Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
SUNDAY, MARCH 17
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO at MIL | 01:00 PM | PHO +2.5 U 227.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIA at DET | 03:00 PM | DET +6.5 U 214.5 | +500 +500 |
| DEN at DAL | 03:30 PM | DEN -4.0 O 229.0 | +500 +500 |
| BOS at WAS | 06:00 PM | BOS -11.0 U 229.0 | +500 +500 |
| TOR at ORL | 06:00 PM | TOR +12.5 O 216.0 | +500 +500 |
| BK at SA | 07:00 PM | SA -2.0 O 218.5 | +500 +500 |
| ATL at LAC | 09:30 PM | LAC -9.5 U 221.0 | +500 +500 |
Monday’s 6-pack:
Highest-rated teams that missed the NCAA Tournament:
— St John’s
— Wake Forest
— Villanova
— Cincinnati
— Pittsburgh
— Oklahoma
Quote of the Day
“I knew it was going to be hard, especially when we’re building off of not much tradition……I was the most relaxed I’ve ever been. I just tried to enjoy it for the first time in my life.”
Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot; Dukes are in NCAAs for first time since 1977
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, what famous actress played George Clooney’s wife?
Sunday’s quiz
NFL teams recovered only one of 31 onside kicks last year; Arizona Cardinals recovered the one onside kick.
Saturday’s quiz
Syracuse-UConn played a 6-overtime game in the Big East tournament, back in 2009.
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Tuesday’s games
Colorado State-Virginia
Since 2019, Virginia has been in the NCAA’s four times:
In 2019, Virginia won the national title.
The other three years, Virginia lost in the first round.
Wagner-Howard
NEC teams are 5-5 in play-in games.
MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.
Wagner went 7-9 in the 2nd-worst league in the country.
Wednesday’s games
Colorado-Boise State
All-time, Boise State is 0-9 in NCAA Tournament games, the most tournament games any team has played without getting a win.
Grambling-Montana State
Montana State is in NCAA’s for 3rd year in a row, but this year, they went 9-9 in Big Sky games. The last two years, Bobcats were 31-7 in Big Sky games.
This is Grambling’s first-ever NCAA Tournament game.
Thursday’s games
South Dakota State-Iowa State
Since 2012, Jackrabbits are 0-6 in NCAA Tournament games, 2-3-1 ATS.
From 2017-19, Iowa State coach Otzelberger went 70-33 coaching South Dakota State.
Saint Peter’s-Tennessee
Since 2003, MAAC teams are 6-13 ATS in first round games, but 3-1 the last four years. Peacocks were in the Elite 8 two years ago, but the coach/players from that team have moved on.
Last five years, Tennessee is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS in first round games.
Long Beach State-Arizona
From 1983-2007, Lute Olson went 589-187 coaching Arizona, winning a national title in 1997. Olson also coached Long Beach State for a year; he replaced Jerry Tarkanian there in 1973-74, going 24-2; he left after a year to coach Iowa.
Dan Monson has coached Long Beach State for 17 years (275-272), but got fired last week; he made the NCAA’s at Long Beach one other time, in
2012.
Morehead State-Illinois
Illinois coach Underwood has made NCAA’s seven times, for three different schools; he is 4-3 SU/ATS in first round games.
Oakland-Kentucky
Oakland is in NCAA’s for first time since 2011; over last 11 years, Horizon teams are 4-7 ATS in first round games.
Under John Calipari, Kentucky is 5-6 ATS in first round games.
Akron-Creighton
Last seven years, MAC teams are 3-4 SU/6-1 ATS in first round games.
Under McDermott, Creighton is 6-2 SU/4-4 ATS in first round games. This is second time Bluejays have been a #3-seed, tied for best seed Creighton has been under McDermott.
Samford-Kansas
Jayhawks have injury issues: Dickinson/McKullar didn’t play in the Big X tournament. Kansas lost four of its last five games.
14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round. Is Samford good enough to pull an upset?
McNeese State-Gonzaga
While coaching at VCU/LSU, McNeese coach Will Wade was 3-2 SU in first round games. This season, his first at McNeese, Wade has the Cowboys at 30-3, their first winning season since 2012- they’ve won games at VCU, UAB and Michigan.
Since 2003, Gonzaga is 18-2 SU/9-11 ATS in first round games; last time they lost a first round game was 2008, as a #7-seed, to Seth Curry’s Davidson team.
Duquesne-BYU
Duquesne is in NCAA’s for first time since 1977; their coach is Keith Dambrot, who was Lebron James’ high school coach.
BYU is in NCAA’s for only 2nd time since 2015; they haven’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2012.
NC State-Texas Tech
Wolfpack won five games in five days to win ACC Tournament, and get to this point; they went 2-7 in their last nine regular season games.
Texas Tech is shooting 36.5% on the arc (#38), getting 33.9% of their points on 3’s (#84).
Oregon-South Carolina
Much like NC State, Ducks were a surprise winner of their conference tournament. Under Dana Altman, Oregon is 7-0 SU in first round games in the NCAA’s.
This is South Carolina’s 2nd NCAA bid since 2004; they made the Final 4 as a #7-seed in 2017, when Frank Martin was coach.
Drake-Washington State
Bulldogs have #27 eFG% in country, they get good shots. Their best player is Tucker DeVries, the coach’s son; he is shooting 36.4% on arc. Drake is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
Washington State is in NCAA’s for first time since 2008; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense.
Nevada-Dayton
Nevada won 7 of its last 8 games; CBS left them hanging a little when they announced the brackets- they have to be relieved to be in the tournament. In his coaching career, Steve Alford is 7-5 in first round games.
Dayton split its last four games, after a 21-4 start; they’re shooting 40.2% on the arc, #3 in the country.
Michigan State-Mississippi State
Spartans got in tournament despite losing five of their last seven games. Coach Izzo won five of his last six first round games.
Mississippi State also lost five of its last seven games; coach Jans is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last six years. Bulldogs are #21 team in country on the offensive boards.
Friday’s games
Northwestern-Florida Atlantic
Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, 3rd time in 8 years; they went 10-2 outside the Big 14, with a #355 non-conference strength of schedule.
FAU was in the Final Four LY, as a #9-seed; they have wins this year over Arizona, Texas A&M and Virginia Tech- they lost 98-89 to Illinois.
Colgate-Baylor
Last 10 years, Patriot League teams are 4-6 ATS in first round games; Colgate went 2-2 ATS the last four years, with losses by 7-17-7-20 points.
Since 2016, Baylor is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in first round games.
Alabama-Birmingham-San Diego State
UAB won its last five games; they’re only in because they won the AAC Tournament. Blazers are 8-6 vs top 100 teams this season.
San Diego State lost the national title game LY, after losing in first round the first two years before that
.
