This prop looks too good to be true

txag

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Sep 18, 2002
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My book (SIA) has had this same prop for every playoff game and have not adjusted their line at all. The prop is longest FG over/under 43.5 yards. Now with the weather that these 2 games are going to be played in there might not even be a FG of 44 yards or more attempted much less made. What do you guys think?
 
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herc

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I think the longest one made in Pittsburgh in the last 4 years is 46 yards. I think the only chance that one will be attempted in this range is if it is end of half or game. Looks like a solid bet
 

Blackman

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Aug 31, 2003
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herc said:
I think the longest one made in Pittsburgh in the last 4 years is 46 yards. I think the only chance that one will be attempted in this range is if it is end of half or game. Looks like a solid bet


I agree, I think we all saw last week that FGs of 40+ at Heinz Field are not gimme's.

Hate to bet against Vinateri, because he's more than capable of making a huge kick, but if the chalk is reasonable that under looks solid.
 

txag

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I got the under at -120, it has now gone to -135 for both games. I think this has great value.
 

txag

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Ndfan,

Yeah it is still there in the NFL Props section. The juice is up to -145 for under 43.5 yards on both games now.
 
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