This Is It: The Final Run---the Tigers....yyz Let's Do This.

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

we have one month left with LOS TIGRES:

here's their sched:

Aug. '03 OPPONENT TIME (ET) TV LOCATION DET PITCHER OPP. PITCHER

Tue. 26 at Cleveland 7:05 PM WKBD Jacobs Field Cornejo (5-13) Traber (6-6)
Wed. 27 at Cleveland 7:05 PM FxDt Jacobs Field Loux (0-0) Davis (7-10)
Thu. 28 at Cleveland 7:05 PM WKBD Jacobs Field

Fri. 29 Chicago Sox 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Sat. 30 Chicago Sox 7:05 PM WKBD Comerica Park
Sun. 31 Chicago Sox 1:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park

Sep. '03 OPPONENT TIME (ET) TV LOCATION DET PITCHER OPP. PITCHER

Mon. 1 Cleveland 1:05 PM WKBD Comerica Park
Tue. 2 Cleveland 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Wed. 3 Cleveland 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Thu. 4 Cleveland 1:05 PM Comerica Park

Fri. 5 at Toronto 7:05 PM FxDt SkyDome
Sat. 6 at Toronto 4:05 PM WKBD SkyDome
Sun. 7 at Toronto 1:05 PM WKBD SkyDome

Tue. 9 at NY Yankees 7:05 PM FxDt Yankee Stadium
Wed. 10 at NY Yankees 7:05 PM FxDt Yankee Stadium
Thu. 11 at NY Yankees 7:05 PM FxDt Yankee Stadium

Fri. 12 Kansas City 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Sat. 13 Kansas City 7:05 PM WKBD Comerica Park
Sun. 14 Kansas City 1:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Mon. 15 Kansas City 7:05 PM Comerica Park

Tue. 16 Toronto 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Wed. 17 Toronto 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Thu. 18 Toronto 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park

Fri. 19 at Minnesota 8:05 PM FxDt Metrodome
Sat. 20 at Minnesota 12:05 PM WKBD Metrodome
Sun. 21 at Minnesota 2:05 PM WKBD Metrodome

Mon. 22 at Kansas City 8:05 PM FxDt Kauffman Stadium
Tue. 23 at Kansas City 8:05 PM FxDt Kauffman Stadium
Wed. 24 at Kansas City 8:05 PM FxDt Kauffman Stadium

Thu. 25 Minnesota 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Fri. 26 Minnesota 7:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park
Sat. 27 Minnesota 7:05 PM WKBD Comerica Park
Sun. 28 Minnesota 1:05 PM FxDt Comerica Park

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

I can't see (unless by some god awful miracle) the Tigers winning more than 5 games in September.....

MY PLAN:

a) gonna bet the ML against the TIGERS ( 3 units) per game until the end of the season.

b) gonna bet the runline against the Tigers (1 unit) per game until the end of the season.


who's with me????

MY GOAL IS TO GET BACK TO +30.00 UNITS BY THE END OF THE SEASON!!!!!!

THE TIGERS ARE MY BITCH!!!!!


ENDGAME STARTS TUESDAY.


BE THERE.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

my current record is:

YTD 2003: 320 - 291 - 13 = - 6.55 units
2nd half: 120 - 101 - 3 = +31.01 units

I WANT MY RESPECTABILITY BACK......the last 2 seasons i had an over +30 units average. I want to get to that point again this season and it's NOT too late.
___________________________________________
this is from my post on sunday:

FYI: last 2 months, Detroit has averaged 3 wins per month.

and last year in September, LOS Tigres won 5 games....

folks, let me tell you this.....

This 2003 Tigers will go down in the record books as having lost the MOST games of all TIME.....!!!

let's take advantage of it.

IF the Tigers can match their win total in September LAST year with THIS year, we'll still be up a few units...

let's do some simple math based on last year's Tiger's September:

september record: 5 - 21
let's say on average you'd have to pay about -190 on the ML
and let's say for the sake of arguing i'd lay three units down per game.....because i'd like to hit my target of +30.00 units for the season.

they LOSE 21 games x 3 units = +63.00 units

they win 5 games x 1.90 (you lose per 1 unit) x 3 unit bets=
-28.50 units

you'd be up around = +34.50 units

there, i've done the basic math.....i'd like to be up +34.50 units just by betting against this pathetic team....i CANNOT see them winning more than 5 games in the month of september....

and therein lies my september strategy.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Im with ya bro! Lets ride these hoes all the way down!

 

[rickdog]

gl TV been riding them with you greatest go against team of the year:shrug:

 

[Allnet]

Det 7-9 vs WS

 

[homerh]

good luck tv

 

[sashi patel]

I'm in TV,

Especially after what they did to me yesterday.

Might throw in the LA under while I'm at it.

Good Luck,


~Patel

 

[Nick Douglas]

You guys are asking for trouble. Good luck if you try it.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Det 7-9 vs WS

we know ALLNET, we'll go light on that series.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

You guys are asking for trouble. Good luck if you try it.

It's ok guys...I'm warning you:

ONLY WAGER WHAT YOU CAN AFFORD!!!!

THIS IS NOT A SURE THING!!!!

DO NOT BLOW YOUR MONEY.

WAGER WISELY. 1 unit / or half units.....!!!

As for me, i'm willing to up my units against them and i'll be the guineapig for this experiment.

 

[sashi patel]

TV,

What about hedging with the Over? They do seem to be hitting the ball as of late, and, coupled with their horrendous pitching staff, the Over could be a nice hedge for those slugfests that they do actually pull out.

~Patel

 

[Nick Douglas]

TV,

I really want to see you do well but you are playing with fire here. The lines on Detroit are getting ever more rediculous. Everything is going to be -175 or higher against them at home and -225 or higher against them on the road (with rare exceptions). Against good teams, hot teams or quality starters you are talking -350 and higher.

Yes, they are a bloody awful team, but do you follow them closely and read their local media reports? They just benched Pena and he came back on fire, giving them a middle of the lineup that can actually produce runs for once. Their young pitchers are worn out but they just brought up three flamethrowers from the minors who at least have the stuff to seal up that leaky bullpen and hold on to some leads. Also, during this losing streak just about everything that could go wrong for them has. Booting double play grounders and having homers hit in the next at bat, hitting balls hard right at people with RISP, etc.

You very well may turn a profit with this scheme but it is a real risk. Their division is mediocre enough that it is even possible that they could win close to half their games. It is incredibly unlikely but stranger things have happened. If you bet 4 units per game on an average line of -200 you are dropping about 65 units over the last month or so of the season. And the average line will be above -200 betting against them, maybe closer to -220 with playoff contenders playing them in 5 of their last 6 series.

Judging by your 30 unit profit goal, you need about a 6-27 record over the last month of the season. That is a .182 winning percentage. Their winning percentage even coming off this 11 game skid is 130% of that. Their worst play all season has been vs. the west and they are done playing those teams.

I guess my point in all of this is that you had a great run fading them, but you've lost 3 straight days betting on their games. Don't lose what you've made back by riding a dead horse. Picking spots against Detroit and playing selectively absolutely could be a way to make money these last 5 weeks of the season, but blindly playing them at these kind of odds is asking for trouble. Good luck.

 

[ND2002HORNS]

TV - You do what you think is best. Go with your initial instinct. You are a great capper. GL

HORNS