Western Kentucky-Marquette
Hilltoppers play the fastest tempo of any team in country; they won the C-USA Tournament, after losing their last four regular season games. WKU split two games with #95 Louisiana Tech, the best team they played this season.
Marquette’s star G Kolek (oblique) missed the last six games, which Marquette split. Shaka Smart got VCU to the Final Four in 2011; since 2014, he is 1-6 in first round games (beat Vermont 78-61 last year).
Stetson-UConn
Stetson (Jacob deGrom’s alma mater) is in NCAA’s for first time. Over last 10 years, A-SUN teams are 4-6 SU/7-3 ATS in first round games.
UConn won national title last year, after losing in first round the first two years before that. Last six years, #1-seeds are 10-14 ATS in first round games.
New Mexico-Clemson
New Mexico allowed 76+ points in seven of its eight losses. Last eight years, underdogs are 18-14 ATS in first round games between #6-11 seeds.
Clemson lost three of its last four games; since 1998, Tigers are 1-6 SU in first round games.
Yale-Auburn
Yale was down 6 with 0:27 left Sunday, rallied to pull out the win and the Ivy League title. Bulldogs are in NCAA’s for third time in five years; since 2010, Ivy League teams are 9-3 ATS in first round games.
Auburn won its last six games, five of them by 14+ points; in his career, Bruce Pearl is 8-4 SU/5-7 ATS in first round games, 3-7 as a favorite.
Texas A&M-Nebraska
Aggies have #345 eFG% in country; they’re #1 in country on offensive boards. A&M won five of its last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
Nebraska has #15 eFG% defense in country.
This year, SEC teams are 9-4 SU/ATS against Big 14 opponents.
Vermont-Duke
Vermont is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last seven tournaments; they went 2-2 ATS in previous four NCAA games.
Duke is 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven 1st round games. Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round games.
Charleston-Alabama
Charleston won its last 12 games; LY, they had won 10 in row before losing 63-57 to San Diego State in first round. CAA teams lost their last 10 first-round games (0-4 ATS last four).
Alabama lost four of its last six games, giving up 100+ points three times.
Early total on this game is 171.5; Alabama plays pace #9, Charleston #59.
Longwood-Houston
Big South teams haven’t won a first round game since 2007 (Winthrop); since 2008, they’re 4-9 ATS in this round. Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year; they played #344 non-conference schedule.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country; they’re #13 team on offensive boards.
James Madison-Wisconsin
Dukes won their last 13 games, longest current win streak in country; they’ve got #24 eFG% defense, #34 eFG%, but that was against schedule #293.
Under Gard, Wisconsin is 4-1 SU/ATS in first round games. Badgers went 3-1 in Big 14 tournament, after losing 8 of last 11 regular season games.
TCU-Utah State
TCU won first round games last two years, 69-42/72-70. Horned Frogs are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#22); they’re #20 team on offensive boards.
Utah State won six of its last seven games; they’re 12-1 out of conference, vs schedule #141. Aggies were in three of last four NCAA’s, but lost in first round all three times.
Grand Canyon-Saint Mary’s
Grand Canyon is in NCAA’s for 3rd time in four years; they lost other two games, by 12 points each. Antelopes have #10 eFG% defense in country. WAC teams are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS against WCC opponents, but none of games were against Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s.
Saint Mary’s is best rebounding team in country; since 2017, Gaels are 3-1 in first round games, winning last two years in first round, by 29-12 points.
Highest-rated teams that missed the NCAA Tournament:
— St John’s
— Wake Forest
— Villanova
— Cincinnati
— Pittsburgh
— Oklahoma
Quote of the Day
“I knew it was going to be hard, especially when we’re building off of not much tradition……I was the most relaxed I’ve ever been. I just tried to enjoy it for the first time in my life.”
Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot; Dukes are in NCAAs for first time since 1977
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, what famous actress played George Clooney’s wife?
Sunday’s quiz
NFL teams recovered only one of 31 onside kicks last year; Arizona Cardinals recovered the one onside kick.
Saturday’s quiz
Syracuse-UConn played a 6-overtime game in the Big East tournament, back in 2009.
************************************************
Monday’s Den: Quick thoughts after seeing the brackets…….
Some quick thoughts on each of the four play-in games, and the 28 first round games where we know the matchups. After this, I’m off to study………Tuesday’s games
Colorado State-Virginia
Since 2019, Virginia has been in the NCAA’s four times:
In 2019, Virginia won the national title.
The other three years, Virginia lost in the first round.
Wagner-Howard
NEC teams are 5-5 in play-in games.
MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.
Wagner went 7-9 in the 2nd-worst league in the country.
Wednesday’s games
Colorado-Boise State
All-time, Boise State is 0-9 in NCAA Tournament games, the most tournament games any team has played without getting a win.
Grambling-Montana State
Montana State is in NCAA’s for 3rd year in a row, but this year, they went 9-9 in Big Sky games. The last two years, Bobcats were 31-7 in Big Sky games.
This is Grambling’s first-ever NCAA Tournament game.
Thursday’s games
South Dakota State-Iowa State
Since 2012, Jackrabbits are 0-6 in NCAA Tournament games, 2-3-1 ATS.
From 2017-19, Iowa State coach Otzelberger went 70-33 coaching South Dakota State.
Saint Peter’s-Tennessee
Since 2003, MAAC teams are 6-13 ATS in first round games, but 3-1 the last four years. Peacocks were in the Elite 8 two years ago, but the coach/players from that team have moved on.
Last five years, Tennessee is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS in first round games.
Long Beach State-Arizona
From 1983-2007, Lute Olson went 589-187 coaching Arizona, winning a national title in 1997. Olson also coached Long Beach State for a year; he replaced Jerry Tarkanian there in 1973-74, going 24-2; he left after a year to coach Iowa.
Dan Monson has coached Long Beach State for 17 years (275-272), but got fired last week; he made the NCAA’s at Long Beach one other time, in
2012.
Morehead State-Illinois
Illinois coach Underwood has made NCAA’s seven times, for three different schools; he is 4-3 SU/ATS in first round games.
Oakland-Kentucky
Oakland is in NCAA’s for first time since 2011; over last 11 years, Horizon teams are 4-7 ATS in first round games.
Under John Calipari, Kentucky is 5-6 ATS in first round games.
Akron-Creighton
Last seven years, MAC teams are 3-4 SU/6-1 ATS in first round games.
Under McDermott, Creighton is 6-2 SU/4-4 ATS in first round games. This is second time Bluejays have been a #3-seed, tied for best seed Creighton has been under McDermott.
Samford-Kansas
Jayhawks have injury issues: Dickinson/McKullar didn’t play in the Big X tournament. Kansas lost four of its last five games.
