 28 or more points last week: 133-115 ATS
---If the team lost at home: 73-64 ATS

Play against teams that won by 28 or more points last week: 134-126 ATS
---If the team won at home: 93-83 ATS

 

[Clem D]

I will update my record tonight or tomorrow. Posted plays last week cost a few bucks last week.

The philly Line I got was -3 not + 3 obviously.

Added Another 4 units on the Cards. bought the hook to keep it all at 4. Cards have a big edge at coach. Raiders on the road is not a good spot.

Pabst Blue Ribbon Play of the Day



Made a 2 unit 3 team parlay
Cards -4.5/ Eagles -2.5 and the over 44 in the Sd. Game.

4 unit teaser Cards +5.5 Eagles +7.5 over 34 sd game

Good luck:0002

 

[Clem D]

Giants are poorly coached. Never thought I'd say that about a coughlin team. :scared