14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round. Is Samford good enough to pull an upset?
McNeese State-Gonzaga
While coaching at VCU/LSU, McNeese coach Will Wade was 3-2 SU in first round games. This season, his first at McNeese, Wade has the Cowboys at 30-3, their first winning season since 2012- they’ve won games at VCU, UAB and Michigan.
Since 2003, Gonzaga is 18-2 SU/9-11 ATS in first round games; last time they lost a first round game was 2008, as a #7-seed, to Seth Curry’s Davidson team.
Duquesne-BYU
Duquesne is in NCAA’s for first time since 1977; their coach is Keith Dambrot, who was Lebron James’ high school coach.
BYU is in NCAA’s for only 2nd time since 2015; they haven’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2012.
NC State-Texas Tech
Wolfpack won five games in five days to win ACC Tournament, and get to this point; they went 2-7 in their last nine regular season games.
Texas Tech is shooting 36.5% on the arc (#38), getting 33.9% of their points on 3’s (#84).
Oregon-South Carolina
Much like NC State, Ducks were a surprise winner of their conference tournament. Under Dana Altman, Oregon is 7-0 SU in first round games in the NCAA’s.
This is South Carolina’s 2nd NCAA bid since 2004; they made the Final 4 as a #7-seed in 2017, when Frank Martin was coach.
Drake-Washington State
Bulldogs have #27 eFG% in country, they get good shots. Their best player is Tucker DeVries, the coach’s son; he is shooting 36.4% on arc. Drake is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
Washington State is in NCAA’s for first time since 2008; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense.
Nevada-Dayton
Nevada won 7 of its last 8 games; CBS left them hanging a little when they announced the brackets- they have to be relieved to be in the tournament. In his coaching career, Steve Alford is 7-5 in first round games.
Dayton split its last four games, after a 21-4 start; they’re shooting 40.2% on the arc, #3 in the country.
Michigan State-Mississippi State
Spartans got in tournament despite losing five of their last seven games. Coach Izzo won five of his last six first round games.
Mississippi State also lost five of its last seven games; coach Jans is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last six years. Bulldogs are #21 team in country on the offensive boards.
Friday’s games
Northwestern-Florida Atlantic
Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, 3rd time in 8 years; they went 10-2 outside the Big 14, with a #355 non-conference strength of schedule.
FAU was in the Final Four LY, as a #9-seed; they have wins this year over Arizona, Texas A&M and Virginia Tech- they lost 98-89 to Illinois.
Colgate-Baylor
Last 10 years, Patriot League teams are 4-6 ATS in first round games; Colgate went 2-2 ATS the last four years, with losses by 7-17-7-20 points.
Since 2016, Baylor is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in first round games.
Alabama-Birmingham-San Diego State
UAB won its last five games; they’re only in because they won the AAC Tournament. Blazers are 8-6 vs top 100 teams this season.
San Diego State lost the national title game LY, after losing in first round the first two years before that
.
Western Kentucky-Marquette
Hilltoppers play the fastest tempo of any team in country; they won the C-USA Tournament, after losing their last four regular season games. WKU split two games with #95 Louisiana Tech, the best team they played this season.
Marquette’s star G Kolek (oblique) missed the last six games, which Marquette split. Shaka Smart got VCU to the Final Four in 2011; since 2014, he is 1-6 in first round games (beat Vermont 78-61 last year).
Stetson-UConn
Stetson (Jacob deGrom’s alma mater) is in NCAA’s for first time. Over last 10 years, A-SUN teams are 4-6 SU/7-3 ATS in first round games.
UConn won national title last year, after losing in first round the first two years before that. Last six years, #1-seeds are 10-14 ATS in first round games.
New Mexico-Clemson
New Mexico allowed 76+ points in seven of its eight losses. Last eight years, underdogs are 18-14 ATS in first round games between #6-11 seeds.
Clemson lost three of its last four games; since 1998, Tigers are 1-6 SU in first round games.
Yale-Auburn
Yale was down 6 with 0:27 left Sunday, rallied to pull out the win and the Ivy League title. Bulldogs are in NCAA’s for third time in five years; since 2010, Ivy League teams are 9-3 ATS in first round games.
Auburn won its last six games, five of them by 14+ points; in his career, Bruce Pearl is 8-4 SU/5-7 ATS in first round games, 3-7 as a favorite.
Texas A&M-Nebraska
Aggies have #345 eFG% in country; they’re #1 in country on offensive boards. A&M won five of its last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
Nebraska has #15 eFG% defense in country.
This year, SEC teams are 9-4 SU/ATS against Big 14 opponents.
Vermont-Duke
Vermont is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last seven tournaments; they went 2-2 ATS in previous four NCAA games.
Duke is 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven 1st round games. Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round games.
Charleston-Alabama
Charleston won its last 12 games; LY, they had won 10 in row before losing 63-57 to San Diego State in first round. CAA teams lost their last 10 first-round games (0-4 ATS last four).
Alabama lost four of its last six games, giving up 100+ points three times.
Early total on this game is 171.5; Alabama plays pace #9, Charleston #59.
Longwood-Houston
Big South teams haven’t won a first round game since 2007 (Winthrop); since 2008, they’re 4-9 ATS in this round. Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year; they played #344 non-conference schedule.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country; they’re #13 team on offensive boards.
James Madison-Wisconsin
Dukes won their last 13 games, longest current win streak in country; they’ve got #24 eFG% defense, #34 eFG%, but that was against schedule #293.
Under Gard, Wisconsin is 4-1 SU/ATS in first round games. Badgers went 3-1 in Big 14 tournament, after losing 8 of last 11 regular season games.
TCU-Utah State
TCU won first round games last two years, 69-42/72-70. Horned Frogs are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#22); they’re #20 team on offensive boards.
Utah State won six of its last seven games; they’re 12-1 out of conference, vs schedule #141. Aggies were in three of last four NCAA’s, but lost in first round all three times.
Grand Canyon-Saint Mary’s
Grand Canyon is in NCAA’s for 3rd time in four years; they lost other two games, by 12 points each. Antelopes have #10 eFG% defense in country. WAC teams are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS against WCC opponents, but none of games were against Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s.
Saint Mary’s is best rebounding team in country; since 2017, Gaels are 3-1 in first round games, winning last two years in first round, by 29-12 points.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-3 Over (8.7 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs in the current season.
MINNESOTA is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games in the current season.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.
SACRAMENTO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-3 Over (8.7 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs in the current season.
MINNESOTA is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games in the current season.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.
SACRAMENTO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
NBA
Monday, March 18
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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ Indiana
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home
Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland @ Chicago
Portland
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Minnesota @ Utah
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Memphis @ Sacramento
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
New York @ Golden State
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State's last 13 games
Atlanta @ LA Lakers
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
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Monday, March 18
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Cleveland @ Indiana
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home
Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland @ Chicago
Portland
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Minnesota @ Utah
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Memphis @ Sacramento
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
New York @ Golden State
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State's last 13 games
Atlanta @ LA Lakers
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
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MONDAY, MARCH 18
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE at IND | 07:00 PM | IND -6.5 O 225.5 | +500 +500 |
| MIA at PHI | 07:30 PM | MIA +2.0 U 208.0 | +500 +500 |
| DET at BOS | 07:30 PM | DET +15.5 O 223.5 | +500 +500 |
| POR at CHI | 08:00 PM | CHI -8.5 O 214.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIN at UTA | 09:00 PM | MIN -6.5 U 223.5 | +500 +500 |
| MEM at SAC | 10:00 PM | SAC -10.5 U 221.5 | +500 +500 |
| NY at GS | 10:00 PM | GS -6.0 U 211.5 | +500 +500 |
| ATL at LAL | 10:30 PM | ATL +9.0 O 225.5 | +500 +500 |
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
Armadillo Sports
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting first round games in the NIT:
— South Florida-Central Florida
— Kansas State-Iowa
— North Texas-LSU
— Cornell-Ohio State
— Richmond-Virginia Tech
— Cal Irvine-Utah
Quote of the Day
“It’s like riding with Helen Keller!!!”
Overheard at lunch Monday, an older woman complaining about her husband’s driving
Tuesday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy has led three teams to a World Series; Texas and what other two teams?
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, Julia Roberts played George Clooney’s wife.
Sunday’s quiz
NFL teams recovered only one of 31 onside kicks last year; Arizona Cardinals recovered the one onside kick.
*****************************************
— Late Monday night, Giants signed P Blake Snell for two years, $62M. Snell has won two Cy Young awards; he was 14-9, 2.25 for the Padres last year.
Here’s the thing about Snell; 32 starts last year, only 180 IP, 17 outs per game. You pay a guy $31M a year, you expect him to finish the 6th inning. At least.
In 2022, he threw 128 IP in 24 starts, 16 outs/start. He doesn’t give the bullpen a night off.
— A few weeks ago, 3B JD Davis won his salary arbitration case with the Giants, was set to bank $6.9M this year, but contracts won in arbitration aren’t guaranteed. Giants dumped Davis and signed free agent Matt Chapman, paying Davis $1.1M to take a hike.
Davis then signed with the Oakland A’s for $2.5M, meaning he lost $3.3M and is now on a much worse team, although he’ll play every day now.
— Tampa Bay Rays’ over/under win total this year is 84.5; over the last five years, Tampa Bay has averaged 95.4 wins/season, despite having a small budget.
— In the NBA, Indiana Pacers have scored 120+ points in 45 games, the most times an NBA team has done that in a season since the Denver Nuggets, 40 years ago.
— In the NHL, the Pittsburgh Penguins were supposed to have a Jaromir Jagr bobblehead giveaway last week, but had to cancel when the shipment of bobbleheads got stolen. People who had tickets for the giveaway night got vouchers to get the bobbleheads, when they re-appear.
Some of the vouchers have already surfaced on E-Bay.
— NHL rule I never heard of: If teams are in overtime/shootout, the losing team gets a point, but if a team were to pull its goalie in overtime to try and win the game, they don’t get the point if they don’t win.
— Alabama gave its new football coach Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer a contract worth $10.875M a year. Good luck replacing Nick Saban, maybe the greatest college football coach ever.
— Movie of the Day: Autumn in New York (2000)- An aging playboy falls for a sweet, but terminally ill young woman.
Excellent cast: Richard Gere is the playboy, Winona Ryder is the young woman, JK Simmons is the surgeon who tries to save her. Anthony LaPaglia, Jill Hennessy, Sherry Stringfield are also in the movie, which is a sad movie, but a very good one.
— Famous birthdays for March 19:
Glenn Close, 77
Bruce Willis, 69
Mike Norris, 69
Andre Miller 48
Casey Jacobsen, 43
Clayton Kershaw, 36
— On the Hoops page of this blog, we have write-ups on all the NCAA games for the play-in games, plus all of Thursday’s games. I’ll post write-ups on Friday’s games late Wednesday night.
Some other college basketball notes:
— Some prominent college hoop programs passed on playing in the NIT; truth is, no one gives a rat’s ass about the NIT, but there’s another reason, a new reason.
The college basketball transfer portal opened Monday; fact of the matter is, coaches have to make the NCAA’s to keep their jobs, and the transfer portal is a hell of a lot more important to a program than playing in the obscurity of the NIT.
Improving your roster now means that a team can play in next year’s NCAA Tournament, which will help the coach’s job security.
— Tennessee coach Rick Barnes is 8-18-1 against the spread in first round NCAA games.
— The four #10-seeds who are in the play-in games Tuesday/Wednesday are Colorado State, Boise State, Colorado and Virginia.
There have been two teams who won play-in games and then made it to the Final Four: VCU in 2011 and UCLA three years ago.
— 2008 is the only time all four teams in the Final Four were #1-seeds; the last two years, only one #1-seed made the Final Four.
— Last three years, not only did a #15-seed upset a #2-seed, the #15-seed also won their next games and made it to the Sweet 16.
— Last six defending national champs missed the Sweet 16; if UConn gets beat this year, by Stetson, FAU or Northwestern, it would be a huge upset.
— Last time Gonzaga missed the NCAA Tournament was 1998; last time they lost a first round game was 2008, when Davidson beat them- they had a pretty good guard, Steph Curry.
— Last three years, the team that won the Big 14 Tournament went 1-3 in the NCAA’s; overall, Big 14 teams went 17-7 in first round, 4-13 in 2nd round, 1-3 in Sweet 16, 0-1 in Elite 8.
Last Big 14 team to make the Final Four was Michigan State in 2019. Last Big 14 team to win the national title? Also the Spartans, in 2000.
— Last Pac-12 team to win the national title? Arizona, in 1997.
— November 2018, Vanderbilt was off to a 4-0 start, but then their star player Darius Garland got hurt, missed the rest of the season and Vandy finished 9-23. Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew, who had made the NCAA’s two years earlier, and hired former NBA star Jerry Stackhouse.
Five years later, Garland is a solid NBA player, Vanderbilt just fired Stackhouse, who went 70-92 in five years with the Commodores, with no NCAA bids.
Meanwhile, Bryce Drew is in the NCAA’s with his Grand Canyon team; it is the third time in four years the Antelopes are in the NCAA’s.
Bottom line is, lot of college administrators are over-educated morons.
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting first round games in the NIT:
— South Florida-Central Florida
— Kansas State-Iowa
— North Texas-LSU
— Cornell-Ohio State
— Richmond-Virginia Tech
— Cal Irvine-Utah
Quote of the Day
“It’s like riding with Helen Keller!!!”
Overheard at lunch Monday, an older woman complaining about her husband’s driving
Tuesday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy has led three teams to a World Series; Texas and what other two teams?
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, Julia Roberts played George Clooney’s wife.
Sunday’s quiz
NFL teams recovered only one of 31 onside kicks last year; Arizona Cardinals recovered the one onside kick.
*****************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
— Late Monday night, Giants signed P Blake Snell for two years, $62M. Snell has won two Cy Young awards; he was 14-9, 2.25 for the Padres last year.
Here’s the thing about Snell; 32 starts last year, only 180 IP, 17 outs per game. You pay a guy $31M a year, you expect him to finish the 6th inning. At least.
In 2022, he threw 128 IP in 24 starts, 16 outs/start. He doesn’t give the bullpen a night off.
— A few weeks ago, 3B JD Davis won his salary arbitration case with the Giants, was set to bank $6.9M this year, but contracts won in arbitration aren’t guaranteed. Giants dumped Davis and signed free agent Matt Chapman, paying Davis $1.1M to take a hike.
Davis then signed with the Oakland A’s for $2.5M, meaning he lost $3.3M and is now on a much worse team, although he’ll play every day now.
— Tampa Bay Rays’ over/under win total this year is 84.5; over the last five years, Tampa Bay has averaged 95.4 wins/season, despite having a small budget.
— In the NBA, Indiana Pacers have scored 120+ points in 45 games, the most times an NBA team has done that in a season since the Denver Nuggets, 40 years ago.
— In the NHL, the Pittsburgh Penguins were supposed to have a Jaromir Jagr bobblehead giveaway last week, but had to cancel when the shipment of bobbleheads got stolen. People who had tickets for the giveaway night got vouchers to get the bobbleheads, when they re-appear.
Some of the vouchers have already surfaced on E-Bay.
— NHL rule I never heard of: If teams are in overtime/shootout, the losing team gets a point, but if a team were to pull its goalie in overtime to try and win the game, they don’t get the point if they don’t win.
— Alabama gave its new football coach Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer a contract worth $10.875M a year. Good luck replacing Nick Saban, maybe the greatest college football coach ever.
— Movie of the Day: Autumn in New York (2000)- An aging playboy falls for a sweet, but terminally ill young woman.
Excellent cast: Richard Gere is the playboy, Winona Ryder is the young woman, JK Simmons is the surgeon who tries to save her. Anthony LaPaglia, Jill Hennessy, Sherry Stringfield are also in the movie, which is a sad movie, but a very good one.
— Famous birthdays for March 19:
Glenn Close, 77
Bruce Willis, 69
Mike Norris, 69
Andre Miller 48
Casey Jacobsen, 43
Clayton Kershaw, 36
— On the Hoops page of this blog, we have write-ups on all the NCAA games for the play-in games, plus all of Thursday’s games. I’ll post write-ups on Friday’s games late Wednesday night.
Some other college basketball notes:
— Some prominent college hoop programs passed on playing in the NIT; truth is, no one gives a rat’s ass about the NIT, but there’s another reason, a new reason.
The college basketball transfer portal opened Monday; fact of the matter is, coaches have to make the NCAA’s to keep their jobs, and the transfer portal is a hell of a lot more important to a program than playing in the obscurity of the NIT.
Improving your roster now means that a team can play in next year’s NCAA Tournament, which will help the coach’s job security.
— Tennessee coach Rick Barnes is 8-18-1 against the spread in first round NCAA games.
— The four #10-seeds who are in the play-in games Tuesday/Wednesday are Colorado State, Boise State, Colorado and Virginia.
There have been two teams who won play-in games and then made it to the Final Four: VCU in 2011 and UCLA three years ago.
— 2008 is the only time all four teams in the Final Four were #1-seeds; the last two years, only one #1-seed made the Final Four.
— Last three years, not only did a #15-seed upset a #2-seed, the #15-seed also won their next games and made it to the Sweet 16.
— Last six defending national champs missed the Sweet 16; if UConn gets beat this year, by Stetson, FAU or Northwestern, it would be a huge upset.
— Last time Gonzaga missed the NCAA Tournament was 1998; last time they lost a first round game was 2008, when Davidson beat them- they had a pretty good guard, Steph Curry.
— Last three years, the team that won the Big 14 Tournament went 1-3 in the NCAA’s; overall, Big 14 teams went 17-7 in first round, 4-13 in 2nd round, 1-3 in Sweet 16, 0-1 in Elite 8.
Last Big 14 team to make the Final Four was Michigan State in 2019. Last Big 14 team to win the national title? Also the Spartans, in 2000.
— Last Pac-12 team to win the national title? Arizona, in 1997.
— November 2018, Vanderbilt was off to a 4-0 start, but then their star player Darius Garland got hurt, missed the rest of the season and Vandy finished 9-23. Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew, who had made the NCAA’s two years earlier, and hired former NBA star Jerry Stackhouse.
Five years later, Garland is a solid NBA player, Vanderbilt just fired Stackhouse, who went 70-92 in five years with the Commodores, with no NCAA bids.
Meanwhile, Bryce Drew is in the NCAA’s with his Grand Canyon team; it is the third time in four years the Antelopes are in the NCAA’s.
Bottom line is, lot of college administrators are over-educated morons.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
HOUSTON is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.
ORLANDO is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.
BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the current season.
DALLAS are 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games as a favorite in the current season.
DENVER is 30-14 ATS (14.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NBA
Dunkel
Tuesday, March 19
NBA
Tuesday, March 19
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Houston @ Washington
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games at home
Charlotte @ Orlando
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games on the road
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans @ Brooklyn
New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Dallas @ San Antonio
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games at home
Denver @ Minnesota
Denver
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA
Long Sheet
Tuesday, March 19
ORLANDO is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.
BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the current season.
DALLAS are 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games as a favorite in the current season.
DENVER is 30-14 ATS (14.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NBA
Dunkel
Tuesday, March 19
NBA
Tuesday, March 19
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Houston @ Washington
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games at home
Charlotte @ Orlando
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games on the road
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans @ Brooklyn
New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Dallas @ San Antonio
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games at home
Denver @ Minnesota
Denver
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA
Long Sheet
Tuesday, March 19
TUESDAY, MARCH 19
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU at WAS | 07:00 PM | HOU -9.5 O 227.5 | +500 +500 |
| CHA at ORL | 07:00 PM | ORL -13.0 O 203.5 | +500 +500 |
| NO at BK | 07:30 PM | NO -7.5 U 215.5 | +500 +500 |
| DAL at SA | 08:00 PM | SA +8.5 O 233.0 | +500 +500 |
| DEN at MIN | 09:00 PM | MIN +7.5 U 213.0 | +500 +500 |
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
Armadillo Sports
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Leading rebounders in the NBA:
13.7/game— Domantas Sabonis, Sac
12.9— Rudy Gobert, Minn
12.3— Anthony Davis, Lakers
12.3— Nikola Jokic, Den
11.9— Jalen Duren, Det
11.2— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
Quote of the Day
“I like recruiting transfers; their cars are already paid for.”
The late Jerry Tarkanian, who coached UNLV to national prominence in the 70’s/80’s
Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, what did Crash Davis (Kevin Costner) do in his first at-bat with the Bulls?
Tuesday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy has led three teams to a World Series; Texas, San Francisco and San Diego. He’s won four World Series, three of them with the Giants.
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, Julia Roberts played George Clooney’s wife.
********************************************************************
NCAA play-in games:
— Wagner 71, Howard 68
Wagner jumped out to a 21-10 lead, led 38-27 at halftime.
Seahawks advance to lose to North Carolina in their next game.
Wagner is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 21 to Seton Hall, by 34 to Providence.
— Colorado State 67, Virginia 42
Cavaliers shot 25% from floor, an ugly performance.
This is 7th time this season Virginia lost by 20+ points.
Rams shot 63.6% inside arc, led 27-14 at halftime.
Part of me thinks the four play-in games should be the last eight at-large teams; teams that win their conference tournament should get to play on Thursday/Friday, giving them a couple more days to enjoy the experience.
Another part of me thinks that the national TV exposure they get during the play-in games has to help their recruiting, so that is good, too.
NIT games:
— Ohio State 88, Cornell 83
Cornell was up 10 early, led 81-79 with 1:04 left.
Buckeyes were 13-22 on foul line, Cornell 5-6.
— Minnesota 73, Butler 72
Golden Gophers shot 57.1% inside the arc.
Butler led 70-67 with 1:24 left.
— South Florida 83, Central Florida 77
USF shot 13-24 on arc, led 49-35 at halftime.
Bulls have won 23 of their last 26 games.
— Boston College 62, Providence 57
Eagles have won five of their last six games.
Three guys on Providence played 39 or 40 minutes.
— Georgia 78, Xavier 76
Dawgs led 65-42 with 13:25 left, then held on for dear life.
Georgia’s bench outscored Xavier’s, 35-7.
— Word of the Day: Transition- a change from one state or condition to another.
— Famous birthdays for March 20:
Pat Riley, 79
Rick Langford, 72
Steve McCatty, 70
Amy Aquino, 67
Kathy Ireland, 61
Mookie Blaylock, 57
— Abilene Christian 73, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 63
Wildcats have won eight of their last 10 games.
Corpus Christi shot 2-24 on arc, 19-30 on foul line.
— Tarleton State 82, Texas Southern 71
Tarleton State put five players in double figures.
Texans have won 12 of their last 14 games.
— North Texas 84, LSU 77
Mean Green had lost 66-62 to LSU back in November.
North Texas shot 11-26 on the arc.
— Iowa 91, Kansas State 82
Payton Sandfort made 7-11 shots on the arc.
Iowa was 22-30 on foul line, K-State 8-16.
— Virginia Tech 74, Richmond 58
Spiders led 22-13 early on, then it went south on them.
Hokies have won four of their last five games.
— Utah 84, Cal-Irvine 75
Utes start four seniors; PG Smith had 13 points, 10 assists.
Utah hosts Iowa in its next game, Sunday.
— Kansas star Kevin McCullar is out of the NCAA Tournament with a bone bruise in his knee.
— Note of the Day: The last 36 NCAA Tournament teams that were seeded #1 or #2, who were unranked in the preseason top 25? None of those 36 teams made the Final Four. Iowa State falls into that category this year.
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Leading rebounders in the NBA:
13.7/game— Domantas Sabonis, Sac
12.9— Rudy Gobert, Minn
12.3— Anthony Davis, Lakers
12.3— Nikola Jokic, Den
11.9— Jalen Duren, Det
11.2— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
Quote of the Day
“I like recruiting transfers; their cars are already paid for.”
The late Jerry Tarkanian, who coached UNLV to national prominence in the 70’s/80’s
Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, what did Crash Davis (Kevin Costner) do in his first at-bat with the Bulls?
Tuesday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy has led three teams to a World Series; Texas, San Francisco and San Diego. He’s won four World Series, three of them with the Giants.
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, Julia Roberts played George Clooney’s wife.
********************************************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
NCAA play-in games:
— Wagner 71, Howard 68
Wagner jumped out to a 21-10 lead, led 38-27 at halftime.
Seahawks advance to lose to North Carolina in their next game.
Wagner is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 21 to Seton Hall, by 34 to Providence.
— Colorado State 67, Virginia 42
Cavaliers shot 25% from floor, an ugly performance.
This is 7th time this season Virginia lost by 20+ points.
Rams shot 63.6% inside arc, led 27-14 at halftime.
Part of me thinks the four play-in games should be the last eight at-large teams; teams that win their conference tournament should get to play on Thursday/Friday, giving them a couple more days to enjoy the experience.
Another part of me thinks that the national TV exposure they get during the play-in games has to help their recruiting, so that is good, too.
NIT games:
— Ohio State 88, Cornell 83
Cornell was up 10 early, led 81-79 with 1:04 left.
Buckeyes were 13-22 on foul line, Cornell 5-6.
— Minnesota 73, Butler 72
Golden Gophers shot 57.1% inside the arc.
Butler led 70-67 with 1:24 left.
— South Florida 83, Central Florida 77
USF shot 13-24 on arc, led 49-35 at halftime.
Bulls have won 23 of their last 26 games.
— Boston College 62, Providence 57
Eagles have won five of their last six games.
Three guys on Providence played 39 or 40 minutes.
— Georgia 78, Xavier 76
Dawgs led 65-42 with 13:25 left, then held on for dear life.
Georgia’s bench outscored Xavier’s, 35-7.
— Word of the Day: Transition- a change from one state or condition to another.
— Famous birthdays for March 20:
Pat Riley, 79
Rick Langford, 72
Steve McCatty, 70
Amy Aquino, 67
Kathy Ireland, 61
Mookie Blaylock, 57
— Abilene Christian 73, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 63
Wildcats have won eight of their last 10 games.
Corpus Christi shot 2-24 on arc, 19-30 on foul line.
— Tarleton State 82, Texas Southern 71
Tarleton State put five players in double figures.
Texans have won 12 of their last 14 games.
— North Texas 84, LSU 77
Mean Green had lost 66-62 to LSU back in November.
North Texas shot 11-26 on the arc.
— Iowa 91, Kansas State 82
Payton Sandfort made 7-11 shots on the arc.
Iowa was 22-30 on foul line, K-State 8-16.
— Virginia Tech 74, Richmond 58
Spiders led 22-13 early on, then it went south on them.
Hokies have won four of their last five games.
— Utah 84, Cal-Irvine 75
Utes start four seniors; PG Smith had 13 points, 10 assists.
Utah hosts Iowa in its next game, Sunday.
— Kansas star Kevin McCullar is out of the NCAA Tournament with a bone bruise in his knee.
— Note of the Day: The last 36 NCAA Tournament teams that were seeded #1 or #2, who were unranked in the preseason top 25? None of those 36 teams made the Final Four. Iowa State falls into that category this year.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
INDIANA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) off a home loss in the current season.
MIAMI is 11-1 Under (9.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 Under (7 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in...
SACRAMENTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 sea...
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in the current season.
MEMPHIS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more in the current season.
PORTLAND is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
Frank Vogel is 45-80 ATS (-43 Units) in home games after a non-conference game (All games)
MIAMI is 11-1 Under (9.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 Under (7 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in...
SACRAMENTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 sea...
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in the current season.
MEMPHIS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more in the current season.
PORTLAND is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
Frank Vogel is 45-80 ATS (-43 Units) in home games after a non-conference game (All games)
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
NBA
Wednesday, March 20
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Miami @ Cleveland
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games at home
Cleveland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Indiana @ Detroit
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Indiana's last 22 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee @ Boston
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 22 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento @ Toronto
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toronto's last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Utah @ Oklahoma City
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
LA Clippers @ Portland
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia @ Phoenix
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Memphis @ Golden State
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
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Wednesday, March 20
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Trend Report
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Miami @ Cleveland
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games at home
Cleveland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Indiana @ Detroit
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Indiana's last 22 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee @ Boston
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 22 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento @ Toronto
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toronto's last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Utah @ Oklahoma City
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
LA Clippers @ Portland
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia @ Phoenix
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Memphis @ Golden State
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND at DET | 07:00 PM | DET +10.0 U 235.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIA at CLE | 07:00 PM | MIA +2.0 U 204.0 | +500 +500 |
| SAC at TOR | 07:30 PM | TOR +11.0 O 233.5 | +500 +500 |
| MIL at BOS | 07:30 PM | BOS -10.5 U 224.0 | +500 +500 |
| UTA at OKC | 08:00 PM | OKC -15.5 O 232.5 | +500 +500 |
| LAC at POR | 10:00 PM | POR +12.0 O 217.5 | +500 +500 |
| PHI at PHO | 10:00 PM | PHI +9.0 U 222.5 | +500 +500 |
| MEM at GS | 10:00 PM | MEM +11.0 U 219.0 | +500 +500 |
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Some 2nd round NIT matchups:
— Minnesota @ Indiana State
— North Texas @ Seton Hall
— Georgia @ Wake Forest
— VCU @ South Florida
— Virginia Tech @ Ohio State
— Iowa @ Utah
Quote of the Day
“We haven’t had any discussion and I think at this point, for Pete, it’s best for him to go and have a great year and not be distracted.”
Mets owner Steve Cohen, talking about 1B Pete Alonso, who is a free agent next winter
Thursday’s quiz
Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, how many times has a #15-seed beaten a #2-seed in the first round?
Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, Crash Davis (Kevin Costner) struck out in his first at-bat with the Bulls.
Tuesday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy has led three teams to a World Series; Texas, San Francisco and San Diego. He’s won four World Series, three of them with the Giants.
***********************************************
— Grambling 88, Montana State 81 OT
Montana State led 55-39 with 14:04 left to play.
Grambling had 13 offensive boards, out-rebounded the Bobcats 41-27.
Grambling advances to play Purdue Friday.
— Colorado 60, Boise State 53
Teams combined to shoot 6-33 on the arc.
Buffs have won nine of their last ten games.
Colorado advances to play Florida Friday.
NIT games:
— UNLV 84, Princeton 77
Rebels shot 67.6% inside the arc.
UNLV was 14-19 on foul line, Princeton 3-6.
Rebels have won 11 of their last 14 games.
— Wake Forest 87, Appalachian State 76
Deacons were 25-31 on foul line, App State 7-8.
App State shot 60% inside arc, 7-27 on the arc.
— Indiana State 101, SMU 92
SMU led 57-42 early in second half.
Sycamores scored 1.36 points/possession- they were 30-35 on foul line.
— Bradley 74, Loyola, Chi 62
Bradley jumped out to 22-6 lead, never trailed.
Braves shot 58.3% inside the arc.
— Fort Wayne 77, Bowling Green 75
Mastodons blew 49-35 second half lead, but they survive/advance.
Bowling Green shot 60.5% inside arc, 5-20 on the arc.
— Seton Hall 75, St Joe’s 72 OT
St Joe’s led by 3 with 0:41 left in regulation.
Seven players in this game played 40:00+.
— Tarleton State 86, Abilene Christian 59
These teams won their first round games Tuesday, played again Wednesday.
Tarleton State shot 61% inside the arc.
Cowboys have won 13 of their last 15 games.
— VCU 70, Villanova 61
Senior G Basimile came off bench, scored 17 points.
Villanova was 6-23 on arc; they lost four of last five games.
— Cincinnati 73, San Francisco 72 OT
Simas Lukosius made 8-10 shots on the arc.
Bearcats won four of their last five games.
— The last two SEC teams that made the Final Four were #5-seed Auburn in 2019, #7-seed South Carolina in 2017. Last three NCAA tournaments, nine SEC teams were seeded #1-4; none of them made the Final Four.
— Arizona has been a #1 or #2-seed 15 times; they made the Final Four in only three of those 15 tournaments.
— Famous birthdays for March 21:
Tom Flores, 87
Manny Sanguillen, 80
Mike Dunleavy, 70
Matthew Broderick, 62
Rosie O’Donnell, 62
Adrian Peterson, 39
— Dodgers 5, Padres 2
Season opener started at 6am here in the East Wednesday, 3am in LA/San Diego.
Dodgers scored four runs in 8th inning for the come-from-behind win.
Ohtani went 2-5 with an RBI in his Dodger debut.
— Speaking of Ohtani, his interpreter got fired by the Dodgers; there are questions about $4.5M in wire transfers sent from Ohtani’s bank account to a bookmaking operation in California, where sports gambling isn’t legal.
— When the Dodgers/Padres played exhibition games against KBO teams in Seoul earlier this week, different baseballs were used, depending on which team was hitting.
Major League baseballs are bigger than KBO baseballs
— Minnesota Twins have a giveaway on April 4, their home opener; first 10,000 fans there will get a wool ski cap with the Twins logo on it. If they put a damn dome on their new stadium a few years back, their fans wouldn’t need a freakin’ ski cap to go watch a baseball game.
— Buck Showalter is going to be on MLB Network, a wise move; he’s very good on TV. Always good to learn from smart people.
— Term of the Day: March Madness- Last week and this week are two of my favorite weeks of the year. Lot of stuff going on. Enjoy the games this weekend.
— New Jersey Jets signed WR Mike Williams, giving Aaron Rodgers a good receiver to throw to. Williams played seven years for the Chargers, catching 309 passes for 15.6 yards/catch, with 31 touchdowns.
— Rams moved from St Louis to Los Angeles in eight years ago; there are still five active players who played for the St Louis Rams:
QB Case Keenum, Hst
T Rob Havenstein, Rams
S Rodney McLeod, Blev
K Greg Zuerlein, NJJ
P Johnny Hecker, Colo
— Bucky Badger is the U of Wisconsin mascot, a pretty popular mascot.
Back in the late 80’s, some enterprising Wisconsin students marketed a line of condoms, with Bucky’s picture on them. Their pitch was: “Get lucky with Bucky!!!”
Some 2nd round NIT matchups:
— Minnesota @ Indiana State
— North Texas @ Seton Hall
— Georgia @ Wake Forest
— VCU @ South Florida
— Virginia Tech @ Ohio State
— Iowa @ Utah
Quote of the Day
“We haven’t had any discussion and I think at this point, for Pete, it’s best for him to go and have a great year and not be distracted.”
Mets owner Steve Cohen, talking about 1B Pete Alonso, who is a free agent next winter
Thursday’s quiz
Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, how many times has a #15-seed beaten a #2-seed in the first round?
Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, Crash Davis (Kevin Costner) struck out in his first at-bat with the Bulls.
Tuesday’s quiz
Rangers’ manager Bruce Bochy has led three teams to a World Series; Texas, San Francisco and San Diego. He’s won four World Series, three of them with the Giants.
***********************************************
Thursday’s Den: Happy March Madness, everyone…….
NCAA play-in games:— Grambling 88, Montana State 81 OT
Montana State led 55-39 with 14:04 left to play.
Grambling had 13 offensive boards, out-rebounded the Bobcats 41-27.
Grambling advances to play Purdue Friday.
— Colorado 60, Boise State 53
Teams combined to shoot 6-33 on the arc.
Buffs have won nine of their last ten games.
Colorado advances to play Florida Friday.
NIT games:
— UNLV 84, Princeton 77
Rebels shot 67.6% inside the arc.
UNLV was 14-19 on foul line, Princeton 3-6.
Rebels have won 11 of their last 14 games.
— Wake Forest 87, Appalachian State 76
Deacons were 25-31 on foul line, App State 7-8.
App State shot 60% inside arc, 7-27 on the arc.
— Indiana State 101, SMU 92
SMU led 57-42 early in second half.
Sycamores scored 1.36 points/possession- they were 30-35 on foul line.
— Bradley 74, Loyola, Chi 62
Bradley jumped out to 22-6 lead, never trailed.
Braves shot 58.3% inside the arc.
— Fort Wayne 77, Bowling Green 75
Mastodons blew 49-35 second half lead, but they survive/advance.
Bowling Green shot 60.5% inside arc, 5-20 on the arc.
— Seton Hall 75, St Joe’s 72 OT
St Joe’s led by 3 with 0:41 left in regulation.
Seven players in this game played 40:00+.
— Tarleton State 86, Abilene Christian 59
These teams won their first round games Tuesday, played again Wednesday.
Tarleton State shot 61% inside the arc.
Cowboys have won 13 of their last 15 games.
— VCU 70, Villanova 61
Senior G Basimile came off bench, scored 17 points.
Villanova was 6-23 on arc; they lost four of last five games.
— Cincinnati 73, San Francisco 72 OT
Simas Lukosius made 8-10 shots on the arc.
Bearcats won four of their last five games.
— The last two SEC teams that made the Final Four were #5-seed Auburn in 2019, #7-seed South Carolina in 2017. Last three NCAA tournaments, nine SEC teams were seeded #1-4; none of them made the Final Four.
— Arizona has been a #1 or #2-seed 15 times; they made the Final Four in only three of those 15 tournaments.
— Famous birthdays for March 21:
Tom Flores, 87
Manny Sanguillen, 80
Mike Dunleavy, 70
Matthew Broderick, 62
Rosie O’Donnell, 62
Adrian Peterson, 39
— Dodgers 5, Padres 2
Season opener started at 6am here in the East Wednesday, 3am in LA/San Diego.
Dodgers scored four runs in 8th inning for the come-from-behind win.
Ohtani went 2-5 with an RBI in his Dodger debut.
— Speaking of Ohtani, his interpreter got fired by the Dodgers; there are questions about $4.5M in wire transfers sent from Ohtani’s bank account to a bookmaking operation in California, where sports gambling isn’t legal.
— When the Dodgers/Padres played exhibition games against KBO teams in Seoul earlier this week, different baseballs were used, depending on which team was hitting.
Major League baseballs are bigger than KBO baseballs
— Minnesota Twins have a giveaway on April 4, their home opener; first 10,000 fans there will get a wool ski cap with the Twins logo on it. If they put a damn dome on their new stadium a few years back, their fans wouldn’t need a freakin’ ski cap to go watch a baseball game.
— Buck Showalter is going to be on MLB Network, a wise move; he’s very good on TV. Always good to learn from smart people.
— Term of the Day: March Madness- Last week and this week are two of my favorite weeks of the year. Lot of stuff going on. Enjoy the games this weekend.
— New Jersey Jets signed WR Mike Williams, giving Aaron Rodgers a good receiver to throw to. Williams played seven years for the Chargers, catching 309 passes for 15.6 yards/catch, with 31 touchdowns.
— Rams moved from St Louis to Los Angeles in eight years ago; there are still five active players who played for the St Louis Rams:
QB Case Keenum, Hst
T Rob Havenstein, Rams
S Rodney McLeod, Blev
K Greg Zuerlein, NJJ
P Johnny Hecker, Colo
— Bucky Badger is the U of Wisconsin mascot, a pretty popular mascot.
Back in the late 80’s, some enterprising Wisconsin students marketed a line of condoms, with Bucky’s picture on them. Their pitch was: “Get lucky with Bucky!!!”
- Sep 10, 2018
- 15,333
- 11
- 38
NEW ORLEANS are 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 46-29 Under (14.1 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 season...
HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.
BROOKLYN is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS are 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season.
DENVER is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite in the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 46-29 Under (14.1 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 season...
HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.
BROOKLYN is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS are 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season.
DENVER is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite in the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.
